MLB Baseball: San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels Preview, Prediction & Odds -- Aug. 28, 2021

by Chuck Sommers

Game time: 9:07 p.m. ET
Venue: Angel Stadium, Anaheim, CA
Where to watch: FS1

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks


DraftKings: Padres -170, Angels +150
BetMGM: NL
FanDuel: NL

Season record (entering Friday)
Padres: 68-61 (3rd place, NL West)
Angels: 63-66 (4th place, AL West)

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Padres - Angels preview and analysis


Recent form
Padres: 2-8 in last 10, lost 4 straight
Angels: 4-6 in last 10

Friends, let us all pour one out for the San Diego Padres.

So full of life, of love, of home-run chains that shine ever so bright. Such promise of an accelerated future was pushed upon us all. And for the most part, we all enjoyed it.

Only to be buried by Max Scherzer and the Los Angeles Dodgers in the blink of an eye.

Barring the greatest run of September baseball we’ve ever seen, the Padres are done. The wall has been reached. There’s no hope in breaking through it or even climbing its steep terrain. The Padres have fallen apart so hard, that even this two-game series against the Los Angeles Angels may not even move the needle.

Nonetheless, the second game of this set is Saturday at Angel Stadium and the Padres look like defeated folks who can’t make it through the Oregon Trail.

One day after going through three runs on four hits in a game that went 16 innings, the Padres had no hope going up against Scherzer and the Dodgers, losing 4-0 Thursday and putting the finishing touches on a three-game sweep.

Scherzer nearly went the distance allowing only two hits in 7.2 innings while striking out 10. It was yet another masterful piece of art by Scherzer since being traded to the Dodgers at the trade deadline.

Fernando Tatis Jr. followed a 1-for-7 performance by going 0-for-4; Manny Machado went 1-for-4 after going 0-for-5 the night before. Trent Grisham and Victor Cratini had the other two hits in the ballgame. Once Yu Darvish got caught with a two-run homer from Austin Barnes and Corey Seager’s double in the third, it was over. Darvish had six strikeouts, but it was over considering that star-studded lineup just fell apart.

This is the Padres’ third four-game losing streak since Aug. 11; they are 2-12 in their last 14 games and trail the Cincinnati Reds by two games for the second NL Wild Card spot. Someone has to wake up and soon. At time of publishing, the Padres have not announced a starting pitcher. Joe Musgrove gets the call for Friday.

Life is rough for the Padres, but is also agonizing for the Angels at this moment. The Angels lost consecutive games to the Baltimore Orioles, that same team that had a 19-game losing streak not too long ago, and lost 13-1 in the finale on Wednesday.

Not even Shohei Ohtani’s 41st home run on the season could salvage the deflating feeling of a team losing to such an inferior team. L.A. has lost five of six since sweeping the Detroit Tigers and have scored a combined 17 runs in that time; eight came in the historic loss to Baltimore.

Jose Suarez is expected to take the mound for the Angels. The southpaw has a 5-7 record with a 4.06 ERA this season.

Prediction


Ohtani hits a homer, the Padres don’t remember how to hit, the same cycle repeats yet again. Angels win 7-2.

Betting trends


The Padres are 38-43 (-26.2 net games) when they’re a road favorite in their last 81 games.

The Angels are 27-38 (-2.7 games on the money line) when an underdog this season.

Key injuries


Padres: RF Wil Myers (hamstring, day-to-day)

Angels: LF Justin Upton (calf, day-to-day), RP Austin Warren (undisclosed, 10-day IL), OF Mike Trout (calf, 60-day IL)

Players to watch


Padres: How bad is it, really? Fernando Tatis Jr. is 2-for-28 in his last seven games entering Friday. One of those was a home run. He needs to get it going before this MVP campaign continues to go down the toilet.

Angels: The Halos could also use a wake-up call for Shohei Ohtani. He’s batting .225 in August with only four homers and seven RBI.

Projected lineup


Padres:
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) RF
Manny Machado (R) 3B
Jake Cronenworth (L) SS
Austin Nola (R) C
Eric Hosmer (L) 1B
Wil Myers (R) DH
Tommy Pham (R) LF
Adam Frazier (L) 2B

Angels:
Shohei Ohtani (L) DH
David Fletcher (R) 2B
Phil Gosselin (R) 3B
Jared Walsh (L) 1B
Kurt Suzuki (R) C
Jo Adell (R) LF
Brandon Marsh (L) CF
Jack Mayfield (R) SS
Juan Lagares (R) RF

Statistical leaders


Padres:
Batting average: Fernando Tatis Jr. (.281)
Hits: Jake Cronenworth (128)
Home runs: Fernando Tatis Jr. (35)
RBI: Manny Machado (84)
Stolen bases: Fernando Tatis Jr. (24)
Wins: Joe Musgrove (8)
Saves: Mark Melancon (34)
ERA: Joe Musgrove (3.04)

Angels:
Batting average: David Fletcher (.293)
Hits: David Fletcher (147)
Home runs: Shohei Ohtani (41)
RBI: Shohei Ohtani (89)
Stolen bases: Shohei Ohtani (19)
Wins: Shohei Ohtani (8)
Saves: Raisel Iglesias (27)
ERA: Shohei Ohtani (3.00)

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Chuck Sommers

About the Author:

Chuck Sommers has camped outside of sportsbooks since he can remember, learning the tricks and nuances of the trade. He still has nightmares of betting $5,000 on the Raiders in the Tuck Rule game but has since turned that to 25 years of veteran handicapping greatness. You can find him mostly in the shadows at the Red Rock or Aliante casinos wondering if the over is cashing on any given Sunday.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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