New England Patriots vs. Minnesota Vikings: Prediction, Preview, Picks & Odds - 11/24/2022

by Chuck Sommers

Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Where to watch: NBC

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks


DraftKings: Vikings -2.5
FanDuel: Vikings -2.5
BetMGM: Vikings -3
Caesars: Vikings -3

Season record
Patriots: 6-4
Vikings: 8-2

Happy Thanksgiving to you and yours! You know what's going to be a good way of giving thanks? Letting our champion handicappers lead you to victory for a hefty plate of games that are sure to cause some ire for the books. We're nearing the final quarter of the regular season with a lot of divisional matchups and playoff-implication games still to be played. Which way are you leaning with this? Sean Murphy has strung together a 21-11-1 string of games over the last 30 days, while Hollywood Sports has also been on a nice run of 19-13-0 over the last month. Do you want to feel this strong winning hitting your wallet just in time for the Christmas season? Make sure you're following bigal.com and getting all the best plays from our champion handicappers to find out more!

Patriots - Vikings preview, analysis and prediction


Last week
Patriots: won 10-3 vs. Jets
Vikings: lost 40-3 vs. Cowboys

A hearty happy Thanksgiving to the Minnesota Vikings. You got exposed on Sunday. We knew it was coming, I'm pretty sure you even knew it was coming. There's just no conceivable notion that you were going to go this entire season without being humbled at least once. A second time will be on the horizon at some point. The good news for you is that it will not be on Thursday because unless the New England Patriots come into your stadium on Thanksgiving night and suddenly figure out how to play offense, you should improve to 9-2 on the season.

However, if you put up a performance as you did on Sunday in getting absolutely steamrolled by the Dallas Cowboys by the tune of 40-3, you will not live to tell the tale anytime soon. I think it was a good thing to see the Vikings finally face a team that was just better than them on both sides of the ball. We could say that the Buffalo Bills should have been that team and I don't necessarily want to think that maybe it was an emotional letdown following that amazing win last week in Buffalo, but Minnesota could not stop anything that Dallas was doing on this day.

Minnesota getting steamrolled the way at which it did, with Kirk cousins throwing for just 105 yards and Dalvin Cook running for only 72 on 11 carries, I think told us more about Dallas than it did Minnesota ultimately because I think we knew Minnesota all along was capable of just laying a giant egg like this. And the fact that we are here preparing for a Minnesota burial it would appear, time will tell ultimately if the Vikings are going to completely falter down the stretch. Ultimately, Minnesota will still win the division and make the playoffs but as far as being a true playoff contender? That might be out the window right now

"This league has a way of humbling any football team at any point in time if you don't play good football," Vikings coach Kevin O'Connell said.

every win Minnesota had up into this point was by single digits. One score victories. And I don't think anybody even anticipated the Cowboys keeping that game to where it should have been decided by one score but the fact of the matter is at this moment, the two best teams in the NFC right at this moment, are residing in the NFC East. Not the NFC north.

But again good news for the Vikings. Unless the patriots figure out a way to play offense and throw the ball greater than five yards, Minnesota should win this game very handily and the fact that they are only three-point favorites against Bill Belichick and the Patriots is kind of ridiculous.

New England quite possibly earned a victory in the worst game to ever take place at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, winning 10-3 over the New York Jets. New England had 297 total yards of offense, New York had 103. New England held the ball for 35 minutes and amassed just 13 first downs. And the only touchdown to come across the board was from a rookie who took a punt return with five seconds remaining to win the game. And if Marcus Jones is not the most hated man in New York on this day I don't know if he ever will, but New England will be buying him every round of beer possible.

"Then I seen the punter and I was like, ‘If I make him miss, I should be able to go the distance.'"

This one shouldn't even be close. This one should be done by halftime. And if it's not, the fraudulent Vikings will continue to creep up into my head for days to come because there is no way this game should be close unless New England’s defense is all world.

Prediction


I am going to go on a limb and say that Justin Jefferson will get back to 100 yards receiving, the Vikings will find a way to put that bad taste out of their mouths from Sunday, and should absolutely run away with a victory the likes of which we have not seen yet so far from that. Vikings by 17

Betting trends


Patriots are 96-58 ATS as an underdog since 1992.

Patriots are 140-108 ATS on the road since 1992.

Vikings are 12-2 ATS at home following a loss by 21 or more since 1992.

Vikings are 29-14 ATS at home after scoring 3 or less in the first half since 1992.

Statistical leaders


Patriots:
Passing: Mac Jones -- 1,386 yards, 4 TD, 7 INT
Rushing: Rhamondre Stevenson -- 644 yards, 4 TD
Receiving: Jakobi Meyers -- 509 yards, 3 TD
Defense: Matt Judon -- 13 sacks

Vikings:
Passing: Kirk Cousins -- 2,461 yards, 14 TD, 8 INT
Rushing: Dalvin Cook -- 799 yards, 6 TD
Receiving: Justin Jefferson -- 1,093 yards, 4 TD
Defense: Za'Darius Smith -- 9.5 sacks

Don't miss our champion handicappers' free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this New England Patriots - Minnesota Vikings prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily NFL projections and previews.

Chuck Sommers

About the Author:

Chuck Sommers has camped outside of sportsbooks since he can remember, learning the tricks and nuances of the trade. He still has nightmares of betting $5,000 on the Raiders in the Tuck Rule game but has since turned that to 25 years of veteran handicapping greatness. You can find him mostly in the shadows at the Red Rock or Aliante casinos wondering if the over is cashing on any given Sunday.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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