by Rod Pearson
Friday, Nov 24, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 25, 2023
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Patriots -3.5, Giants +3.5; Over/Under: 33.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Patriots -3.5, Giants +3.5; Over/Under: 34 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Patriots -3.5, Giants +3.5; Over/Under: 34 points
Season Record
New England Patriots: 2-8 (4th place, AFC East)
New York Giants: 3-8 (4th place, NFC East)
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Recent Form
New England Patriots: lost their last game at a neutral site in Germany against the Indianapolis Colts 10-6.
New York Giants: won their last game on the road against the Washington Commanders 31-19.
New England Patriots vs New York Giants Preview and Analysis
The Patriots are entering this game with a 2-8 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-4 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Indianapolis Colts 10-6. Mac Jones was the starting QB and he completed 15/20 passes for 170 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Rhamondre Stevenson led the team in rushing yards with 88. Demario Douglas led the receivers with 84 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Davon Godchaux led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Myles Bryant came away with the only interception for them in that game.
The Giants are entering this game with a 3-8 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 2-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Washington Commanders 31-19. Tommy Devito was the starting QB and he completed 18/26 passes for 246 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Saquon Barkley led the team in rushing yards with 83. Darius Slayton led the receivers with 82 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Xavier McKinney led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Kayvon Thibodeaux led the defense in sacks with 2. Isaiah Simmons, Darnay Holmes, and Nick McCloud each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
Patriots vs Giants Prediction
The current betting odds have the Patriots listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Patriots have been terrible this season with their 2-8 record overall and they are only 1-3 in their road games too. The Giants haven't been much better though with their 3-8 record overall and they are only 1-3 in their home games too. The Giants are going to have some momentum in this game since they beat the Commanders on the road in their last game, but the Patriots are also going to be desperate themselves for a win in this game. The Patriots lost their last game against the Colts in Germany but they are also coming out of their bye week and they will be looking for a much needed bounce back win here. The Patriots have struggled a lot this season but they have still been better than the Giants with all the injuries that have been piling up for New York and Belichick will have a good game plan here with the extra week to prepare. The best way to place a bet here is on the Patriots to cover the spread in this game.
Patriots Giants Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 25, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Patriots 20 Giants 10.
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NFL Betting Trends
New England Patriots: 2-8 ATS in all games. 3-9 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders. 7-1 UNDER as a road favorite of 7 points or less. 7-1 UNDER after scoring 14 points or less last game.
New York Giants: 22-12 ATS against AFC East division opponents. 23-14 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival. 15-6 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +4 or better. 29-16 UNDER in all games. 26-12 UNDER as an underdog. 15-4 UNDER in home games.
Key Injuries
New England Patriots: D. Wise Jr. (DL) Ques Sun - Shoulder. M. Slater (WR) Ques Sun - Ankle. J. Jones (DB) Ques Sun - Knee. M. Bryant (DB) Ques Sun - Chest. C. Barmore (DL) Ques Sun - Knee. M. Wilson Sr. (LB) Ques Sun - Head. J. Jackson (CB) Ques Sun - Personal. J. Bentley (LB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. T. Brown (OL) Ques Sun - Ankle. D. Parker (WR) Ques Sun - Concussion. R. Reiff (OL) Ques Sun - Knee. C. Anderson (OL) Out indefinitely - Illness. K. Bourne (WR) I-R - Knee. K. Boutte (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. T. Wheatley Jr. (OT) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Judon (LB) Early Dec - Bicep. C. Gonzalez (CB) I-R - Shoulder. D. Ekuale (DL) Out indefinitely - Bicep. M. Jones (DB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. I. Bolden (CB) I-R - Neck. R. McMillan (LB) I-R - Achilles.
New York Giants: A. Thomas (OT) Prob Sun - Knee. T. Phillips (OT) Prob Sun - Knee. B. McCain (S) Prob Sun - Illness. A. Jackson (CB) Prob Sun - Concussion. T. Hawkins III (CB) Ques Sun - Shoulder. A. Robinson (DT) Ques Sun - Back. S. Shepard (WR) Prob Sun - Hip. J. Schmitz (OL) Ques Sun - Finger. B. Okereke (LB) Ques Sun - Hip. D. Lawrence (DL) Ques Sun - Hamstring. E. Gray (RB) Ques Sun - Calf. D. Slayton (WR) Ques Sun - Neck. G. Brightwell (RB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. T. Taylor (QB) Out indefinitely - Ribs. D. Jones (QB) I-R - Knee. E. Neal (OT) Out indefinitely - Arm. G. Gano (K) I-R - Knee. D. Waller (TE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. M. Peart (OT) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Lemieux (G) Out indefinitely - Bicep. J. Ezeudu (OL) Out indefinitely - Toe. T. Sweeney (TE) Out indefinitely - Illness. A. Robinson (CB) Out indefinitely - Knee. B. Ford-Wheaton (WR) I-R - Knee. J. Hassenauer (OL) I-R - Tricep. J. Davis (LB) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“Obviously it was a disappointing game. Similar theme that we’ve had to other games this year." - Bill Belichick after his team’s loss against the Colts in their last game.
“Tommy has put the work in — the players have confidence in him. Good job to the whole team. Team win. Certainly proud of Tommy.” - Brian Daboll after his team’s win against the Commanders in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New England Patriots
WR Parker, Devante
WR Smith-Schuster, JuJu
WR Douglas, Demario
TE Henry, Hunter
QB Jones, Mac
RB Stevenson, Rhamondre
New York Giants
WR Hyatt, Jalin
WR Slayton, Darius
WR Robinson, Wan'Dale
TE Bellinger, Daniel
QB DeVito, Tommy
RB Barkley, Saquon
Statistical Leaders
New England Patriots
Passing: M. Jones (2031)
Rushing: R. Stevenson (482)
Receiving: K. Bourne (406)
Touchdowns: K. Bourne (4)
New York Giants
Passing: D. Jones (909)
Rushing: S. Barkley (651)
Receiving: D. Slayton (419)
Touchdowns: S. Barkley (5)
Coaches:
New England Patriots: Bill Belichick (24th season)
New York Giants: Brian Daboll (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
