NBA Underdogs Barking- What’s Next?
The dogs are barking in a big way in the NBA this season. That is especially the case in the last 30 days. Underdogs are 108-78-1 ATS (58.2% ATS) in the last 30 days in the NBA. For the season, underdogs are at nearly 54% ATS in the NBA.
Which teams have been best as an underdogs so far this season?
Houston is 3-0 ATS as an underdog
Detroit is 5-1 ATS as an underdog. They are 3-0 ATS as a road underdog.
The Chicago Bulls are 11-3 ATS as an underdog
Portland is 13-5 ATS as an underdog. They are 7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
The Lakers are 8-4 ATS as an underdog
Utah is 10-4 ATS as a home underdog. They are just 13-11 ATS as an underdog overall.
Which teams have performed poorly as an underdog?
Memphis is 6-12 ATS as an underdog this season
Sacramento is 9-17 ATS as an underdog
Washington is 110-15 ATS as an underdog
Home underdogs are 97-76-1 ATS in the NBA as a whole for the season. Finding NBA underdogs with the rest advantage has been particularly powerful in recent years, and that has continued so far this season.
Impressive numbers for the season overall, and very impressive numbers in recent weeks for the underdogs. What does that mean you should do next? One thing I would be careful about doing is just backing all underdogs because they have done so well in this period of time. Keep in mind that often when the whole betting public starts jumping on a trend in a league as large as the NBA, the adjustments have already been made by the oddsmakers.
Continue to look for situational spot advantages. Fading favorites after a long road trip in their first game back at home should still be a winning strategy. Keep an eye on the situational spots around Christmas and New Year’s as well. The teams who have a lot of traveling to do could be hard to lay points with.
On the whole, these things even themselves out, but being aware of the recent blips can help you make well informed wagers.