Nevada Wolf Pack vs Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/30/2023

Game Time: 10:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 30, 2023

Venue:  Valley Children's Stadium, Fresno, CA

Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nevada +24.5, Fresno -24.5; Over/Under:  50 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nevada +24.5, Fresno -24.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nevada +24.5, Fresno -24.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points

Nevada Wolf Pack:  0-4 (0-0) (12th place, MWC)

Fresno State Bulldogs:  4-0 (0-0) (3rd place, MWC)

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Nevada Wolf Pack:  lost their last game on the road against the Texas State Bobcats 35-24.

Fresno State Bulldogs:  won their last game at home against the Kent State Golden Flashes 53-10.

Nevada is entering this game with a 0-4 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Texas State 35-24. Brendon Lewis was the starting QB and he completed 21/32 passes for 151 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Brendon Lewis led the team in rushing yards with 89. Isaiah Essissima led the receivers with 67 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Emany Johnson led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Marcel Walker and Ike Nnakenyi each led the defense in sacks with 1. KK Meier came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Fresno State is entering this game with a 4-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Kent State 53-10. Mikey Keene was the starting QB and he completed 24/31 passes for 325 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Malik Sherrod led the team in rushing yards with 71. Jalen Moss led the receivers with 120 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Morice Norris led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Fresno State listed as a 24.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Fresno State has looked really good this season with their 4-0 record and they have some really impressive wins under their belt. They went on the road and beat Purdue and they also have a road win against Arizona State in a game where they shut them out. Their defense is really good but they also have an offense that can put up points and Nevada is one of the worst teams in the Mountain West this year. Nevada doesn't have a win yet with their 0-4 record overall and they were close to getting a win last week as they took a 17-0 lead on Texas State, but they also blew their lead in the 2nd half as they gave up 35 straight points to lose the game in the end. They don't have a good defense and their offense has struggled in all of their games too. Fresno State is at home in their 1st conference game of the season here and they are going to be ready to add another blowout win to their schedule this season. The best way to place a bet here is on Fresno State to cover the spread in this game.

Nevada Fresno State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 30, 2023 (10:30 pm ET start time) is Fresno State 45 Nevada 17.

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Nevada Wolf Pack: 3-6 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 2-6 ATS off a road loss. 21-9 UNDER off a cover where the team lost as an underdog. 28-19 UNDER after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers. 

Fresno State Bulldogs: 5-1 ATS after a cover as a double digit favorite. 8-3 ATS off a home win. 25-15 ATS after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins. 7-1 UNDER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 30-15 UNDER after a cover as a double digit favorite.

Nevada Wolf Pack:  None.

Fresno State Bulldogs:  D. Moore (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed.

"Well, we haven't won a game, so not where we need to be. We played some really good football teams. The last two games, we've been ahead or tied at halftime and lost those games in the second half. We've got to learn to finish games and do disciplined football at the end of games. I think our better days are ahead of us. Like I told the guys in the locker room, you can see when they're doing it and when they're playing. When they're doing the things we're asking them to do and playing right, we can match up with anybody. And if we don't make tackles and give up big plays and turn the ball over, we're not going to beat anybody. We've got some stuff still to work on, obviously, and we're back at it." - Ken Wilson on his team’s winless start to the season coming into this game against Fresno State this week.

“When you’re 4-0 that can be even more challenging than 1-4, you know? Because of expectations and everybody patting you on the back and that type of thing. It’s human nature to get in your comfort zone so we have to do our best to stay out of that.” - Jeff Tedford on his team’s perfect start to the season coming into this game against Nevada this week. 

WR Campbell, Dalevon 

WR Curtis, Spencer 

WR Bell, Jamaal 

TE Latu, Keleki 

QB Lewis, Brendon 

RB Dollars, Sean 

WR Dalena, Mac 

WR Gill, Jaelen 

WR Brooks, Erik 

TE Watson, Tre 

QB Keene, Mikey 

RB Sherrod, Malik

Passing: B. Lewis (550)

Rushing: B. Lewis (171)

Receiving: J. Bell (223)

Touchdowns: S. Dollars (2)

Passing: M. Keene (1205)

Rushing: E. Gilliam (273)

Receiving: E. Brooks (448)

Touchdowns: E. Gilliam (5)

Coaches:

Nevada Wolf Pack: Ken Wilson (2nd season)

Fresno State Bulldogs: Jeff Tedford (5th season)