Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Saturday, December 14, 2024
Venue: Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Navy +6.5, Army -6.5; Over/Under: 38.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Navy +6.5, Army -6.5; Over/Under: 38.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Navy +6.5, Army -6.5; Over/Under: 38.5 points
Season Record
Navy Midshipmen: 8-3 (6-2) (4th place, AAC)
Army Black Knights: 11-1 (8-0) (1st place, AAC)
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Recent Form
Navy Midshipmen: won their last game on the road against the East Carolina Pirates 34-20.
Army Black Knights: won their last game at home against the Tulane Green Wave 35-14.
Navy Midshipmen vs Army Black Knights Preview and Analysis
Navy is entering this game with an 8-3 record overall and they have a 6-2 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 4-1 in their road games, and they are also 2-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against East Carolina 34-20. Braxton Woodson was the starting QB and he completed 12/19 passes for 165 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Braxton Woodson led the team in rushing yards with 125 and 2 TDs. Nathan Kent led the receivers with 68 receiving yards on 2 receptions and 1 TD. Rayuan Lane III led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Landon Robinson and MarcAnthony Parker each led the defense in sacks with 1. Kyle Jacob came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Army is entering this game with an 11-1 record overall and they have a 8-0 record in their conference games too. They are 7-0 in their home games, 4-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Tulane 35-14. Bryson Daily was the starting QB and he completed 2/2 passes for 17 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kanye Udoh led the team in rushing yards with 158 and 1 TD. Casey Reynolds led the receivers with 9 receiving yards on 1 reception. Justin Weaver led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Elo Modozie each led the defense in sacks with 1. Andon Thomas came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Navy vs Army Prediction
The current betting odds have Army listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Army has looked great in their games this season with their 11-1 record overall and their 8-0 conference record which has them right at the top of the AAC. This was their first season being in the AAC and they won the AAC Championship over Tulane. Meanwhile, Navy has also looked really good in their games this season with their 8-3 record overall and their 6-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the AAC. They blew their chance to play in the AAC Championship with an extra conference loss, but they have still had a great season. This is the game for the Commander-in-Chief's Trophy so as good as both teams have been this year, this is the game that will decide the success of each of their seasons. Navy is coming off a win against ECU in their last one and they had a bit of a passing offense in that one, but Bryson Daily has been a beast for Army this season as their only loss was to Notre Dame who is one of the top teams in the nation. Army has been better this season and they will be looking to follow up their conference championship with a win in this game that matters even more. Army has the edge on offense here, but they also have a bigger edge on defense too and that will be what wins them this game. The best way to place a bet here is on Army to cover the spread in this game.
Navy Army Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, December 14, 2024 (3:00 pm ET start time) is Army 24 Navy 14.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Navy Midshipmen: 1-4 ATS in games played on a neutral field. 3-6 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 rushing yards/game or more. 1-3 ATS as a neutral field underdog. 6-3 UNDER vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. 6-2 UNDER versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more. 6-3 UNDER vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season.
Army Black Knights: 10-2 ATS off a home win. 7-2 ATS off a home win by 17 points or more. 11-3 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 7-2 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 8-3 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. 5-1 UNDER after a 2 game home stand.
Key Injuries
Navy Midshipmen: B. Horvath (QB) Questionable - Ribs. T. Bradley (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed.
Army Black Knights: A. Britton (K) Out - Knee. Z. Mundell (QB) Out - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“Our players are extremely excited to be invited to the Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl and to have the opportunity to play such a prestigious opponent like Oklahoma. Going to a bowl game is always one of our top goals, but right now our only focus is to get goal No. 1 and that is to BEAT ARMY and bring home the Commander-In-Chief’s Trophy.” - Brian Newberry on being in the Armed Forces Bowl.
“Now we've got the biggest game of the year coming up in eight days and we’re looking forward to that.” - Jeff Monken after his team’s win against Tulane in the AAC Championship.
Starting Lineups
Navy Midshipmen
WR Kent, Nathan
TE Howard, Cody
QB Horvath, Blake
RB Chatman, Brandon
SB Heidenreich, Eli
FB Tecza, Alex
Army Black Knights
WR Fortner, Liam
TE Crossan, David
QB Daily, Bryson
RB Udoh, Kanye
RB Stewart, Miles
SB Short, Noah
Statistical Leaders
Navy Midshipmen
Passing: B. Horvath (1154)
Rushing: B. Horvath (895)
Receiving: E. Heidenreich (597)
Touchdowns: B. Horvath (13)
Army Black Knights
Passing: B. Daily (877)
Rushing: B. Daily (1474)
Receiving: C. Reynolds (426)
Touchdowns: B. Daily (29)
Coaches:
Navy Midshipmen: Brian Newberry (2nd season)
Army Black Knights: Jeff Monken (11th season)