NCAAF: Army vs Georgia State Prediction, Odds and Preview - 08/24/2021

by James Q

NCAAF:  Army vs Georgia State Prediction, Odds and Preview - 08/24/2021

Game Time: 12:00 EDT, Saturday, September 4th, 2021
Venue:  Center Parc Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
Where to Watch:  ESPN

Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

Spread:  Georgia State -3, Army +3
O/U:  51.5
Moneyline:  Army +120, Georgia State -148

Season Record

Black Knights: 0-0  First game.  (FBS Independent)
Panthers:  0-0   First game.  (Sun Belt Conference)
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Army vs Georgia State Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
The Army Black Knights were 9-3 last season (2020).  They were disciplined, giving up only 39 yards per game per contest to land them in the top 25 in college football.  They were lucky on fumbles… 26 times in game action… while recovering those fumbles 18 times… That’s 18-8.  The entire schedule could have been 6-6 if it weren’t for the turnover ratio in close games.
The Georgia State Panthers (GSU), were 6-4 on the year and 4-4 in their conference.  Not as disciplined… They gave up 58 yards per game in penalties.  When you are 4-4 in conference and lose to the Arkansas State Red Wolves, you definitely need to tighten up that lost yardage.

Offensive Analysis

Army finished in the top 5 in the nation in rushing (4th), they always do.  They are a rushing team.  They have receivers that they mostly use for reverses and “end-arounds”... but sometimes they throw the ball just to check if the safeties and corners are cheating up to stop the run.  The result was 273 rushing yards per game.  
Georgia State finished 2020 .500 in the Sun Belt conference.  When they played quality teams they’re offense struggled.  They have a lot of returning starters, but since every college football team does (covid eligibility extensions) that is not a great plus.

Defensive Analysis

Army increased it’s nickel defense in 2019 and has had improved success since.  You should expect more nickel.  They had a 9-3 season while allowing only 14.8 points a game.  The defense does it’s part in the run heavy games Army gets entangled in. LB Jon Rattigan and LB Arik Smith led the defense last season and will again.  Army should be strong on D again.

Georgia State Panthers defense led the Sun Belt conference in both sacks and tackles for a loss. They were strong and tough… and even though they gave up a lot of points that was usually because the offense had let them down and left them on the field after many 3 and outs. The tough defense will need an overhaul.  They lost their three Sun Belt all-stars LB Jordan Strachan (transfer), LB Victor Hayward (done with college), and Trajan Stephens McQueen (done with college).  They will have to re-stock and build around Hardick Willis, last year’s six sack Edge Rusher.



Army vs Georgia State Prediction

Georgia State has to rebuild a defense that lost its core… Army doesn’t.  The Spread is 3 points in Georgia State’s favor.
The Prediction for Army Vs Georgia State Saturday, September 4th is Army 27  Georgia State 17
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NCAAF Betting Trends

Georgia State beat Army 28-21 in the only other time they have ever played OCT of 2019.
Over has hit in 4 of Army’s last 6 games.
Georgia State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
Over has hit in 8 of Georgia State’s last 11 games.

Key Injuries

Army:  No injuries reported.  They play “one for all, all for one” football.  If someone was hurt they just put the next guy up.
Georgia State:  Also no injuries reported. They have a lot of returning starters so full health would be an absolute bonus.

Players to Watch

Army:  Tyrell Robinson.  The 5’9 180 lb speedster averaged 7 yards per carry last season.  He should get more carries this year.   Also Fullback Cade Barnard will take over for longtime fullback Sandon McCoy who has moved on.

Notable Quotes

“The human performance center is not just a gym,... What you’re going to see here is the same things that you would see at a professional or collegiate athletic venue.”  -Ray Bear Army Coordinator.. About the new “Human Performance Training Center”  that cost 17 million and is supposedly nicer than most D-1 football facilities.  He left out the part about it looking like a prison with all metal and concrete design.
“We’ve got a lot of returning starters. We really do,...We’ve got got 11 offensive starters returning. We’ve got nine of 11 on defense. We’ve got our specialists back, just like a lot of these teams do coming off this COVID year. So we feel like we’ve got a great group of experienced players to push through”. - Georgia State head coach Shawn Elliot

Starting Lineups

QB Christian Anderson
RB Brandon Walters
RB Tyrell Robinson
WR Cole Caterbone
WR Reiken Donaldson
TE Chris Cameron
LT Mason Kolinchak
LG Noah Knapp
C  Connor Bishop
RG Dean Powell
RT Connor Finucane
Georgia State
QB Cornelious Brown IV
RB Destin Coates
WR Cornelius McCoy
WR Terrance Dixon
WR Sam Pinckney
LT  Shamarious Gilmore
LG  Travis Glover
C  Malik Sumter
RG Pat Bartlett
RT Johnathan Bass

Statistical Leaders

Passing:  C Anderson QB 215 yards… Army is a running team.
Rushing: T. Tyler  RB 578 Tards… They had 4 rushers get over 400 yards and 5 others get over 100 yards.  And 8 others get over 20 yards. That’s right they used 22 different guys on rushing plays.  They are a rushing team.
Receiving:  T.  Robinson  WR 117 yards… not in a game… over the season… AND he led the team!!  Did I mention that Army is a rushing offense?
Georgia State
Passing: C. Brown QB, 2,278 yards, 17 TD and 10 INT
Rushing: D. Coates RB, 769 yards, 7 TD
Receiving: S. Pickney WR, 815 yards, 7 TD

Weather Forecast

Partly Cloudy, high of 84*, 56% humidity, 6 mph winds.

James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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