by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Dec 12, 2024
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, December 15, 2024
Venue: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Patriots +6, Cardinals -6; Over/Under: 46 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Patriots +6, Cardinals -6; Over/Under: 46 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Patriots +6, Cardinals -6; Over/Under: 46 points
Season Record
New England Patriots: 3-10 (4th place, AFC East)
Arizona Cardinals: 6-7 (3rd place, NFC West)
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Recent Form
New England Patriots: lost their last game at home against the Indianapolis Colts 25-24.
Arizona Cardinals: lost their last game at home against the Seattle Seahawks 30-18.
New England Patriots vs Arizona Cardinals Preview and Analysis
The Patriots are entering this game with a 3-10 record overall and they have a 1-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-5 in their home games, 2-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Indianapolis Colts 25-24. Drake Maye was the starting QB and he completed 24/30 passes for 238 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Rhamondre Stevenson led the team in rushing yards with 73. Hunter Henry led the receivers with 75 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Jabrill Peppers led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Christian Gonzalez and Christian Elliss each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
The Cardinals are entering this game with a 6-7 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-3 in their home games, 2-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Seattle Seahawks 30-18. Kyler Murray was the starting QB and he completed 25/38 passes for 259 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. James Conner led the team in rushing yards with 90. Trey McBride led the receivers with 70 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Budda Baker led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 10 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Patriots vs Cardinals Prediction
The current betting odds have the Cardinals listed as a 6 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cardinals haven't looked great in their games this season with their 6-7 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the NFC West. They were leading the NFC West just a few weeks ago, but 2 losses to the Seahawks in the last 3 weeks have now put them behind in the division race. They still have a chance to make the playoffs, but they can't really afford to lose anymore games, and this is a must-win game for them at home against a much weaker opponent. Meanwhile, the Patriots have looked terrible in their games this season with their 3-10 record overall which has them at the bottom of the AFC East with one of the worst records in the entire NFL. Drake Maye has looked good in their games lately as he is improving each week, and the team is coming out of their bye week so they have had extra time to prepare for this one, but they have looked terrible on defense lately and this is exactly what the Cardinals need to give their offense a spark. The Patriots have been putting up some points at home lately, but this will be a tougher game on the road and the Cardinals have a pretty good run game that is going to have success against this Patriots defense. The Cardinals have been in a slump lately, but this is a get right game for them at home and they should be able to pull away where the Patriots have no way back in the game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cardinals to cover the spread in this game.
Patriots Cardinals Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 15, 2024 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Cardinals 34 Patriots 14.
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NFL Betting Trends
New England Patriots: 17-27 ATS in all games. 11-21 ATS as an underdog. 3-14 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 13-7 OVER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 6-3 OVER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 12-3 OVER versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 yards/play or more.
Arizona Cardinals: 9-5 ATS in non-conference games. 7-3 ATS off a loss against a division rival. 4-0 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 4-1 OVER as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 6-3 OVER off a loss against a division rival. 6-3 OVER versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more.
Key Injuries
New England Patriots: J. Peppers (SAF) Injured - Knee. D. Wise (DE) Injured - Foot. A. Jennings (LB) Injured - Knee. S. Takitaki (LB) Injured - Knee. V. Lowe (T) Injured - Shoulder. M. Jones (CB) Injured - Illness. C. Barmore (DT) Injured - NIR. C. Strange (G) Injured - Knee. K. Dugger (SAF) Injured - Ankle. J. Roy (DT) Injured - Foot. C. Gonzalez (CB) Injured - Shoulder. J. Baker (WR) Injured - Concussion. C. Wallace (T) Injured - Ankle.
Arizona Cardinals: R. Lopez (DL) Injured - Ankle. B. Gillikin (P) Injured - Foot. E. Demercado (RB) Injured - Back. T. McBride (TE) Injured - Knee. N. Jones (DT) Injured - Shoulder. E. Jones (CB) Injured - Ankle. K. Beachum (OL) Injured - NIR-Rest. D. Robinson (DL) Injured - Calf.
Notable Quotes
“I have to give our guys some chances. Just can’t settle for four field goals in the red zone and expect to win ball games.” - Drake Maye after their loss against the Colts in their last game.
“I've got to find some answers to get us going a little bit, because we haven't played great the past couple weeks. That falls on me. I've got to go back to the drawing board tomorrow, get these things corrected, put them in a better position, and we've got to win a game.” - Jonathan Gannon after his team’s loss against the Seahawks in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New England Patriots
WR Bourne, Kendrick
WR Boutte, Kayshon
WR Douglas, DeMario
TE Henry, Hunter
QB Maye, Drake
RB Stevenson, Rhamondre
Arizona Cardinals
WR Jones, Zay
WR Harrison Jr., Marvin
WR Wilson, Michael
TE McBride, Trey
QB Murray, Kyler
RB Conner, James
Statistical Leaders
New England Patriots
Passing: D. Maye (1696)
Rushing: R. Stevenson (671)
Receiving: H. Henry (610)
Touchdowns: R. Stevenson (7)
Arizona Cardinals
Passing: K. Murray (2862)
Rushing: J. Conner (863)
Receiving: T. McBride (851)
Touchdowns: M. Harrison (7)
Coaches:
New England Patriots: Jerod Mayo (1st season)
Arizona Cardinals: Jonathan Gannon (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
