Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/11/2025

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Friday, April 11, 2025

Venue:  Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Canadiens +154, Senators -185; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Canadiens +155, Senators -185; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Canadiens +155, Senators -185; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Montreal Canadiens:  39-30-9 (5th place, Atlantic Division)

Ottawa Senators:  42-30-6 (4th place, Atlantic Division)

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Montreal Canadiens:  6-3-1 last 10

Ottawa Senators:  6-3-1 last 10

The Canadiens are entering this game with 87 points, a 39-30-9 record overall, and they are 17-18-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Detroit Red Wings in their last game, winning that one at home 4-1. Josh Anderson, Brendan Gallagher, Nick Suzuki, and Cole Caufield each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Josh Anderson, Brendan Gallagher, Nick Suzuki, Alexandre Carrier, Christian Dvorak, Jake Evans, and Mike Matheson each led the team in assists with 1 while Mike Matheson led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Sam Montembeault was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 36 shots with 35 saves and a .972 save percentage. Their offense has scored 236 goals this season averaging 3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 253 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.

The Senators are entering this game with 90 points, a 42-30-6 record overall, and they are 24-11-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Columbus Blue Jackets in their last game, losing that one on the road 5-2. Thomas Chabot and Fabian Zetterlund each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Thomas Chabot, Drake Batherson, Claude Giroux, and David Perron each led the team in assists with 1 while Jake Sanderson led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Anton Forsberg was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 5 goals on 35 shots with 30 saves and a .857 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 224 goals this season averaging 2.9 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 220 goals against them allowing 2.8 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Senators listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Senators have looked good in their games this season with their 42-30-6 record overall which has them in 4th place of their division in the East and in a Wild Card spot. They have also looked really good on home ice this year with their 24-11-2 home record. Meanwhile, the Canadiens have looked good in their games this season with their 39-30-9 record overall which has them in 5th place of their division in the East and in a Wild Card spot. They haven't been a good road team though with their 17-18-4 road record this year. The Canadiens are in the last Wild Card spot at the moment and they haven't clinched their spot in the playoffs yet. They have looked good lately as they are 6-3-1 in their last 10 games and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 6 wins in a row now. The Senators are coming off a loss in their last one, but they have also looked good lately as they are 6-3-1 in their last 10 games. They have looked a lot better on home ice this season too, and they are still going to bring their best effort even though they have already clinched a playoff spot. They are in the 1st Wild Card spot and have already clinched, but they can still move up to 3rd as they are only 4 points behind the Lightning. They also have a chance to play spoiler for the Canadiens here since they haven't locked up a playoff spot yet. The Senators have been a tough team to beat at home all season and they won't make it easy for the Canadiens to clinch their playoff spot here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Senators to win this game. 

Canadiens Senators Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Friday, April 11, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Senators 3 Canadiens 1.

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Montreal Canadiens: 28-32 (+10.9 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +100 to +200. 52-66 (+8.6 units) on the moneyline after playing a home game. 79-104 (+13.8 units) on the moneyline against poor power play killing teams - opp score on over 17.5% of chances. 14-6 OVER off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more.

Ottawa Senators: 63-48 (-10.1 units) on the moneyline as a favorite. 59-68 (-12.4 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite. 60-84 (-15.6 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 26-13 OVER when playing with 2 days rest.

Montreal Canadiens:  E. Heineman (LW) Day To Day - Undisclosed. K. Dach (C) Out For Season - Lower Body.

Ottawa Senators:  B. Tkachuk (LW) Day To Day - Upper body. N. Cousins (C) Out - Knee.

“A lot of shots in the first, so it helped me really get into that game. After that we started building our game, we started playing better and better, and it was a great third period for us. We got that goal and never looked back.” - Sam Montembeault after their win against the Red Wings in their game on Tuesday.

“Wish it was coming off a win, but very excited for our team, our players, our fans, and proud of our players. They deserve to be in the playoffs this year. It's something that we talked about as a group really all summer, having a training camp, and where we wanted to be at this time of year.” - Travis Green after his team’s loss against the Blue Jackets in their game on Tuesday.

LW Cole Caufield

C Nick Suzuki

RW Juraj Slafkovský

LD Mike Matheson

RD Alexandre Carrier

G Sam Montembeault

LW David Perron

C Tim Stutzle

RW Drake Batherson

LD Jake Sanderson

RD Artyom Zub

G Anton Forsberg

Points: N. Suzuki (86)

Goals: C. Caufield (37)

Assists: N. Suzuki (58)

GAA: S. Montembeault (2.81)

Points: T. Stutzle (72)

Goals: B. Tkachuk (29)

Assists: T. Stutzle (51)

GAA: A. Forsberg (2.66)

Coaches:

Montreal Canadiens: Martin St. Louis (3rd season)

Ottawa Senators: Travis Green (1st season)