Montana State Bobcats vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/18/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Thursday, Mar 17, 2022
Game Time: 1:45 pm ET, Friday, March 18, 2022
Venue:  Viejas Arena, San Diego, CA
Where to Watch:  TNT

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Montana State +15, Texas Tech -15; Over/Under:  132.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Montana State +15.5, Texas Tech -15.5; Over/Under:  131.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Montana State +15.5, Texas Tech -15.5; Over/Under:  131.5 points
 

Season Record

Montana State Bobcats:  27-7 (1st place, Big Sky)
Texas Tech Red Raiders:  25-9 (3rd place, Big 12)
 
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Montana State Bobcats vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Montana State Bobcats:  5-0 last 5
Texas Tech Red Raiders:  3-2 last 5
 
 
 

Montana State Bobcats Analysis

Montana State is coming into this game with a 27-7 record overall and they are 5-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 7 of their last 8 games and are coming into this one on a 6 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Montana Grizzlies while their 6 wins since then have come against the Southern Utah Thunderbirds, the Sacramento State Hornets, the Northern Colorado Bears, Sacramento State again, the Weber State Wildcats, and Northern Colorado again in their last game. Xavier Bishop led the team in points in that game with 19 while Amin Adamu was next on the team with 16 points. Bishop led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Abdul Mohamed led the team in rebounds with 11. They are 47.5% from the field, 36.9% from 3-point range, and 75.3% from the free throw line with their shooting this season. Their offense is averaging 77 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.5 PPG against them. Montana State has an ATS record of 17-14-1 this season and their O/U record is 17-15.
 
 

Texas Tech Red Raiders Analysis

Texas Tech is coming into this game with a 25-9 record overall and they are 4-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 2 game winning streak that they were on. Their 2 wins in that span were against the Iowa State Cyclones and the Oklahoma Sooners while their loss came against the Kansas Jayhawks in their last game. Bryson Williams led the team in points in that game with 17 while Terrence Shannon Jr. was next on the team with 14 points. Kevin McCullar led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Adonis Arms led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 44.3% from the field, 26.3% from 3-point range, and 46.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 71.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 60.3 PPG against them. Texas Tech has an ATS record of 21-13 this season and their O/U record is 16-18.
 

 

Montana State vs Texas Tech Prediction

Texas Tech is coming into this game as a 15 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. TT has won 2 of their last 3 games and have been playing well in their recent games but are coming off of a loss in the Big 12 finals to Kansas and they lost that game by 9 points. They have had a very good season though and have been playing very well and consistently all season. They even smashed ISU in their first game of the Big 12 tourney by over 30 points so this is a very strong team that can take advantage of the weaker ones and they have been playing well recently as well so their defense should be a key factor in this game for them. They are going up against a Montana State team that has won 6 straight games and have been winning some games by double digits but others by just a few points. Montana State finished their season playing a lot of their games at home though and the ones they did play on the road were the games they struggled in the most. TT has also played better at home this season but they have shown that they can still put a team down by over 30 points on a neutral site and they are a much stronger and more reliable team than Montana State is. TT should win this game and cover the spread as well and their defense will be a key factor in their win here. 
 
Montana State Texas Tech Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, March 18, 2022 (1:45 pm ET start time) is Texas Tech 79 Montana State 59.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
Montana State Bobcats: 6-12 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. 37-62 ATS off 2 straight wins against conference rivals. 20-14 UNDER after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.
Texas Tech Red Raiders: 20-13 ATS in all games. 12-7 ATS when the total is 130 to 139.5. 61-37 UNDER in all neutral court games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Montana State Bobcats:  None.
Texas Tech Red Raiders:  E. Duncan (G) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed injury.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"It was our best game of the year and I just told (MSU Athletic Director) Leon (Costello), at shootaround this morning I'm going through everything, I'm stressed out, and I heard a couple guys whispering to each other, 'Can you smell the wings? Can you smell the chicken wings?' And it comes back to Fran Frischella talking to us at Colorado at our shootaround. He said, 'There's going to come sometime in January and February when you hit some adversity. And you've got to remind these guys, can you smell the chicken wings? Because everybody on selection Sunday has chicken wings at their party. You have to fight through adversity. You have to see past the moment.'" - Danny Sprinkle after his team won the Big Sky tourney.
 
 
“They're a team that's extremely difficult to prepare for and I wish we had two or three days to do that. They play at a great pace and they have a lot of players that do things extremely well.” - Mark Adams on his team’s loss against Kansas in the Big 12 tourney.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Montana State Bobcats
A. Adamu 
J. Belo 
X. Bishop 
A. Mohamed 
T. Patterson
 
Texas Tech Red Raiders
A. Arms 
K. McCullar 
K. Obanor 
D. Warren
B. Williams
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Montana State Bobcats
PPG: X. Bishop (13.7)
APG: X. Bishop (4.3)
Reb/G: J. Belo (7)
 
Texas Tech Red Raiders
PPG: B. Williams (14)
APG: K. McCullar (3.1)
Reb/G: K. McCullar (5)
 
Coaches:
Montana State Bobcats: Danny Sprinkle (3rd season)
Texas Tech Red Raiders: Mark Adams (1st season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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