National League vs American League Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/11/2023

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Tuesday, July 11, 2023

Venue:  T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  National +105, American -125; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  National +105, American -125; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  National +105, American -125; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

National League:  214-192 against American League opponents this season.

American League:  192-214 against National League opponents this season.

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National League: 43-47-2 against American League in All Star games.

American League: 47-43-2 against National League in All Star games.

The National League is entering this All-Star game on a long losing streak against the American League with 9 losses in a row now. They will be looking to turn that around this year with some help from their All-Star lineup. The National League does have a bit of an offensive advantage here as 3 of their players in the starting lineup, Luis Arraez, Ronald Acuna Jr, and Freddie Freeman all lead the MLB in the top 3 with the best batting averages. They also have 3 of their starters, Ronald Acuna Jr, Mookie Betts, and Freddie Freeman, as well as 1 of their reserve players, Matt Olson, in the top 5 of the MLB for OPS this season. The National League also has some solid pitching on their side as they will have both Zac Gallen and Spencer Strider who currently lead the MLB in wins with 11 each. Not only does the NL have some of the more successful starters in the league this season, but they also have some solid closers to come into the game late with both Alexis Diaz and Camilo Doval on the team, leading the MLB in saves this year with 26 each. One player who was snubbed from the All-Star game for the NL is Lane Thomas. The Nationals have been having a very bad season as they are almost 20 games below .500 but Lane Thomas has been one of the few bright spots on this team with his performance. He leads the team in batting average (.304), OPS (.850), hits (106), homeruns (14), and RBI (48) as he has pretty much been carrying the Nationals offense on his back all season. 

The American League is entering this All-Star game on a long winning streak against the National League with 9 wins in a row now. They will be looking to keep that streak going this year with some help from their All-Star lineup. The American League has dominated the National League for so many years but they are going to have to lean on their pitching staff in this game as their offensive players have not been producing as much as the starters for the National League. The American League does have Shohei Ohtani who leads the entire MLB in OPS at 1.050 but he is the only player they have in the top 7 of the MLB for OPS this season. They also have 2 of their players in the top 5 for batting average at 4th and 5th with Bo Bichette and Yandy Diaz, but the player with the best batting average in the American League is Bo Bichette at .320 in 381 at bats and he is not even in the starting lineup. The American League is definitely at a disadvantage with their offense here but they can lean on their pitching staff as they do have some solid arms. They have 2 of the top 3 starters in the MLB for ERA with Framber Valdez (2.51) and Shane McClanahan (2.53). McClanahan will likely miss this game due to injury so that is a big blow but the National League will also be without Clayton Kershaw and after taking those 2 starters out of the equation, the American League still has 3 of the top 5 starters for ERA in the MLB with Framber Valdez (2.51), Nathan Eovaldi (2.83), and Gerrit Cole (2.85). One player who was snubbed from the All-Star game for the AL is Jordan Romano. Jordan Romano is one of the best closers in the MLB as he has been over the last 2 seasons and he even sits right behind the 2 league leaders for saves with 25. Emmanuel Clase made it in as an All-Star closer for the Guardians when he has the same number of saves as Romano at 25 and Romano even has more wins on the season and a better ERA while also playing for a much better team. 

The current betting odds have the National League listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The American League has been so dominant over the National League in the All-Star game over the last few years but after losing 9 games in a row to them, the National League will be looking to break that streak here with a win of their own. Taking everything into consideration here, the National League just has a better team than the American League does overall as they have a major advantage with stronger offensive players and they also have a group of solid pitchers for their pitching staff. The American League is also dealing with a lot more injuries to some key starters in the offense and the National League is going to lean on their stronger offense in this game. Even in the Inter League games this season, National League teams have won over 20 games more against American League opponents when facing each other. The American League has been on a really long run the last 10 years but this could finally be the National League's year to turn things around with the cards they have been handed. The best way to place a bet here is on the National League to win this game.

National League American League Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 11, 2023 (8:00 pm ET start time) is National League 4 American League 2.

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National League: 0-9 on the moneyline in the last 9 All-Star games. 3-21-1 on the moneyline in the last 25 All-Star games. 3-0 UNDER in the last 3 All-Star games. 10-5 UNDER in the last 15 All-Star games.

American League: 9-0 on the moneyline in the last 9 All-Star games. 21-3-1 on the moneyline in the last 25 All-Star games. 3-0 UNDER in the last 3 All-Star games. 10-5 UNDER in the last 15 All-Star games.

National League:  IF: Dansby Swanson (CHC), RHP: Spencer Strider (ATL), RHP: Bryce Elder (ATL), LHP: Clayton Kershaw (LAD), RHP: Marcus Stroman (CHC), RHP: Devin Williams (MIL).

