MLB Baseball: San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/13/2021

by James Q

MLB Baseball: San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/13/2021

Game Time: 9:45 pm ET, Monday, September 13th,  2021 
Venue: Oracle Park, San Francisco, California
Where to Watch: Bally Sports San Diego, NBCS BA

Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

Opening Lines:  Moneyline: Padres -125, Giants -105

Season Record

Padres:  74-67 (3rd place, NL West)
Giants:  93-50  (1st place, NL West)

The Padres have had an admirable season.  They built a fun squad that hits the ball well and has a few stars in the mix.  With roughly 20 games left to play in the MLB regular-season, they aren’t in the same class as National League powerhouses the San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers.  Those big boys are in a battle for first place that is attracting news coverage with every win or defeat.  Those teams are sitting at 90+ wins, the Giants are up by 3 games.  Win or lose the Padres will only serve to help the Giants or help the fans at Dodger Stadium.  

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Padres vs Giants Preview and Analysis

Recent Form

The Padres are 5-5 over their last ten games.  Logging 5 Overs, 4 Unders and 1 Push.  .  They went 2-1 against the Arizona Diamondbacks, 2-1 against the Houston Astros, 1-1 against the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim, and 0-2 against the Los Angeles Dodgers.  The current roster is capable of being a top contender in almost and other division in the majors.  Not the national league, not this year.  

The Giants are 8-2 over their last ten games.  Going 4 Overs and 6 Unders.  1-1 against the Milwaukee Brewers, 2-1 against the Los Angeles Dodgers, 3-0 against the Colorado Rockies, 2-0 against the Chicago Cubs.  The Padres play the Giants tough.  In 9 head to head games this season the Giants are 5 wins the Padres are 4 wins.  Also the Giants are starting to get dinged up with 1st base, 2nd base, and 3rd base all on the Questionable or Probable list.  Still they lead the season series and are leading the league.

Offensive Analysis 

The Padres are 15th in batting average .240, 14th in runs scored 645, and 23rd in home runs 161.  They were hitting the ball better in the first half of the season and have dipped a bit.  This season is lost for them but they should be pretty happy at assembling a squad with young stars like Fernando Tatis Jr and Manny Machado.  They will be offensively capable for years to come… they just have to hope that eventually the Giants and Dodgers come down to earth.

The Giants are 8th in batting average .248, 7th in runs scored 703, and 3rd in home runs 213.  They are MLB’s best team right now because the offense supports the defense perfectly.  They have supplied 92 games of winning run support. Guys like Brandon Crawford, Buster Posey, Brandon Belt , Mike Yastremski don’t get the spotlight to the degree an Aaron Judge or Vladimir Guerrero Jr does.  They definitely don’t get the shine the Dodgers batters do.  They just win games. 


Defensive Analysis

The Padres are 22nd in team ERA 3.79, 7th in strikeouts 1342, and 8th in WHIP 1.22.  The Padres have a solid rotation.  A really good SO to BB ratio.  They could use another ACE on staff but what team couldn’t?  It’s just the year they are in.  2021 wasn’t built for the Padres.  The stats on both sides of the ball are mostly good, they just can’t do any big winning with them until the division comes down to their level or they unrealistically rise.   

The Giants are 2nd in the league in team ERA 2.96, 15th in strikeouts 1252, 2nd in WHIP 1.14.  They are behind the Dodgers in all 3 categories.  But definitely better than the Padres in every pitching category except strikeouts. The secret to the Giants magic is they are #1 in NOT giving up walks.  The fewer runners they put on base the fewer runs can be scored against them.  

Padres vs Giants Prediction

Our prediction for Monday, September 13th is… Giants 8 - Padres 3

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MLB Betting Trends

Padres are 2-9 in their last 11 vs. National League West.
Over is 4-1 in Padres last 5 Monday games.
Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 Monday games.
Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 home games.
Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings of these two teams.

Key Injuries

Padres:  J. Cronenworth SS,  Out indefinitely -  T. Wingenter RP, Out
Giants:  B. Crawford SS, Questionable  - K Bryant 3B, Questionable  - D. Solano  2B,  Questionable  -  W Flores  1B, Probable



Players to Watch

Neither team has announced a starting pitcher for Monday’s game.  They both have busy Sundays to get through. Could it be Anthony Desclafani against Chris Paddack? Those guys could pitch again. I can’t tell you who though.  I can’t tell you of their last outing and how many scoreless innings the starter threw.  I can tell you it will not affect the run line, money line or the mlb picks. The Giants are favored as the best team in the league playing at home.  We don’t know who the team leader at the mound for either team will be, but we know that regardless, the Giants remain the better pick for the bettor. 

Notable Quotes

“Just kind of going though a little dead arm." -Padres pitcher Chris Paddock.

"I knew I was getting close,...Obviously a cool think to accomplish. something I've been trying to do for a long time." -Giants pitcher Kevin Gausman on reaching 200 strikeouts for a season on Saturday.

Starting Lineups

T. Grisham, CF
A. Frazier, 2B
M. Machado, 3B
F. Tatis Jr., SS
E. Hosmer, 1B
T. Pham, LF
W. Myers, RF
A. Nola, C
B. Snell, P

A. Slater, CF
D. Ruf, LF
K. Bryant, RF
B. Posey, C
E. Longoria, 3B
W. Flores, 1B
T. Estrada, 2B
M. Dubon, SS
L. Webb, P

Statistical Leaders

Batting AVG:  Fernando Tatis JR  .285
RBI:  Manny Machado  90
Hits:  Jake Cronenworth  138
Wins:  Joe Musgrove  10
Saves:  Mark Melancon  37
Holds:  Tim Hill    17

Batting AVG:  Brandon Crawford  .297
Home Runs:  Brandon Belt   23
Hits:  Brandon Crawford  123
Wins:  Kevin Gausman  14
Saves:  Jake McGee  31
Holds:  Tyler Rogers  26


Padres:  Jake Tingler
Giants:  Gabe Kapler

Weather Forecast 

Mostly Sunny, high of 68*, Humidity at 74%.  Wind 16 MPH.  When that wind whips off San Francisco Bay at 16 mph the ballpark feels it.  The oceanaire at summer’s end during a night game as the temperature drops to 53*... That’s San Francisco.


James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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