Navy Midshipmen vs Memphis Tigers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/14/2023

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Thursday, September 14, 2023

Venue:  Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, Memphis, TN

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Navy +14.5, Memphis -14.5; Over/Under:  47 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Navy +14.5, Memphis -14.5; Over/Under:  47 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Navy +14.5, Memphis -14.5; Over/Under:  47.5 points

Navy Midshipmen:  1-1 (0-0) (12th place, AAC)

Memphis Tigers:  2-0 (0-0) (1st place, AAC)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Sean Murphy is on a HOT STREAK in CFB with a 10-3 start this season! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Navy Midshipmen:  won their last game at home against the Wagner Seahawks 24-0.

Memphis Tigers:  won their last game on the road against the Arkansas State Red Wolves 37-3.

Navy is entering this game with a 1-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too.  They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Wagner 24-0. Tai Lavatai was the starting QB and he completed 8/13 passes for 161 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Eli Heidenreich led the team in rushing yards with 66 and 1 TD. Nathan Kent led the receivers with 45 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Elias Larry led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Jacob Busic led the defense in sacks with 1. Rayuan Lane came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Memphis is entering this game with a 2-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too.  They are 1-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Arkansas State 37-3. Seth Henigan was the starting QB and he completed 21/29 passes for 239 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Blake Watson led the team in rushing yards with 51. Tauskie Dove led the receivers with 52 receiving yards on 1 reception and 1 TD. Chandler Martin led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Derick Hunter led the defense in sacks with 1.5. DJ Bell and Cameron Smith each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Memphis listed as a 14.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Memphis has looked really good in their first 2 games of the season and they now enter this 1st conference game of the year as the only undefeated team in the AAC. Meanwhile, Navy hasn't looked great in their 2 games to start the season. They did win 24-0 against Wagner in their last game but that win over a team from the FCS is not very impressive, especially when they were blown out by Notre Dame in their 1st game. The new rule changes have really affected this Navy team in a negative way and they are going to struggle to move the ball on Memphis who has been really good on defense in their games. Memphis also has a strong offense that will put points on the board and Navy won't be able to keep up as they pull away. The best way to place a bet here is on Memphis to cover the spread in this game. 

Navy Memphis Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Thursday, September 14, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Memphis 38 Navy 10.

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Navy Midshipmen: 10-3 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points. 12-4 ATS against conference opponents. 6-3 UNDER in road games. 13-6 UNDER after allowing 9 points or less last game.

Memphis Tigers: 4-10 ATS in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49. 10-24 ATS off a double digit road win. 10-4 UNDER after allowing 100 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. 13-6 UNDER after allowing 3.75 or less yards/play in their previous game. 

Navy Midshipmen:  T. Gleaton (QB) Ques Thurs - Academics. K. Myers (WR) Out Thurs - Undisclosed. L. Murtezi (C) Ques Thurs - Undisclosed.

Memphis Tigers:  None.

“You always like to get the win. Winning is hard, so it’s always good to win. I told the players in the locker room that there are wins that you feel great and ecstatic about and wins that you just feel okay about. I think that was a win we feel okay about.” - Brian Newberry after his team’s win against Wagner in their last game. 

"Let's put the city on display. It's a great night to showcase everything we have, great night to showcase our football stadium, great night to showcase our students, great night to showcase our city. What better way than on national television to sell the city of Memphis, to sell the University of Memphis, to sell these wonderful things?" - Ryan Silverfield on his team coming into this game against Navy.

WR Williams, Camari 

WR Umbarger, Jayden 

TE Scully, Thomas 

QB Lavatai, Tai 

RB Chatman, Brandon 

RB Hassan, Amin 

FB Fofana, Daba 

WR Taylor, Roc 

WR Scates, Joseph 

WR Blankumsee, Demeer 

TE Landphere, Anthony 

QB Henigan, Seth 

RB Watson, Blake 

Passing: T. Lavatai (204)

Rushing: T. Lavatai (88)

Receiving: A. Hall Jr. (45)

Touchdowns: C. Williams (1)

Passing: S. Henigan (573)

Rushing: B. Watson (126)

Receiving: T. Dove (124)

Touchdowns: B. Watson (3) 

Coaches:

Navy Midshipmen: Brian Newberry (1st season)

Memphis Tigers: Ryan Silverfield (4th season)