by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Sep 19, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, September 24, 2023
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Patriots -3, Jets +3; Over/Under: 37.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Patriots -3, Jets +3; Over/Under: 37 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Patriots -3, Jets +3; Over/Under: 37 points
Season Record
New England Patriots: 0-2 (4th place, AFC East)
New York Jets: 1-1 (2nd place, AFC East)
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Recent Form
New England Patriots: lost their last game at home against the Miami Dolphins 24-17.
New York Jets: lost their last game on the road against the Dallas Cowboys 30-10.
New England Patriots vs New York Jets Preview and Analysis
The Patriots are entering this game with a 0-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Miami Dolphins 24-17. Mac Jones was the starting QB and he completed 31/42 passes for 231 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Rhamondre Stevenson led the team in rushing yards with 50 and 1 TD. DeVante Parker led the receivers with 57 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Christian Gonzalez and Myles Bryant each led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Matthew Judon led the defense in sacks with 1. Christian Gonzalez came away with the only interception for them in that game.
The Jets are entering this game with a 1-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Dallas Cowboys 30-10. Zach Wilson was the starting QB and he completed 12/27 passes for 170 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 3 interceptions. Zach Wilson led the team in rushing yards with 36. Garrett Wilson led the receivers with 83 receiving yards on 2 receptions and 1 TD. Jordan Whitehead led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Solomon Thomas led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.
Patriots vs Jets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Patriots listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Patriots are already 0-2 this season after playing both games at home but they played 2 really good teams in those games, the Eagles and the Dolphins. They are going to be looking to bounce back in a big way after losing in prime time Sunday night and they will be trying to take advantage of this divisional game too since they already lost one. The Jets opened their season with a win at home as Zach Wilson led them to victory after Aaron Rodgers went down just a few plays into the game, but they looked a lot more like the Jets of last season in their loss to the Cowboys last week. This team can't have a lot of momentum on their side with Rodgers out for the season and it is very clear that the team is not behind Wilson as the guy. The Patriots have the better coach in this game and they have the hunger to win and avoid a 0-3 start while the Jets are turning into another disaster this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Patriots to cover the spread in this game.
Patriots Jets Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 24, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Patriots 24 Jets 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
New England Patriots: 17-9 ATS off a home loss against a division rival. 12-6 ATS after playing a game at home. 25-11 UNDER off a close loss by 7 points or less to a division rival. 6-1 UNDER as a road favorite of 7 points or less.
New York Jets: 3-7 ATS off a non-conference game. 9-17 ATS in games played on turf. 4-8 ATS after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game. 9-4 UNDER versus division opponents. 7-3 UNDER as a home underdog of 7 points or less.
Key Injuries
New England Patriots: M. Corral (QB) day-to-day - Personal. S. Sow (OL) day-to-day - Concussion. K. Boutte (WR) day-to-day - Hamstring. T. Brown (OL) day-to-day - Concussion. J. Jones (DB) day-to-day - Ankle. J. Jones (DB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. R. Reiff (OL) Out indefinitely - Knee. T. Thornton (WR) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Flowers (DE) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. C. Davis (DB) Out indefinitely - Knee. I. Bolden (CB) I-R - Neck. R. McMillan (LB) I-R - Achilles.
New York Jets: M. Carter II (CB) day-to-day - Elbow. T. Adams (S) day-to-day - Hamstring. G. Zuerlein (K) day-to-day - Groin. I. Abanikanda (RB) day-to-day - Thigh. A. Rodgers (QB) I-R - Ankle. K. Yeboah (TE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. C. Warren (OT) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. J. Bernard-Converse (S) Out indefinitely - Foot. I. Odenigbo (DE) I-R - Undisclosed. M. Hall (LB) I-R - Undisclosed. H. Nasirildeen (LB) I-R - Neck. C. Clark (S) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“It’s very frustrating. Obviously, you look at the plays at the end of the game, and we need to be better at that for sure. But we need to be better in the game, to not put ourselves in that position.” - Hunter Henry after their loss against the Dolphins in their last game.
“We saw almost 90 of them today, and you’re going to run of gas. We just didn’t give ourselves a chance defensively to get off the field and give our offense a chance to get any kind of rhythm going.” - Robert Saleh after his team’s loss against the Cowboys in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New England Patriots
WR PARKER, DEVANTE
WR Bourne, Kendrick
WR Smith-Schuster, JuJu
TE Henry, Hunter
QB Jones, Mac
RB Stevenson, Rhamondre
New York Jets
WR Wilson, Garrett
WR Lazard, Allen
WR COBB, RANDALL
TE Conklin, Tyler
QB Wilson, Zach
RB Hall, Breece
FB Bawden, Nick
Statistical Leaders
New England Patriots
Passing: M. Jones (547)
Rushing: R. Stevenson (75)
Receiving: H. Henry (108)
Touchdowns: K. Bourne (2)
New York Jets
Passing: Z. Wilson (310)
Rushing: B. Hall (136)
Receiving: G. Wilson (117)
Touchdowns: G. Wilson (2)
Coaches:
New England Patriots: Bill Belichick (24th season)
New York Jets: Robert Saleh (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
