Nevada Wolf Pack vs Air Force Falcons Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/23/2022

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Sep 19, 2022
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, September 23, 2022
Venue:  Falcon Stadium, Air Force Academy, CO
Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nevada +25, AFA -25; Over/Under:  48.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nevada +24.5, AFA -24.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nevada +24.5, AFA -24.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points
 

Season Record

Nevada Wolf Pack:  2-2 (2nd place, MWC West)
Air Force Falcons:  2-1 (3rd place, MWC Mountain)
 
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Kyle Hunter is on a RUN of 9-0 last 9 Football Selections! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
 
Recent Form
Nevada Wolf Pack:  lost their last game on the road against the Iowa Hawkeyes 27-0.
Air Force Falcons:  lost their last game on the road against the Wyoming Cowboys 17-14.

 

Nevada Wolf Pack vs Air Force Falcons Preview and Analysis

 
Nevada is entering this game with a 2-2 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 3rd road game of the season here as they are 1-1 in their road games this year. This will also be their 1st conference game of the college football season this year. They lost against the Iowa Hawkeyes in their last game on the road 27-0. Shane Illingworth started that game at QB and he completed 14/28 passes for 82 yards and 1 interception. Devonte Lee led the team in rushing with 33 yards on 9 rushing attempts. Dalevon Campbell led the team in receiving with 21 yards on 3 receptions. Jaden Dedman led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles. Tongiaki Mateialona, Dom Peterson, and Drue Watts all led the defense in sacks with 1 each while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
AFA is entering this game with a 2-1 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 3rd home game of the season as they are 2-0 in their home games this year. This will also be the 2nd conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 0-1. They lost against the Wyoming Cowboys in their last game on the road 17-14. Haaziq Daniels started that game at QB and he completed 7/14 passes for 101 yards and 2 touchdowns. John Eldridge led the team in rushing with 104 yards on 13 carries. Cade Harris led the team in receiving with 45 yards and 1 TD on 2 receptions. Michael Mack II led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle. Trey Taylor came away with the only interception for them while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one.

 

Nevada vs Air Force Prediction

The current betting odds have AFA as a 25 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. AFA just lost their conference opener in Wyoming but they have looked a lot better on their home field this year and will be looking to bounce back in this game. They cannot afford to lose another conference game here but luckily for them, they are getting a Nevada team that was just blanked by Iowa in their last game, and Iowa has a really bad offense too. They still got carved up by them losing 27-0 and were unable to get anything going offensively. This game could be very similar as AFA played good defense against Wyoming too, but they will be even better here at home. Their offense will also be a lot better as it has been at home and they run a very dangerous triple option with Haaziq Daniels under center. They will have no problem moving the ball on Nevada and that bad defense, this will be a game where they just continue putting points up all day. The best way to place a bet here is on AFA to cover the spread in this game.
 
Nevada Air Force Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, September 23, 2022 (8:00 pm ET start time) is AFA 45 Nevada 13.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Nevada Wolf Pack Air Force Falcons prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
 

NCAAF Betting Trends

 
Nevada Wolf Pack: 16-10 ATS in all games. 10-4 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 8-1 OVER after playing their last game on the road.
Air Force Falcons: 7-16 ATS as a home favorite of 21.5 or more points. 28-49 ATS off a road loss. 9-5 OVER off an upset loss as a double digit favorite.
 

Key Injuries

 
Nevada Wolf Pack:  None.
Air Force Falcons:  D. Hughes (WR) day-to-day - Undisclosed. D. Kinamon (WR) day-to-day - Undisclosed. W. Wilson (WR) Early Oct - Shoulder.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"That's a first right there. First one, we fed them some food. The long one, we let them take their pads off, let them walk around in the hallway. The last one, we knew it wouldn't be too long, so we just put together our plan for the rest of the game." - Ken Wilson after his team’s loss against Iowa in their last game.
 
 
“We’re going to begin all over. Being at an academy, playing in a major conference, there’s no such thing as sustainability. Really, you go into this year with zero expectations.” - Troy Calhoun on his team this season.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Nevada Wolf Pack
WR Mack, Tyrese
WR Casteel, B.J.
WR Bell, Jamaal 
TE Shults, Cooper
QB Cox, Nate
RB Taua, Toa 
 
Air Force Falcons
WR Kinamon, Dane
WR Cormier, David 
TE Rillos, Caleb
QB Daniels, Haaziq
RB Hughes, DeAndre
FB Roberts, Brad 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Nevada Wolf Pack
Passing: N. Cox (372)
Rushing: T. Taua (277)
Receiving: J. Bell (116)
Touchdowns: D. Lee (4)
 
Air Force Falcons
Passing: H. Daniels (218)
Rushing: B. Roberts (342)
Receiving: D. Kinamon (88)
Touchdowns: B. Roberts (4) 
 
Coaches:
Nevada Wolf Pack: Ken Wilson (1st season)
Air Force Falcons: Troy Calhoun (16th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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