A lot of my better NBA systems take teams that are playing poorly, or go against teams that are playing well. But not always. For our NBA System of the Week, we're going to review an angle that focuses on teams playing great.
Our team involved today is the Milwaukee Bucks. Milwaukee has been up-and-down this season, and is 24-30 SU and 25-29 ATS. It had a bad stretch last month when it went 1-8 SU/ATS from January 11 thru February 1. But since then, Milwaukee has been on a roll, and is 6-1 SU/ATS its last seven games, even though it was an underdog in all seven games. And over its last three, it won by big margins, all on the road:
February 11: Milwaukee +10.5 at Orlando (116-108)
February 12: Milwaukee +13.5 at Oklahoma City (110-93)
February 20: Milwaukee +4.5 at New Orleans (139-118)
What is noteworthy is that Milwaukee covered the point spread in those three games by 18.5, 30.5, and 25.5 points. And that leads us to our NBA System of the Week. What we want to do is play on any team which covered the spread 16 (or more) points in each of its three previous games, provided it was not on the road in its current game. And with Milwaukee back home this afternoon, and installed as a 3.5-point home underdog vs. the Toronto Raptors, our criteria are satisfied. Since 1990, this system has rolled to a 28-12-1 record, including 11-1 ATS over the last five seasons.
Consider playing on the Bucks on this Sunday afternoon.
Good luck, as always...
Al McMordie