New England Patriots vs Cleveland Browns Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/16/2022

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 16, 2022

Venue:  FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Patriots +2.5, Browns -2.5; Over/Under:  43.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Patriots +2.5, Browns -2.5; Over/Under:  43 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Patriots +2.5, Browns -2.5; Over/Under:  43 points

 

New England Patriots:  2-3 (4th place, AFC East)

Cleveland Browns:  2-3 (2nd place, AFC North)

 

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New England Patriots:  won their last game at home against the Detroit Lions 29-0.

Cleveland Browns:  lost their last game at home against the Los Angeles Chargers 30-28.

 

The Patriots are entering this game with a 2-3 record overall and they are playing their 4th road game of the season here as they are 1-2 in their road games this year. Their offense is averaging 345.8 YPG and 20.6 PPG while their defense is allowing 339.8 YPG and 19.6 PPG against them. They won their last game at home against the Detroit Lions 29-0. Bailey Zappe was the starting quarterback in that game and he completed 17/21 passes for 188 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Rhamondre Stevenson led the team in rushing with 161 yards on 25 rushing attempts. Jakobi Meyers led the team in receiving with 111 yards and 1 TD on 7 receptions. Jonathan Jones led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles. Matthew Judon led the defense in sacks with 2 while Jack Jones came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Browns are entering this game with a 2-3 record overall and they are playing their 4th home game of the season here as they are 1-2 in their home games this year. Their offense is averaging 396.4 YPG and 26.6 PPG while their defense is allowing 353.8 YPG and 25 PPG against them. They lost their last game at home against the LA Chargers 30-28. Jacoby Brissett was the starting QB in that game and he completed 21/34 passes for 230 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Nick Chubb led the team in rushing with 134 yards and 2 TDs on 17 carries. David Njoku led the team in receiving with 88 yards on 6 catches. Denzel Ward led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles. Jacob Phillips led the defense in sacks in that game with 1 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

The current betting odds have the Browns listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Browns have been playing very close games all year, a majority of their games whether they be wins or losses have come by less than a field goal. They lost by 2 points at home just last week but they also played a very good Chargers team and should have an easier time with the Patriots here. The Patriots have actually looked a lot better on offense their last 2 games with Bailey Zappe leading the team, but now he is likely getting his 1st road start here against a very good defense that the Browns have. The Browns are going to be hungry for a win after coming so close against the Chargers last week and the Patriots as well as they have played lately just don't have a great team. They are going to struggle in this road game and the Browns will do enough in this game to win by a field goal or more. The best way to place a bet here is on the Browns to cover the spread in this game.

 

Patriots Browns Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 16, 2022 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Browns 27 Patriots 17.

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New England Patriots: 95-58 ATS as an underdog. 8-2 ATS off a non-conference game. 8-2 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.

Cleveland Browns: 7-15 ATS as a favorite. 7-13 ATS in home games. 35-15 UNDER as a home favorite of 3 points or less. 

 

 

New England Patriots:  M. Jones (QB) Ques Sun - Ankle. Y. Cajuste (OL) Out indefinitely - Thumb. T. Montgomery (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Cleveland Browns:  M. Garrett (DE) Ques Sun - Shoulder. C. Winovich (DE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. J. James (TE) Out indefinitely - Bicep.

 

 

"He was confident out there. He does a good job of seeing the game, can come off and articulate what he saw. And he's usually right." - Bill Belichick on Bailey Zappe in his NFL debut after his team’s win against the Lions in their last game.

 

 

"It's definitely frustrating. We know what talent we have in the building. We're just not showing it every play on Sunday. It's all about being consistent." - Greg Newsome after their loss against the Chargers in their last game.

 

 

 

WR Parker, DeVante

WR Agholor, Nelson

WR Meyers, Jakobi 

TE Henry, Hunter

QB Jones, Mac

RB Harris, Damien 

 

WR Cooper, Amari

WR Peoples-Jones, Donovan

WR Bell, David 

TE Njoku, David

QB Brissett, Jacoby

RB Chubb, Nick 

 

 

Passing: M. Jones (786)

Rushing: R. Stevenson (372)

Receiving: J. Meyers (261)

Touchdowns: D. Harris (3)

 

Passing: J. Brissett (1060)

Rushing: N. Chubb (593)

Receiving: A. Cooper (304)

Touchdowns: N. Chubb (7)

 

Coaches:

New England Patriots: Bill Belichick (23rd season)

Cleveland Browns: Kevin Stefanski (3rd season)