Nevada Wolf Pack vs Dayton Flyers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/21/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Mar 19, 2024
Game Time: 4:30 pm ET, Thursday, March 21, 2024
Venue:  Delta Center, Salt Lake City, UT 
Where to Watch:  TBS, MAX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nevada -1.5, Dayton +1.5; Over/Under:  136.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nevada -1.5, Dayton +1.5; Over/Under:  136.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nevada -1.5, Dayton +1.5; Over/Under:  136.5 points

Season Record

Nevada Wolf Pack:  26-7 (13-5) (2nd place, MWC)
Dayton Flyers:  24-7 (14-4) (3rd place, Atlantic 10)

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Recent Form
Nevada Wolf Pack:  4-1  last 5
Dayton Flyers:  3-2  last 5


Nevada Wolf Pack vs Dayton Flyers Preview and Analysis


Nevada is entering this game with a 26-7 record overall, a 13-5 record in conference games, and they are 3-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Colorado State Rams in their last game. Jarod Lucas led the team in points per game in that game with 18 while Kenan Blackshear was next on the team with 16. Kenan Blackshear led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Nick Davidson and Tylan Pope each led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 47.9% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 73% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 76.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.1 PPG against them. Nevada has an ATS record of 21-11 this season and their O/U record is 15-17.


Dayton is entering this game with a 24-7 record overall, a 14-4 conference record, and they are 3-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Duquesne Dukes in their last game. DaRon Holmes II led the team in points in that game with 24 while Nate Santos was next on the team with 10. DaRon Holmes II led the team in assists with 3 in that game while DaRon Holmes II led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 32% from the field, 26.9% from 3-point range, and 72% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 74.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 66.3 PPG against them. Dayton has an ATS record of 15-15-1 this season and their O/U record is 18-12-1.



Nevada vs Dayton Prediction

The current betting odds have Nevada listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Nevada has looked really good in their games this season with their 26-7 record overall and their 13-5 conference record which had them right near the top of the MWC this season. They are only 3-2 in their neutral site games this year but they have looked really good in their games lately. They didn't have a deep run in the MWC Tournament but they are still 4-1 in their last 5 games and have played against some really strong opponents in a tough Mountain West Conference this year. Meanwhile, Dayton has looked good in their games this season with their 24-7 record overall and their 14-4 conference record which had them right near the top of their conference. They haven't been at their best in these neutral site games this season either since they are only 3-2 in those and they didn't make a deep run in the A10 Conference Tournament either. They struggled in their conference tournament just as they struggled to be the best in the conference all season, finishing 3rd during the regular season, while Nevada played in a much stronger conference all year and are even the hotter team coming into this one with their 4-1 record in their last 5 games. The best way to place a bet here is on Nevada to cover the spread in this game. 

Nevada Dayton Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Thursday, March 21, 2024 (4:30 pm ET start time) is Nevada 82 Dayton 76.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Nevada Wolf Pack Dayton Flyers prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAB predictions and previews.

NCAAB Betting Trends


Nevada Wolf Pack: 21-11 ATS in all games. 11-6 ATS after 5 straight games forcing opponents to commit 14 or less turnovers. 10-3 ATS in non-conference games. 23-11 OVER when the total is 130 to 139.5. 6-3 OVER after 3 or more consecutive overs. 

Dayton Flyers: 1-8 ATS after a game being outrebounded by an opponent by 15 or more. 11-19 ATS after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite. 18-24 ATS as a neutral court underdog of 6 points or less or pick. 17-4 OVER in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5. 8-2 OVER after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite. 

Key Injuries


Nevada Wolf Pack:  H. McIntosh (G) Ques Thurs - Knee. I. Hymes (G) Out indefinitely - Illness. T. Powell (G) out for season - Redshirt.

Dayton Flyers:  M. Smith (G) out for season - Knee.

Notable Quotes


“We beat them twice this year. We knew they would come out and give us their best shot.” - Jared Lucas after their loss against CSU in their last game of the MWC Tournament on Thursday.


“There’s no guarantees for anything. So we hope that we get an opportunity to continue the season. We expect to (be in the tournament) based on the body of work that we’ve had all year. We hope to be able to play. Right now, the feeling is disappointment in losing and not having an opportunity for this team to win a championship in our conference where it’s the regular season or postseason. So there’s disappointment right now.” - Anthony Grant after his team’s loss against Duquesne in their last game of the A10 Tournament on Thursday.


Starting Lineups


Nevada Wolf Pack
K. Blackshear 
T. Coleman 
N. Davidson 
K. Hymes 
J. Lucas

Dayton Flyers
J. Bennett 
E. Cheeks 
K. Elvis 
D. Holmes II 
N. Santos

Statistical Leaders


Nevada Wolf Pack
PPG: J. Lucas (17.8)
APG: K. Blackshear (4.8)
Reb/G: N. Davidson (7.3)

Dayton Flyers
PPG: D. Holmes II (20.2)
APG: K. Elvis (3.7)
Reb/G: D. Holmes II (8.3)

Coaches:
Nevada Wolf Pack: Steve Alford (5th season)
Dayton Flyers: Anthony Grant (7th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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