Montreal Canadiens vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/29/2026

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Oct 28, 2026
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Thursday, October 29, 2026
Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX 
Where to Watch:  ESPN+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Canadiens +136, Stars -162; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Canadiens +135, Stars -160; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Canadiens +135, Stars -165; Over/Under:  6 goals

Season Record

Montreal Canadiens:  7-3-2 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)
Dallas Stars:  7-4-1 (3rd place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Montreal Canadiens:  6-3-1 last 10
Dallas Stars:  7-2-1 last 10



Montreal Canadiens vs Dallas Stars Preview and Analysis


The Canadiens are entering this game with 16 points, a 7-3-2 record overall, and they are 4-1-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the St Louis Blues in their last game, winning that one on the road 2-0. Florian Xhekaj and Zachary Bolduc each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Mike Matheson led the team in assists with 2 while Cole Caufield led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Jacob Fowler was the starting goalie in that game and he recorded the shutout as he allowed 0 goals on 46 shots with 46 saves and a 1.000 save percentage. Their offense has scored 38 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 36 goals against them allowing 3 goals per game.



The Stars are entering this game with 15 points, a 7-4-1 record overall, and they are 4-3-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the New Jersey Devils in their last game, losing that one at home 5-1. Justin Hryckowian scored 1 goal for them in that one. Colin Blackwell and Tyler Myers each led the team in assists with 1 while Joel Kiviranta led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Casey DeSmith was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 5 goals on 27 shots with 22 saves and a .815 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 33 goals this season averaging 2.8 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 25 goals against them allowing 2.1 goals per game.


Canadiens vs Stars Prediction

The current betting odds have the Stars listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Stars have looked good in their games this season with their 7-4-1 record overall which has them in the top half of their division in the West. They have looked good on home ice too with their 4-3-0 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Canadiens have looked good in their games this season with their 7-3-2 record overall which has them in the top half of their division in the East. They have been a good road team too with their 4-1-1 road record this year. The Canadiens are 6-3-1 in their last 10 games and they have looked really good lately. They are coming off a 2-0 win over the Blues in their last one and their goaltending was great, but they didn't create a ton of scoring chances in that game and their offense has been an issue this season. They aren't scoring a ton of goals this season and their defense hasn't looked that great either. The Stars haven't been scoring a lot this season either, but they have one of the best defenses in the NHL to start the season and their starting goalie has been standing on his head too. The Stars have also been rolling lately, now 7-2-1 in their last 10 games, and they will be looking to bounce back from a bad loss in their last one, getting embarrassed by the Devils on home ice 5-1. Look for the Stars to bounce back at home in this one and take advantage of a Canadiens team with a struggling offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Stars to win this game. 

Canadiens Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Thursday, October 29, 2026 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Stars 3 Canadiens 2.
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NHL Betting Trends


Montreal Canadiens: 105-95 (+18.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 32-27 (+18 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +100 to +200. 25-16 (+19.5 units) on the moneyline against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp. 24-15 OVER after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game.

Dallas Stars: 15-19 (-7.8 units) on the moneyline after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game. 29-26 (-11.2 units) on the moneyline against poor starting goalies - saving 89.5% of shots against or less. 21-31 (-16.9 units) on the moneyline when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 29-21 OVER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%).

Key Injuries


Montreal Canadiens:  N. Suzuki (C) Out - Upper body. S. Montembeault (G) Out - Lower-Body. I. Demidov (RW) Out - Lower-body. L. Condotta (LW) Out - Undisclosed. B. Pickford (D) Out - Undisclosed.

Dallas Stars:  K. Capobianco (D) Day To Day - Leg. S. Steel (C) Day To Day - Undisclosed. R. Faksa (C) Out - Upper-Body. E. Lindell (D) Out - Lower-Body. O. Back (C) Out - Finger. M. Duchene (C) Out - Abdomen. C. Hughes (C) Out - Upper-body.


Notable Quotes


“We bent but we didn’t break. We’ll look at it, but we don’t want to be a team that spends that much time in our zone.” - Martin St Louis after his team’s win against the Blues in their game on Tuesday. 


“For sure our worst game of the season. But they were good, too, so that’s why you see such a spread. It’s actually maybe less concerning when it’s everybody. It was from the top down of our team, so we have to look at ourselves. What did we do in the last few days that we came out that flat?” - Glen Gulutzan after his team’s loss against the Devils in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Montreal Canadiens
LW Cole Caufield
C Oliver Kapanen
RW Juraj Slafkovský
LD Lane Hutson
RD Noah Dobson
G Jakub Dobes

Dallas Stars
LW Joel Kiviranta
C Wyatt Johnston
RW Mikko Rantanen
LD Thomas Harley
RD Miro Heiskanen
G Jake Oettinger

Statistical Leaders


Montreal Canadiens
Points: Nick Suzuki (12)
Goals: Cole Caufield (6)
Assists: Nick Suzuki (7)
GAA: Jacob Fowler (1.54)

Dallas Stars
Points: Mikko Rantanen (14)
Goals: Mikko Rantanen (6)
Assists: Mikko Rantanen (8)
GAA: Jake Oettinger (1.43)

Coaches:
Montreal Canadiens: Martin St. Louis (6th season)
Dallas Stars: Glen Gulutzan (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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