MLB Baseball: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/14/2021

by James Q

Monday, Sep 13, 2021

MLB Baseball: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/14/2021

ame Time: 7:05 pm ET, Tuesday, September 14th, 2021 
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Where to Watch: YES, MASN

Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings: Moneyline:  Yanks -320, Orioles +250; Over/Under: 10 runs
 BetMGM: Yanks -320, Orioles +250; Over/Under: 9.5 runs 
Caesars: Yanks -320, Orioles +250; Over/Under: 9 runs

Season Record

Yankees:  79-64 (4th place, AL East) 
Orioles:  46-97 (5th place, AL East)

The Yankees have gone cold over the last few weeks falling from second to third to fourth place, while the rest of the American League East is still battling.  This three-game series against the Orioles could not have come at a better time. The Yankees will need to use this stretch to restart the offense, work out the kinks, and get their heads straight.  The 9 game fireworks finale to finish the season will be three games against the Boston Red Sox, three games against the Toronto Blue Jays, and finishes with 3 games against the Tampa Bay Rays. That stretch will define the entire season for the Bronx Bombers.
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Yankees vs Orioles Preview and Analysis

Recent Form

The Yankees are 2-8 over their last ten games.  Logging 5 Overs and 5 Unders.  They went 1-2 against THESE Baltimore Orioles, losing a four-game stand to the Toronto Blue Jays in Yankee Stadium 0-4, 1-2 against the New York Mets.  A rough ten games that may have lost them a shot at the wild card race. 

The Orioles are 5-5 over their last ten games. Hitting 5 Overs, 4 Unders and 1 Push.  They beat THESE Yankees 2-0, went 2-2 against the Kansas City Royals, 0-3 against the Toronto Blue Jays.  

Offensive Analysis 

The Yankees are 23rd in team batting average .236, 19th in runs scored 619, 10th in home runs 187.  These numbers have fallen recently, the result of the losing streak that afflicted the team through the first half of September.

The Baltimore Orioles are 15th in team batting average .240, 25th in runs scored 600, 15th in home runs 178, and 27th in BB 401.  They have guys that can hit the ball:  Cedric Mullins, Ryan Mountcastle, they just don’t hit well as a team.  


Defensive Analysis

The Yankees pitchers are 7th in team ERA 3.78, 4th in strikeouts, 6th in WHIP 1.20.  The defense is propping up the offense this season with strong pitching. Guys like Nestor Cortes and Jordan Montgomery have been slinging it well.  

The Orioles have terrible pitching.  Right now in the season it is the result of calling up the prospects and giving them starts to gain experience.  At 40+ games out of first place it is the best use of the mound.  They are 30th (last) in team ERA 5.93, 27th in strikeouts 1118, 30th (last) in WHIP 1.49.  On Sunday (9/12)  the Orioles gave up 22 runs to the Blue Jays.  They lost 22-7.

Yankees vs Orioles Prediction 

Our prediction for Tuesday, September 14th is… Yankees 7 - Orioles 2

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MLB Betting Trends

The Yankees are 39-33 in road games
The Yankees are 59-33 in night games.
The Yankees O/U on the road is 32-39-1

The Orioles are 22-49 at home.
The Orioles are 32-56 at night.
The Orioles O/U at home is 40-27-3.

Key Injuries

Yankees:  Clint Frazier LF (eye)  Out for season  *  Jameson Taillon SP (ankle) 10 DAY IL
Orioles:  Matt Harvey SP  Out for season  *  Bruce Zimmerman  SP  Out for season

Players to Watch

The Yankees starting pitcher will be righty Gerrit Cole.  14-7, 2.78 ERA, 217 strikeouts in 115 innings of work, 0.99 WHIP.  The 31 year old is having another solid year on the mound.  His career 115-62 record with a 3.15 ERA completely validates the Pittsburgh Pirates drafting Gerrit out of UCLA with the #1 overall pick in 2011.  He’s an Ace.  He lost his last outing, which was against the Toronto Blue Jays, while giving up 5 hits, 2 walks, and 2 earned runs in 3.2 innings.  He will be looking to bounce back with a great game!

The Orioles will be going another direction on the mound.  They will start Alexander Wells. 1-2, 7.15 ERA, 17 SO in 22 innings, 1.90 WHIP.  Alexander had his debut in June and has hung out in the Orioles Bullpen, making short appearances in about 8 games. In the 22 innings so far he has given up 32 hits, 4 home runs with 18 runs scored against him.  The 24 year old Australian will get shelled by the Yankee line-up. 

Notable Quotes 

 Brandon Hyde, about the Orioles 22-7 loss  “We swung the bat pretty well,...We're just not pitching very well.”

"Boys will be boys," -Yankees manager Aaron Boone.  About the tensions and tempers raised between the Yankees and the Mets.


Starting Lineups 

D. LeMahieu, 3B
B. Gardner, CF
A. Judge, RF
G. Stanton, DH
J. Gallo, LF
L. Voit, 1B
G. Torres, 2B
T. Wade, SS
K. Higashioka, C
L. Gil, SP

C. Mullins, CF
R. Mountcastle, 1B
A. Hays, LF
A. Santander, DH
R. Urias, 2B
R. McKenna, CF
J. Mateo, SS
K. Gutierrez, 3B
A. Wynns, C
Z. Lowther, SP

Statistical Leaders

Batting AVG:  Aaron Judge .293
Hits:  DJ LeMahieu  147
RBI:  Aaron Judge  79
Wins:  Gerrit Cole  14
Saves:  Aroldis Chapman  26
Holds:  Jonathan Loaisiga  18

Batting AVG:  Cedric Mullins .300
RBI:  Ryan Mountcastle  79
Wins:    Matt Harvey  6
Strikeouts:  John Means  114
Saves:  Cesar Valdez  8



Weather Forecast 

Partly Cloudy.  High of 91*.  Humidity 61%.  10% chance of precipitation. 



James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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