by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Tuesday, Nov 23, 2021
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 27, 2021
Venue: Sonny Lubick Field at Canvas Stadium, Fort Collins, CO
Where to Watch: CBS Sports
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Nevada -4.5, CSU +4.5; Over/Under: 55.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Nevada -4.5, CSU +4.5; Over/Under: 55.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Nevada -4.5, CSU +4.5; Over/Under: 55.5 points
Season Record
Nevada Wolf Pack: 7-4 (3rd place, MW West)
Colorado State Rams: 3-8 (5th place, MW Mountain)
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Nevada Wolf Pack vs Colorado State Rams Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Nevada Wolf Pack: lost at home on Nov. 20 against the Air Force Falcons in overtime 41-39.
Colorado State Rams: lost on the road on Nov. 20 against the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 50-45.
Nevada Wolf Pack Analysis
Nevada is coming into this game with a 7-4 record overall and they are 2-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 8th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 4-3 in their conference games this season. They are coming into this game on a 2 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. Carson Strong played well in that game as he completed 27/44 passes for 351 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception. Toa Taua led the team in rushing with 77 yards and 1 touchdown on 15 carries. Romeo Doubs had a very nice day as he led the receivers with 159 yards and 2 touchdowns on 11 receptions while Tory Horton was right behind him with 105 yards on 8 receptions. Cole Turner caught the other 2 touchdown passes in that one. Sam Hammond led the defense in that game with 11 solo tackles. No one on the defense recorded any sacks or came up with any interceptions in that one. They have scored 388 total points in their 11 games this season averaging 35.3 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 283 points against them allowing 25.7 PPG. Their offense is averaging 431.6 YPG while their defense is allowing 397.5 YPG.
Colorado State Rams Analysis
CSU is coming into this college football game with a 3-8 record overall and they are 1-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 8th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 2-5 in their conference games this season. They are coming into this one on a 5 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. Todd Centeio played well in that game but he also struggled a lot at times as he completed 29/48 passes for 527 yards, 5 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. David Bailey led the team in rushing with 87 yards and 1 touchdown on 16 carries. Dante Wright had a nice day as he led the receivers with 150 yards and 1 touchdown on 8 receptions while Cam Butler had 93 yards and 2 touchdowns on 2 receptions. Gary Williams also had 92 yards and 2 touchdowns on 6 receptions while Trey McBride had 89 yards on 6 receptions. Jack Howell led the defense in that game with 11 solo tackles. Scott Patchan led the defense in sacks in that game with 2 while no one on the defense came up with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 274 points in their 11 games this season averaging 24.9 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 287 points against them allowing 26.1 PPG. Their offense is averaging 413.5 YPG while their defense is allowing 365.4 YPG.
Nevada vs Colorado State Prediction
CSU is coming into this contest as a 4.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Neither of these teams have been playing well in this final stretch of the regular season but CSU is coming off of a loss by 5 points in a very high scoring game where they scored 45 points and still lost. Their offense is moving the ball well and it is their defense that has been holding them back. Nevada has been in some close games recently but their offense has been struggling to get going in the first half of their games, with a majority of their points scored coming in the second half of their games. CSU will be looking to finish their season off on a good note as this will be the final game for sure. The best bet to place in this game is on CSU to cover the spread here as their offense will be able to keep up in this game and keep it close at home.
Nevada Colorado State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 27, 2021 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Nevada 38 CSU 35.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Nevada Wolf Pack: 21-28 O/U as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 108-122 O/U in all games. 51-68 O/U as a favorite. 21-27 O/U as a road favorite. 73-81 O/U against conference opponents.
Colorado State Rams: 173-166 ATS in all games. 95-84 ATS as an underdog. 31-22 ATS as a home underdog. 79-66 ATS in home games. 118-109 ATS against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
Nevada Wolf Pack: J. Claiborne (DB) Ques Sat - Knee injury. T. Williams (DB) Out indefinitely - Knee injury. E. Cooks (WR) out for season - Foot injury.
Colorado State Rams: E. Scott (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. M. Valecce (QB) out for season - Lower Body injury. L. Crump (DB) out for season - Upper Body injury.
Notable Quotes
"We've got to coach a little bit better, and we've got to play a little bit better. When the game's in the balance, it comes down to fundamentals and the details of your assignments. We've just got to be a little bit better.” - Jay Norvell on why his team did not make the MWC title game this year.
“He’s a ball guy. I’ve seen him in all phases, he’s just steadily grew and I think he’s on a tremendous course right now to be a hell of a football player." - Steve Addazio on Jack Howell winning the Mountain West Freshman of the Week.
Starting Lineups
Nevada Wolf Pack
WR Lockhart, Justin
WR Doubs, Romeo
WR Melquan Stovall
TE Turner, Cole
QB Strong, Carson
RB Taua, Toa
Colorado State Rams
WR Wright, Dante
WR Ty McCullouch
TE McBride, Trey
TE Butler, Cam
QB Centeio, Todd
RB Bailey, David
Statistical Leaders
Nevada Wolf Pack
Passing: C. Strong (3898)
Rushing: T. Taua (635)
Receiving: R. Doubs (1012)
Touchdowns: C. Turner (10)
Colorado State Rams
Passing: T. Centeio (2773)
Rushing: D. Bailey (738)
Receiving: T. McBride (927)
Touchdowns: D. Bailey (9)
Coaches:
Nevada Wolf Pack: Jay Norvell (5th season)
Colorado State Rams: Steve Addazio (2nd season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
