New England Patriots vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/01/2023

Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, October 1, 2023

Venue:  AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Patriots +6.5, Cowboys -6.5; Over/Under:  43 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Patriots +7, Cowboys -7; Over/Under:  43 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Patriots +7, Cowboys -7; Over/Under:  43 points

New England Patriots:  1-2 (3rd place, AFC East)

Dallas Cowboys:  2-1 (2nd place, NFC East)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Al McMordie has been on a roll in the NFL with 11 Straight Winning NFL Seasons! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

New England Patriots:  won their last game on the road against the New York Jets 15-10.

Dallas Cowboys:  lost their last game on the road against the Arizona Cardinals 28-16.

The Patriots are entering this game with a 1-2 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New York Jets 15-10. Mac Jones was the starting QB and he completed 15/29 passes for 201 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Ezekiel Elliott led the team in rushing yards with 80. Pharaoh Brown led the receivers with 71 receiving yards on 2 receptions and 1 TD. Jabrill Peppers led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Matthew Judon led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.

 

 

 

The Cowboys are entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Arizona Cardinals 28-16. Dak Prescott was the starting QB and he completed 25/40 passes for 249 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Tony Pollard led the team in rushing yards with 122. Michael Gallup led the receivers with 92 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Damone Clark led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while DeMarcus Lawrence and Micah Parsons each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.

The current betting odds have the Cowboys listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cowboys have looked really good in their games this year except for 1 loss in Arizona. That loss was in their last game and they looked terrible but teams have also been trying to sleepwalk through the Cardinals all year when they have played much better than expected from them. That loss will serve as a wake up call for this team and they will be looking to respond in a big way at home against the Patriots. The Patriots finally got their 1st win of the season in their last game but they beat the Jets in a really close game as neither team really had any offense. The Patriots have played well on defense this season but the Cowboys have a lot of better players on their defense that will cause a lot of problems for Mac Jones and this Patriots offense that has already been struggling in all 3 games. The Cowboys also have a lot of talented players on offense that will burn this Patriots defense and eventually the score will get so out of hand that there will be no way back in the game for the Patriots and their weak offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cowboys to cover the spread in this game. 

Patriots Cowboys Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 1, 2023 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Cowboys 35 Patriots 17.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this New England Patriots Dallas Cowboys prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NFL predictions and previews.

New England Patriots: 5-12 ATS as an underdog. 5-10 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 22-13 OVER after allowing 200 or less total yards in their previous game. 7-3 OVER as a road underdog.

Dallas Cowboys: 26-14 ATS in all games. 13-6 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 6-0 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 11-6 OVER as a home favorite. 30-14 OVER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points.

New England Patriots:  D. Ekuale (DL) Out indefinitely - Bicep. S. Sow (OL) Ques Sun - Concussion. K. Boutte (WR) Ques Sun - Hamstring. J. Jones (DB) Ques Sun - Ankle. C. Strange (OL) Ques Sun - Knee. D. Godchaux (DL) Ques Sun - Ankle. M. Jones (DB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Jones (DB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. R. Reiff (OL) Out indefinitely - Knee. T. Thornton (WR) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Flowers (DE) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. C. Davis (DB) Out indefinitely - Knee. I. Bolden (CB) I-R - Neck. R. McMillan (LB) I-R - Achilles.

Dallas Cowboys:  Z. Martin (G) Ques Sun - Ankle. T. Biadasz (C) Ques Sun - Hamstring. T. Diggs (CB) I-R - Knee. N. Wright (CB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. M. Waletzko (OT) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Stephens Jr. (WR) I-R - Knee. D. Durden (WR) I-R - Knee. D. Overshown (LB) I-R - Knee. J. Ball (OT) I-R - Hip.

“When we had to make plays, we did. Definitely inconsistent. Got to be happy with the win. That’s all we came here for.” - Mac Jones after their win against the Jets in their last game. 

“This was a humbling loss. We thought we had a good opportunity to come in here even with the adversity and get a win and we didn’t.” - Dak Prescott after their loss against the Cardinals in their last game. 

WR PARKER, DEVANTE 

WR Bourne, Kendrick 

WR Smith-Schuster, JuJu 

TE Henry, Hunter 

QB Jones, Mac 

RB Stevenson, Rhamondre 

WR Gallup, Michael 

WR Cooks, Brandin 

WR Lamb, CeeDee 

TE Ferguson, Jake 

QB PRESCOTT, DAK 

RB Pollard, Tony

Passing: M. Jones (748)

Rushing: R. Stevenson (134)

Receiving: H. Henry (139)

Touchdowns: K. Bourne (2)

Passing: D. Prescott (647)

Rushing: T. Pollard (264)

Receiving: C. Lamb (273)

Touchdowns: T. Pollard (2)

Coaches:

New England Patriots: Bill Belichick (24th season)

Dallas Cowboys: Mike McCarthy (4th season)