Morgan State Bears vs Virginia Cavaliers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/27/2023

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Wednesday, December 27, 2023

Venue:  John Paul Jones Arena, Charlottesville, VA 

Where to Watch:  ACC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Morgan State +26, Virginia -26; Over/Under:  131.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Morgan State +26, Virginia -26; Over/Under:  131.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Morgan State +26, Virginia -26; Over/Under:  131.5 points

Morgan State Bears:  4-10 (0-0) (5th place, MEAC)

Virginia Cavaliers:  9-2 (1-0) (3rd place, ACC)

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Morgan State Bears:  2-3  last 5

Virginia Cavaliers:  4-1  last 5

Morgan State is entering this game with a 4-10 record overall and they are 0-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the James Madison Dukes in their last game. Will Thomas led the team in points per game in that game with 20 while Kamron Hobbs was next on the team with 16. Rob Lawson led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Allen Udemadu led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 47.7% from the field, 21.4% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 74.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 79.6 PPG against them. Morgan State has an ATS record of 4-6-1 this season and their O/U record is 7-4.

Virginia is entering this game with a 9-2 record overall and they are 7-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Memphis Tigers in their last game. Reece Beekman led the team in points in that game with 13 while Jake Groves was next on the team with 12. Reece Beekman and Andrew Rohde each led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Ryan Dunn led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 39.3% from the field, 21.1% from 3-point range, and 60% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 65.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 55.5 PPG against them. Virginia has an ATS record of 6-5 this season and their O/U record is 3-8.

The current betting odds have Virginia listed as a 26 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Virginia has looked great in their games this season with their 9-2 record overall and they have played most of their games at home, but they have also looked even better in those home games with their 7-0 home record. Meanwhile, Morgan State has looked terrible in their games this season with their 4-10 record overall and they are also 0-6 in their road games. They have struggled a lot more in their road games this season and they don't have the talent on their team to keep this game close on the road against a team like Virginia, especially with the way they play on defense. Virginia also lost their last game to Memphis on the road so they have been sitting on that loss through the whole Christmas break which means they will be looking to bounce back on their home court with a huge win where they dominate their opponent. Virginia has the defensive effort to make it very difficult for Morgan State to put up points and that will cause this game to get away from them. The best way to place a bet here is on Virginia to cover the spread in this game. 

Morgan State Virginia Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, December 27, 2023 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Virginia 77 Morgan State 42.

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Morgan State Bears: 1-7 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 6-12 ATS after a combined score of 155 points or more. 5-12 ATS after allowing 80 points or more. 7-1 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs. 11-4 UNDER after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more.

Virginia Cavaliers: 28-7 ATS in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5. 9-3 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog. 12-5 UNDER when the total is 130 to 139.5. 5-1 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive unders. 14-5 UNDER after playing a game as an underdog.

Morgan State Bears:  None.

Virginia Cavaliers:  D. Harris (G) Out indefinitely - Ankle.

"When you're good, you figure out a way to win. That's what I think they did today." - Kevin Broadus after his team’s loss against James Madison in their last game on Friday.

“When they made some plays with their athleticism and disrupted us, then all of a sudden we made some uncharacteristic (mistakes). We couldn’t even dribble, pass (or) make simple plays. Then that just snowballed.” - Tony Bennett after his team’s loss against Memphis in their last game on Saturday.

K. Hobbs 

C. Oliver 

W. Tabbs 

W. Thomas 

M. Thompson

R. Beekman 

R. Dunn 

J. Groves 

I. McKneely 

A. Rohde

PPG: W. Tabbs (16.4)

APG: K. Hobbs (4.1)

Reb/G: A. Udemadu (5.1)

PPG: R. Beekman (12.5)

APG: R. Beekman (5.5)

Reb/G: R. Dunn (6.5)

Coaches:

Morgan State Bears: Kevin Broadus (5th season)

Virginia Cavaliers: Tony Bennett (15th season)