NBA System of the Week

by Al McMordie

Tuesday, Dec 09, 2025
The NBA Cup in-season tournament started in 2023, with the Los Angeles Lakers and Milwaukee Bucks winning the first two years.  This season, eight teams have reached the knockout stage.  The match-ups over the next two days are:

Tuesday, December 9
Miami Heat at Orlando Magic
New York Knicks at Toronto Raptors

Wednesday, December 10
Phoenix Suns at Oklahoma City Thunder
San Antonio Spurs at Los Angeles Lakers

When one looks at the (admittedly, sparse) data from the first two tournaments, one thing stands out:  the UNDER has been a solid play, going 11-3.

And this makes a lot of sense.  Indeed, when one looks at ANY elimination game (for at least one of the two teams) -- whether in the In-Season Tournament, the Play-In games, or the actual post-season, the UNDERS have been profitable, going 437-375-14 (54.4%).  But when BOTH TEAMS are facing elimination, then the UNDERS do markedly better, and have gone 91-67-3 (57.5%).

Our NBA System of the Week is to Play on the UNDER in any tournament game where BOTH teams will be eliminated with a SU loss.  There are four plays in this next round of the NBA Cup:

Miami/Orlando Under 235
New York/Toronto Under 226
Phoenix/Oklahoma City Under 224.5
San Antonio/Los Angeles Under 234.5

Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

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