American League:  OF: Mike Trout (LAA), OF: Aaron Judge (NYY), OF: Yordan Alvarez (HOU), LHP: Shane McClanahan (TB), RHP: Emmanuel Clase (CLE).

“I’m so focused on what I am doing here that I haven’t paid much attention to it at all, to tell you the truth. But it will be fun. I have been there before. It’s a good time.” - Rob Thomson on managing the MLB All-Star game on Tuesday.

“They deserve it. I mean they’re having some great years, and they’re good. Now, I’m trying to figure out, was this a national vote? Did you guys have the crowds to swing the decision, because that’s usually a New York kind of thing.” - Dusty Baker on all of the Texas Rangers All-Stars he will be managing in the MLB All-Star game on Tuesday.

C: Sean Murphy (ATL)

1B: Freddie Freeman (LAD)

2B: Luis Arraez (MIA)

3B: Nolan Arenado (STL)

SS: Orlando Arcia (ATL)

OF: Ronald Acuña Jr. (ATL)

OF: Mookie Betts (LAD)

OF: Corbin Carroll (AZ)

DH: J.D. Martinez (LAD)

C: Jonah Heim (TEX)

1B: Yandy Díaz (TB)

2B: Marcus Semien (TEX)

3B: Josh Jung (TEX)

SS: Corey Seager (TEX)

OF: Mike Trout (LAA)

OF: Randy Arozarena (TB)

OF: Aaron Judge (NYY)

DH: Shohei Ohtani (LAA)

C: Will Smith (LAD)

C: Elias Díaz (COL)

IF: Matt Olson (ATL)

IF: Ozzie Albies (ATL)

IF: Austin Riley (ATL)

IF: Dansby Swanson (CHC)

IF: Pete Alonso (NYM)

IF: Geraldo Perdomo (AZ)

OF: Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (AZ)

OF: Nick Castellanos (PHI)

OF: Juan Soto (SD)

DH: Jorge Soler (MIA)

C: Salvador Perez (KC)

C: Adley Rutschman (BAL)

IF: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR)

IF: Whit Merrifield (TOR)

IF: Bo Bichette (TOR)

IF: José Ramírez (CLE)

IF: Wander Franco (TB)

OF: Luis Robert Jr. (CWS)

OF: Austin Hays (BAL)

OF: Yordan Alvarez (HOU)

OF: Adolis García (TEX)

OF: Kyle Tucker (HOU)

OF: Julio Rodríguez (SEA)

DH: Brent Rooker (OAK)

RHP: Zac Gallen (AZ)

RHP: Spencer Strider (ATL)

RHP: Bryce Elder (ATL)

LHP: Justin Steele (CHC)

RHP: Mitch Keller (PIT)

RHP: Josiah Gray (WSH)

LHP: Clayton Kershaw (LAD)

RHP: Marcus Stroman (CHC)

RHP: Kodai Senga (NYM)

RHP: Alex Cobb (SF)

RHP: Corbin Burnes (MIL)

RHP: Shohei Ohtani (LAA)

RHP: Gerrit Cole (NYY)

RHP: Luis Castillo (SEA)

RHP: Sonny Gray (MIN)

RHP: Nathan Eovaldi (TEX)

RHP: Kevin Gausman (TOR)

LHP: Shane McClanahan (TB)

LHP: Framber Valdez (HOU)

RHP: Michael Lorenzen (DET)

RHP: George Kirby (SEA)

RHP: Pablo López (MIN)

RHP: Alexis Díaz (CIN)

LHP: Josh Hader (SD)

RHP: Devin Williams (MIL)

RHP: Camilo Doval (SF)

RHP: David Bednar (PIT)

RHP: Craig Kimbrel (PHI)

RHP: Kenley Jansen (BOS)

RHP: Emmanuel Clase (CLE)

RHP: Félix Bautista (BAL)

RHP: Yennier Cano (BAL)

RHP: Carlos Estévez (LAA)

Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.388)

Hits:  Luis Arraez (126)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (29)

RBI:  Matt Olson (71)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (41)

Wins:  Zac Gallen (11)

Saves:  Alexis Diaz (26)

ERA:  Bryce Elder (2.45)

Batting Average:  Bo Bichette (.320)

Hits:  Bo Bichette (122)

Home Runs:  Shohei Ohtani (32)

RBI:  Adolis Garcia (73)

Stolen Bases:  Wander Franco (28)

Wins:  Shane McClanahan (11)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (25)

ERA:  Framber Valdez (2.51)

Managers:

National League: Rob Thomson (Philadelphia Phillies)

American League: Dusty Baker (Houston Astros)