by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Nov 06, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 10, 2024
Venue: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Patriots +6, Bears -6; Over/Under: 39 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Patriots +6, Bears -6; Over/Under: 39 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Patriots +5.5, Bears -5.5; Over/Under: 39 points
Season Record
New England Patriots: 2-7 (4th place, AFC East)
Chicago Bears: 4-4 (4th place, NFC North)
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Recent Form
New England Patriots: lost their last game on the road against the Tennessee Titans 20-17 in overtime.
Chicago Bears: lost their last game on the road against the Arziona Cardinals 29-9.
New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears Preview and Analysis
The Patriots are entering this game with a 2-7 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Tennessee Titans 20-17 in OT. Drake Maye was the starting QB and he completed 29/41 passes for 206 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Drake Maye led the team in rushing yards with 95. Hunter Henry led the receivers with 56 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Jahlani Tavai led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Deatrich Wise Jr. led the defense in sacks with 1. Jahlani Tavai came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Bears are entering this game with a 4-4 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 0-4 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Arizona Cardinals 29-9. Caleb Williams was the starting QB and he completed 22/41 passes for 217 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. D'Andre Swift led the team in rushing yards with 51. Rome Odunze led the receivers with 104 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Tyrique Stevenson led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Kevin Byard III, Jacob Martin, and Christopher Williams each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Patriots vs Bears Prediction
The current betting odds have the Bears listed as a 6 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bears have looked good in their games this season with their 4-4 record overall, but that record has them at the bottom of the NFC North and out of the playoff race for now. They haven't looked good in their road games at all, coming off another road loss in their last one to the Cardinals, but they have looked a lot better in their home games with their 3-0 home record. Meanwhile, the Patriots have looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-7 record overall which has them at the bottom of the AFC East and pretty much out of the playoff race already. They have looked a lot better in their games lately with their rookie QB Drake Maye, but they are coming off a road loss in their last one and they lost to the Titans who have also been one of the worst teams in the NFL this season. The Patriots are only 1-3 in their road games this year and their offense hasn't been putting up a ton of points either. The Bears are going to be desperate to bounce back in this home game where they are still undefeated this year and they do have a really good defense that will have no problems shutting down this Patriots offense. The Bears have also looked better on offense in their home games too so they will be able to move the ball better in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bears to cover the spread in this game.
Patriots Bears Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 10, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Bears 27 Patriots 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
New England Patriots: 15-25 ATS in all games. 9-19 ATS as an underdog. 3-8 ATS in non-conference games. 3-9 ATS after a loss by 6 or less points. 11-6 OVER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 9-4 OVER versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 7-4 OVER in games played on a grass field.
Chicago Bears: 5-2 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 5-1 ATS vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. 4-0 OVER against AFC East division opponents. 7-2 OVER as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 7-3 OVER in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 9-5 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record.
Key Injuries
New England Patriots: J. Slye (K) Injured - Personal. T. Thornton (WR) Injured - Ankle. J. Tavai (LB) Injured - Back. C. Elliss (LB) Questionable - Abdomen. A. Gibson (RB) Injured - Toe. A. Austin (CB) Questionable - Ankle. J. Roy (DT) Questionable - Neck. D. Ekuale (DT) Injured - Abdomen. K. White (DE) Injured - Knee. L. Robinson (G) Injured - Ankle. J. Polk (WR) Injured - Concussion. M. Jordan (G) Questionable - Ankle. M. Mapu (SAF) Injured - Neck. D. Maye (QB) Undefined - Concussion. S. Takitaki (LB) Questionable - Knee. K. Dugger (SAF) Questionable - Ankle. J. Jones (CB) Injured - Shoulder. V. Lowe (T) Questionable - Shoulder.
Chicago Bears: M. Lewis (TE) Injured - NIR - Rest. M. Sweat (DL) Questionable - Shin. R. Bates (OL) Questionable - Shoulder. T. Jenkins (OL) Questionable - Knee. B. Jones (OL) Out - Knee. K. Amegadjie (OL) Out - Calf. L. Borom (OL) Questionable - Ankle. K. Gordon (DB) Questionable - Hamstring. J. Brisker (DB) Out - Concussion.
Notable Quotes
“I don’t want to get into that. It’s a good question. I just don’t want to get into it now.” - Jerod Mayo after his team’s overtime loss against the Titans in their last game.
“We’re working on exactly what we need to improve on and that, to me, starts with the run game on offense and then defense, and to me, everything falls off of that. We have to do a really good job of establishing that and that’s where you get your play-action passes and that’s where you get your play-action screens and putting yourselves in a good position to execute on third down if you get to that.” - Matt Eberflus after his team’s loss against the Cardinals in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New England Patriots
WR Bourne, Kendrick
WR Boutte, Kayshon
WR Douglas, DeMario
TE Henry, Hunter
QB Maye, Drake
RB Stevenson, Rhamondre
Chicago Bears
WR Moore, DJ
WR Odunze, Rome
WR Allen, Keenan
TE Kmet, Cole
QB Williams, Caleb
RB Swift, D'Andre
Statistical Leaders
New England Patriots
Passing: J. Brissett (828)
Rushing: R. Stevenson (438)
Receiving: H. Henry (414)
Touchdowns: R. Stevenson (7)
Chicago Bears
Passing: C. Williams (1665)
Rushing: D. Swift (505)
Receiving: R. Odunze (391)
Touchdowns: D. Swift (4)
Coaches:
New England Patriots: Jerod Mayo (1st season)
Chicago Bears: Matt Eberflus (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
