MLB Baseball: New York Yankees Vs New York Mets Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/10/2021

by James Q

MLB Baseball: New York Yankees Vs New York Mets Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/10/2021

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Friday, September 10th, 2021

Venue: Citi Field, Flushing Meadows, Queens, New York

Where to Watch: YES, SNY, MLBN (out of network)

Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings: Yankees -115, Mets -115; Over/Under: 8 runs 

BetMGM: Yankees -115, Mets -115; Over/Under: 8 runs 

PointsBet: Yankees -115, Mets -115; Over/Under: 8 runs

Season Record

Yankees:  78-61 (3rd place AL East)
Mets:  70-70  (3rd place NL East)

The Mets are a win away from a winning record. The Yankees have been free-falling as of late. They lost  their place in baseball (which was 2nd AL East), which they just recently got,  to almost fourth in the AL East…  depending on how often they come up winners versus how often the Toronto Blue Jays come up winners.  A streak in any direction dooms or exalts the New York Yankees.  

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Yankees vs Mets Preview and Analysis

Recent Form:

The Yankees are 2-8 over their last ten games.  They logged 3 Unders and 7 Overs. They lost to Oakland Athletics 0-1, went 1-2 against the Los Angeles Angels, 1-2 against the Baltimore Orioles (unforgivable), and SWEPT by the Toronto Blue Jays 0-3.  The Blue jays are the team they are trying to fend off!  

The Mets are 7-3 over their last ten games.  Logging 5 Overs, 4 Unders and 1 Push.  Beating the Washington Nationals 1-0, Miami Marlins 2-0, then went 3-2 in a massive five-game series against the Washington Nationals, and finally 1-1 against the Miami Marlins.  This is exactly the ten game result that the Yankees needed, but the Mets got it.  Hmmm.

Offensive Analysis 

The Yankees are 23rd in team batting average at .236, 21st in runs scored 598, and 19th in home runs 176.  They were higher in each of these categories just 10-12 days ago.  They have been cold at the plate.  

The Mets are 21st in team batting average .238, 28th in runs scored 549, 6th in home runs 154.  The Mets have been climbing of late… There is no reason why in particular except they have always been good at mystifying prognosticators.  Why get better now?  What’s to gain?  Will they be bad again next week?  No reason. Nothing. Yes.

Defensive Analysis

The Yankees pitchers are 4th in team ERA 3.70, the Mets are 5th 3.73.  The Yankees are 4th in strikeouts 1330, the Mets are 12th in strikeouts 1258.  The Yankees are 3rd in WHIP 1.19, the Mets are 7th in Whip 1.71.  They are so close on everything.  Just recently they got close in record.

Yankees vs Mets Prediction

Our prediction for Friday, September 10th is .. Mets 7 - Yankees 2

The Mets are on a roll and the Yankees aren’t.  It’s not a crazy matchup since both teams are similar in stats.  The Yankees just finished getting buried by the Blue Jays Wednesday.  The malaise will linger. 

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MLB Betting Trends

The Mets are 4-2 in their last six games on the road.

The total has hit under in five of the Mets' last seven games. 

Yankees are 1-4 in its last five games at home.

Key Injuries

Yankees: Gerrit Cole (hamstring) Day to Day, Zack Britton RP (surgery) Done for season. Jamison Taillon (ankle tendon) 10 Day IL.
Mets:  Brandon Nimmo (hamstring) 10 Day IL,  Thomas Nido (thumb) 10 Day IL.

Players to Watch

The Yankees will start Jordan Montgomery on the mound.  The Left-handed pitcher is 5-5, 3.47 ERA, 131 strikeouts in 135 innings pitched.

The Mets will start Tylor Megill, righty, 2-4, 4.20 ERA, 78 strikeouts in 70 innings pitched.  Tylor debuted this year and is auditioning to stay in the majors.  He has the better incentive.

Notable Quotes

"It sounds worse than it is, but his body is going to tell us what he's able to handle,"-Yankees Manager Aaron Boone about Jameson Taillon’ injury that will keep him out.

"We have to bounce back quickly after a tough loss like this,....We just have to recover. We can't hang our heads. We had some chances tonight and didn't come up with the win." - Mets manager Luis Rojas, he’s said something similar 70 times this season. Starting Lineups


B. Gardner, CF

A. Judge, RF

A. Rizzo, 1B

G. Stanton, DH

G. Torres, SS

J. Gallo, LF

G. Sanchez, C

T. Wade, 2B

G. Urshela, 3B

N. Cortes Jr., SP


F. Lindor, SS

P. Alonso, 1B

J. Baez, 2B

J. Davis, 3B

M. Conforto, RF

K. Pillar, CF

D. Smith, LF

J. McCann, C

M. Stroman, P


Statistical Leaders


Yankees: Aaron Boone
Mets:  Luis Rojas

Weather Forecast 

Sunny.  76*.  Humidity 48%.  It should cool down by gametime to a nice cool 62*. 


James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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