New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/08/2024

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, September 8, 2024

Venue:  Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, OH

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Patriots +8.5, Bengals -8.5; Over/Under:  40.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Patriots +8.5, Bengals -8.5; Over/Under:  40.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Patriots +9, Bengals -9; Over/Under:  40.5 points

New England Patriots:  0-0 (AFC East)

Cincinnati Bengals:  0-0 (AFC North)

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New England Patriots:  N/A

Cincinnati Bengals:  N/A

The Patriots finished last season with a 4-13 record overall and they were 2-4 in their division games too. They had a 1-8 record in their home games and had a 3-5 record in their road games where they will be in this game. Last season, their offense was averaging 13.9 points per game and their defense was allowing an average of 21.5 points per game. Their offense was also averaging 276.2 yards per game and their defense was allowing an average of 301.6 yards per game. Mac Jones led the team in passing yards with 2120, Ezekiel Elliott led the team in rushing yards with 642, and Demario Douglas led the team in receiving yards with 561.

The Bengals finished last season with a 9-8 record overall and they were 1-5 in their division games too. They had a 6-3 record in their home games and had a 3-5 record in their road games, but they will be at home in this game. Last season, their offense was averaging 21.5 points per game and their defense was allowing an average of 22.6 points per game. Their offense was also averaging 318.9 yards per game and their defense was allowing an average of 374.6 yards per game. Joe Burrow led the team in passing yards with 2309, Joe Mixon led the team in rushing yards with 1034, and Ja'Marr Chase led the team in receiving yards with 1216.

The current betting odds have the Patriots listed as an 8.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Patriots were terrible in their games last season with their 4-13 record overall and that signified the end of Belichick's long tenure in New England. Mayo is now taking over this season with a new starting quarterback as the team drafted Drake Maye, but they will be rolling out Brissett as the early season starter for now. Luckily for the Patriots, Brissett has a lot more NFL experience and is a very competent choice to start this opening game so he won't fall flat on his face here, especially with something to prove still. Meanwhile, the Bengals were 9-8 last season and had a really rocky season that was riddled with injuries. Joe Burrow is going to be back healthy for the start of the season, but now they are dealing with a contract dispute with his number 1 target Chase. They also lost Joe Mixon in the off-season and replaced him with Moss, but that is still going to be a bit of a downgrade for this run game. They have also been a bit of a slow starting team lately, losing their first 2 games of the season last year and losing their season opener 2 years in a row. The Patriots were terrible last season but they have made a lot of changes this year and they have a chance to shock this Bengals team in week 1. The best way to place a bet here is on the Patriots to cover the spread in this game. 

Patriots Bengals Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 8, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Bengals 20 Patriots 13.

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New England Patriots: 3-0 ATS in the second quarter of their last 3 road games. 3-1 ATS in the third quarter of their last 4 road games. 11-4 to the fourth quarter under in their last 15 games. 

Cincinnati Bengals: 7-13 ATS in their last 20 games. 6-11 ATS in the second half of their last 17 games. 6-11 ATS in the third quarter of their last 17 games. 

New England Patriots:  None.

Cincinnati Bengals:  None.

“We’ve changed things in the building, but in saying all that, you have to respect everything that Bill and his staff did. I learned a lot from him. People ask me about my philosophy, and it’s very similar to what I learned under Bill. I just hope to put my own spin on it.” - Jerod Mayo on taking over for Bill Belichick this season. 

"We'll just take it day by day." - Zac Taylor on the contract situation of Ja’Marr Chase and his status for week 1.

WR Thornton, Tyquan 

WR Osborn, K.J.

WR Douglas, DeMario 

TE Henry, Hunter 

QB Brissett, Jacoby

RB Stevenson, Rhamondre 

WR Chase, Ja'Marr 

WR Higgins, Tee 

WR Iosivas, Andrei 

TE Gesicki, Mike

QB Burrow, Joe 

RB Moss, Zack

Passing: N/A

Rushing: N/A

Receiving: N/A

Touchdowns: N/A

Passing: N/A

Rushing: N/A

Receiving: N/A

Touchdowns: N/A

Coaches:

New England Patriots: Jerod Mayo (1st season)

Cincinnati Bengals: Zac Taylor (6th season)