Game Time:  7:05 pm ET, Monday,  August 23rd, 2022

Venue:  Yankee Stadium, The Bronx, New York

TV: MLB.TV, MLBN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +100, Yankees -120; O/U 8.5

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:   Mets +100, Yankees -120 O/U 8.5

PointsBet:  Moneyline odds:   

 

Mets: 79-44, 1st place NL East

Yankees: 74-48, 1st pace AL East

Both teams are coming off wins in their last game.  Both teams are riding high.  The last prediction was for Game 1 of this series which will play Monday night. This prediction is for Game 2… let’s check the pitching and make that good bet on the Great Betting opportunity.  

The Subway series is here!  New York versus New York!  Mets and Yankees!  The #1 team in the AL East will play the #1 team in the NL East.  Both New York teams rocketed to the top of the league at the start of the season.  Both New York teams sent a cadre of players to the All-Star game! Both New York teams had their fans dreaming of a World Season win!  Then August bit them both in the ass.  It’s that simple.  These teams are still great and still have wonderful records… but the shine is dipping.  The New York Mets will come into Game 1 against the Yankees on a two game losing streak and having recently gotten punished by the Atlanta Braves in 3 of four games… That leaves them at .500 over the last 10. The Yankees will come into this series either losers of 8 of their last ten games or losers of 7 of their last 10 games depending on the results of the game they are playing now (Sunday afternoon).  It has not been a good recent stretch for either team.  The good news is they are both still in first place in their divisions… they both have plenty of baseball yet to play… and the bad news is that they both need to right the ship while playing each other.

The New York Mets have won 5 of their last ten games but are losing the game they are playing now (sunday afternoon).  The Mets have great stats… top five in batting and top five in pitching.  Those are some good numbers. Their weakness is an injury list that has crept up and stolen a month (minimum) of Carrasco from the mound… and completely snatched SS Escobar for the season.  These are hurdles that will need to be compensated for.  They went 2-1 against the Philadelphia Phillies, 1-3 against the Atlanta Braves, and 2-1 against the Philadelphia Phillies (again).

The New York Yankees have won only 2 of their last 10 games… Going back even a few games further you find more and more recent losses.  They were touted as on pace for the best season maybe ever… That is out the window now.  They are great at scoring with a mediocre batting average, maybe thanks to home run hitter Aaron Judge.  The Yankees strength is that they are firmly a top-three team in pitching.  Their injury list is no stranger to creeping up and ruining the party.  The list recently snatched DH Giancarlo Stanton, and RP Abreu, to go along with the group of quality pitchers and the OTHER DH (Matt Carpenter) that was already sitting there.  They went 0-3 against the Toronto Blue Jays, 1-2 against the Tampa Bay Rays, and sadly 1-3 against the Boston Red Sox.  

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The Mets batters are 5th in scoring with 4.75 ERA, 6th in batting average with .257, and 2nd in OBP with .328

The Yankees batters are 

The Mets pitchers are 5th in team ERA with 3.54, 5th in WHIP with 1.19, and the fielders are 8th in errors with 56 on the season so far.

Our Prediction for Tuesday, August 23rd is…. Mets 9 - Yankees 3

The Mets will shell Frankie Montas… then shell the Bullpen.  The Yankees keep insisting on not burning quality guys against the Mets so they can win easier matchups later in the week.  This strategy does not make an ultimate winner.  The bet is for the Mets on the moneyline AND ATS.  If you can lay real money… Take both as a parlay for half the money.  Thank me later.

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The Mets are 9-5 (+4.9 UNITS) against the Yankees over the last 3 seasons.

The Mets are 2-0 (+2.0 UNITS) against the Yankees this season

Mets: C T Nido (ill) Out ** SS E Escobar (oblique) Out ** 2B L Guillorme (groin) Out ** 

 

Yankees: 3B J Donaldson (ill) Out ** CF H Bader (foot) Out ** DH G Stanton (achilles) Out ** DH Matt Carpenter (foot) Out

 

Mets: RHP Taijuan Walker, 10-3, 3.36 ERA, 85 strikeouts in 112 innings pitched. 1.20 WHIP.  "Tai Weezy" has benefitted greatly from the Mets run support... while his numbers are just OK on the season, his W/L record is fantastic.

Yankees: RHP Frankie Montas, 4-10, 3.87 ERA, 117 strikeouts in 118 innings pitched.  1.21 WHIP.  Frankie is not a winner this season… and just barely on his career numbers. What are the Yankees doing?  

Mets: CF Brandon Nimmo, RF Starling Marte, SS Francisco Lindor, DH Pete Alonso, 1B Darin Ruf, 2B Jeff McNeil, LF Mark Canha, 3B Brett Baty, C James McCann

Yankees: DH DJ LeMahieu, LF Andrew Benintendi, RF Aaron Judge, 1B Anthony Rizzo, 2B Gleyber Torres, 3B Oswaldo Cabrera, C Jose Trevino, SS Isiah Kiner-Falefa, CF Estevan Florial

Mets: Buck “a man of many stops in the show” Showalter

Yankees: Aaron “I played as recently as 2009” Boone

 

Again rain… in the form of scattered thunderstorms.  Watch Cash Jordan’s videos on YouTube… even if you never want to live in New York City… They are fun and show you how the city half lives.