New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/15/2022

Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Saturday, January 15, 2022

Venue:  Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Patriots +3.5, Bills -3.5; Over/Under:  42.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Patriots +4, Bills -4; Over/Under:  43 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Patriots +4.5, Bills -4.5; Over/Under:  43.5 points

 

New England Patriots:  10-7 (2nd place, AFC East)

Buffalo Bills:  11-6 (1st place, AFC East)

 

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New England Patriots:  lost on the road on January 9 against the Miami Dolphins 33-24.

Buffalo Bills:  won at home on January 9 against the New York Jets 27-10.

 

 

 

The Patriots are coming into this game after finishing the regular season with a 10-7 record overall and they were 6-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They were 3-1 in their divisional games this season and they went 1-1 against the Bills. They won their first meeting with the Bills in Buffalo 14-10 but then lost their last meeting at home 33-21. The Patriots have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. Their last win was against the Jacksonville Jaguars while their 3 losses in that span came against the Indianapolis Colts, the Buffalo Bills, and the Miami Dolphins in their last game. Mac Jones completed 20/30 passes for 261 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception in that one. Brandon Bolden led the team in rushing with 46 yards and 1 touchdown on 7 carries while Damien Harris had 37 yards and 1 touchdown on 11 carries. Hunter Henry led the receivers with 86 yards on 5 receptions while Jakobi Meyers had 70 yards on 4 receptions. Ja'Whaun Bentley led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 8 assisted ones while Adrian Phillips was right behind with 9 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Kyle Van Noy recorded the only sack in that game while no one on the defense came up with an interception in that one. They have scored 462 points this season averaging 27.2 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 303 points against them allowing 17.8 PPG. Their offense is averaging 353.4 YPG while their defense is allowing 310.8 YPG.

 

 

The Bills are coming into this game after finishing the regular season with an 11-6 record overall and they were 6-3 in their home games this season. They were 5-1 in their division games this season but that 1 loss came against the Patriots. Their last loss was against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers but they have gone on a 4 game winning streak since then with wins coming against the Carolina Panthers, the New England Patriots, the Atlanta Falcons., and the New York Jets in their last game. Josh Allen completed 24/45 passes for 239 yards and 2 touchdowns in that one. Devin Singletary led the team in rushing with 88 yards and 1 touchdown on 19 carries. Stefon Diggs led the receivers with 81 yards and 1 touchdown on 9 receptions while Singletary caught the other touchdown pass in that one. Gregory Rousseau led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles. Mario Addison and Jordan Poyer both led the defense in sacks in that game with 2 each while no one on the defense was able to come up with an interception in that one. They have scored 483 points this season averaging 28.4 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 289 points against them allowing 17 PPG. Their offense is averaging 381.9 YPG while their defense is allowing 272.8 YPG.

 

 

The Bills are coming into this game as a 3.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bills have been getting hot in their recent games getting ready for the playoffs by going on a 4 game win streak coming into this game. Their defense has been great recently, allowing 15 points or less in 3 of their last 4 games. The Bills only lost 1 game against a division opponent all season and that was against the patriots but they actually got their revenge and won the last meeting between these two and they were on the road in that game. The Patriots were playing very well but they have hit a slump now, losing 3 of their last 4 games and this is the wrong time to start falling out of form. The Bills are the better team in every department, they have one of the best defenses in the NFL, they have a better offense, and they have a better quarterback. The Bills have been playing much better in recent games as well while the Patriots have fallen off and are not playing well. The best bet to place in this game is on the Bills to cover the spread here as they will win this game by a lot of points thanks to their great offense and great defense.

 

Patriots Bills Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Saturday, January 15, 2022 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Bills 28 Patriots 13.

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New England Patriots: 49-28 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 94-55 ATS as an underdog. 146-101 ATS in games played on turf. 30-19 ATS in January games. 38-21 ATS off 3 or more consecutive overs. 33-17 ATS revenging a same season loss against opponent.

Buffalo Bills: 6-10 ATS in playoff games. 2-5 ATS in the Wild Card round of the playoffs. 19-34 ATS after having won 4 out of their last 5 games. 15-32 ATS off a home win against a division rival. 15-31 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival. 12-26 ATS after gaining 150 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games.

 

 

New England Patriots:  S. Wade (CB) Out indefinitely - Illness. D. Hightower (LB) Ques Sat - Knee injury. K. Dugger (DB) Ques Sat - Hand injury.

Buffalo Bills:  E. Obada (DE) Ques Sat - Ankle injury. E. Sanders (WR) Ques Sat - Knee injury. T. White (CB) I-R - Knee injury.

 

 

"Played poorly, coached poorly, didn't do anything very well. Just too many mistakes. Way too many. We'll go look at the film, turn the page here, make some corrections and move on to next week. That's really about it." - Bill Belichick on his team’s loss against the Dolphins in their last game on Sunday.

 

 

"We bounced back from losses and tough losses where everybody counted us out. Everybody said our defense couldn't do this, couldn't do that. The offense couldn't do this and couldn't do that. But nobody panicked and nobody read into it. Everybody just came into work every day and just worked." - Jordan Poyer after their win against the Jets in their last game on Sunday.

 

 

 

WR Agholor, Nelson 

WR Meyers, Jakobi 

TE Smith, Jonnu 

QB Jones, Mac 

RB Harris, Damien 

FB Johnson, Jakob 

 

WR Davis, Gabriel 

WR Diggs, Stefon 

WR BEASLEY, COLE 

TE Knox, Dawson 

QB Allen, Josh 

RB Singletary, Devin 

FB Gilliam, Reggie 

 

 

Passing: M. Jones (3801)

Rushing: D. Harris (929)

Receiving: J. Meyers (866)

Touchdowns: D. Harris (15)

 

Passing: J. Allen (4407)

Rushing: D. Singletary (870)

Receiving: S. Diggs (1225)

Touchdowns: S. Diggs (10)

 

Coaches:

New England Patriots: Bill Belichick (22nd season)

Buffalo Bills: Sean McDermott (5th season)