New England Patriots vs. Houston Texans Odds, Picks and Preview -- 10/10/2021

by Big Al Staff

Game time: 1 p.m. ET, Oct. 10, 2021
Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
Where to watch: CBS

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks


DraftKings: Patriots -8.5
BetMGM: Patriots -9.5
Caesars: Patriots -9

Season record
Patriots: 1-3 (T-2nd, AFC East)
Texans: 1-3 (T-2nd, AFC South)

Off Sunday's 3-0 sweep in the NFL, Will Rogers is now an EXTRAORDINARY 23-12 his L35 NFL Selections. Not only that but he's also a DOMINANT 5-1 since last Sunday Night. This one goes Thursday in the Rams/Seahawks HUGE DIVISIONAL GAME. Catch Will’s and other plays available right now at the Shop Picks page, where you can find all of the Best Bets from our champion sports handicappers.

NE - HOU preview and analysis


Recent form
Patriots: lost 19-17 vs. Buccaneers in Week 4
Texans: lost 40-0 at Bills in Week 4

The New England Patriots were a 56-yard doinked Nick Folk field goal off the left upright, in the rain, from writing the greatest narrative in 21 years on Sunday Night Football.

Unless Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are playing for another three years and Bill Belichick doesn’t retire, the Patriots aren’t getting another opportunity to defeat the greatest quarterback of all time.

But I suppose the best consolation prize would be an easy win against the lowly Houston Texans, as will be the case on Sunday at NRG Stadium.

If there were any Patriots fans that felt the post-Brady era was on the sharp decline, they can rest easy for a bit. Mac Jones is the future and he, along with the future, is bright. Find me a network that can plug Jones’ 4.0 GPA at Alabama more than NBC.

The Patriots’ first-round pick completed a season-best 77.5 percent of his passes for 275 yards and his first two-touchdown game in the NFL. He went toe-to-toe with Brady, outplayed him for the most part, and almost led a game-winning drive. Unfortunately, Folk just couldn’t kick straight in a downpour for a two-point loss in Tom Brady’s return. That's a forgivable offense.

Jones leads all rookie quarterbacks with 1,012 yards, 112 completions and a 70 percent completion rate through four weeks. He’s found decent chemistry with Jakobi Meyers, who had eight catches for 70 yards last week. Nelson Agholor also had 55 yards through the air.

That alone is already a better offense than what the Texans have been able to put together. We have to take into consideration they’re without Tyrod Taylor and Deshaun Watson doesn’t want to play for them, but the Texans should’ve known they were eventually going to be without Tyrod Taylor and Deshaun Watson didn’t want to play for them.

The Texans looked like a team that faced the Buffalo Bills but played like a group of folks accepting of the whooping they received. Davis Mills threw 21 passes, completed 11 of them, for a grand total of 87 yards. Brandin Cooks had 47 of those yards. It’s a horrendous time to be the NFL team from the city of Houston.

This offense is not suitable to go against elite NFL defenses right now, and it won’t be until there’s another pass catcher with Cooks and a couple of prayers added in the chat. The drastic style in signal callers is evident.

Prediction


This won’t end well for Houston in this battle of rookie QBs. Why did the NFL add an extra game to the season? Even if Taylor comes back whenever, it will still be all bad. This matchup will not be suitable for children. Patriots by 17

Betting trends


The Patriots are 69-59 against the spread as a road favorite in their last 128 games.

New England is 197-144 ATS in the first game following the first month of the season.

The Texans are 2-14 ATS in games after playing their previous one on the road.

Players to watch


Patriots: Linebacker Matt Judon is looking for his fourth game in a row with a sack, and third in a row with at least two tackles for loss. He’s become a force for this young Patriots’ defense.

Texans: Defensive back Desmond King had a team-high nine tackles last week. Expect him to be on Meyers for most of this game.

Statistical leaders


Patriots:
Passing: Mac Jones -- 1,012 yards, 4 TD, 4 INT
Rushing: Damien Harris -- 172 yards, 1 TD
Receiving: Jakobi Meyers -- 246 yards
Defense: Matt Judon -- 4.5 sacks

Texans:
Passing: Davis Mills -- 357 yards, 2 TD, 5 INT
Rushing: Mark Ingram -- 171 yards, 1 TD
Receiving: Brandin Cooks -- 369 yards, 1 TD
Defense: Whitney Mercilus -- 3 sacks

Don't miss our champion handicappers' free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this New England Patriots - Houston Texans prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily NFL projections and previews.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2021 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.