MLB Baseball: Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/10/2021

by James Q

MLB Baseball:  Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/10/2021

Game Time:  7:05 pm ET, Friday, September 10th,, 2021
Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Where to Watch:  YES, SNY, MLBN  (out of market only)


Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline: Phillies -140, Rockies +120; Over/Under: 8.5  runs
BetMGM: Moneyline: Phillies -140, Rockies +120 ; Over/Under:  8.5  runs
PointsBet:  Moneyline: Phillies -140, Rockies +120  ; Over/Under: 8.5 runs

Season Record

Rockies: 63-77 ( NL West )
Phillies:  71-68 ( NL East )
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Rockies vs Phillies Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
Colorado is 3-7 over their last ten games.  Going 4 Over,  6 Under.  They went 1-2 against the Texas Rangers, 2-2 against the Atlanta Braves in a four-game series, and 0-3 to the San Francisco Giants (doing the Dodgers no favors).
The Phillies are 6-4 over their last ten games.  Beat Arizona Diamondbacks 1-0, went 3-0 against the Washington Nationals, 2-2 against the Miami Marlins, 0-2 against the Milwaukee Brewers. Winning against bad teams and losing to good teams… sort of the Phillies Mantra this year… and they are in a bad division.  
The Rockies used up starting pitcher Antonio Senzatela, and the Phillies used up Ranger Suarez in the Thursday night game (about to start now).  The Rockies have literally nothing to play for with 21 games left in the season.  The Phillies have a chance of playing for something if they win and keep winning.  Philly has all the desire.  The Rockies have pride.


Offensive Analysis

The Colorado Rockies are 7th in team batting average .247, 12th in runs scored 638, and 23rd in home runs 157.  They hit well and they have the advantage of thin air in a mile high altitude while they are at home…. But they aren’t a good team.  They are 22nd in BB.  Walks aren’t a joke when the entire league is judged by numbers.
The Phillies are 17th in batting average at .240, 13th in runs scored at 636 (just behind the Phillies by 1 run), and 15th in home runs 170.  They can hit for average which means they need great pitching to move forward.

Defensive Analysis

The Rockies are a lowly 26th in team ERA 4.83, 25th in strikeouts at 1111, and 25th in WHIP 1.38.  They hit for average but have no pitching.  This will all be addressed in the offseason like every bad pitching team says.  Until they sign a quality FA don’t believe it. The Rockies pitching staff has mumbled along for years now just waiting for someone to come along and raise the average.  It never happens because you won’t find it in the minors.
The Phillies are 20th in ERA 4.44, 10th in strikeouts 1268, and 16th in Whip 1.30… not much better but enough.  Neither of these teams are screaming about how they belong in the postseason by their play.  Philadelphia will get pushed around if they qualify for a wild card.


Rockies vs Phillies Prediction

Our prediction for Friday, September 10th… is Rockies 5 - Phillies 3
It’s an upset pick with a .5 Under.  The Phillies in this thinking are waiting for the season to give them something and they will be mistaken.  Colorado’s TBD will beat them.
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MLB Betting Trends

Rockies are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. National League East.
Rockies are 18-51 in their last 69 road games.
Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.
Under is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Phillies are 5-2 in their last 7 games as a favorite.

Key Injuries


Players to Watch

The Rockies will start righty German Marquez, 11-10, 4.08 ERA, 161 strikeouts in 161 innings pitched. 1.20 WHIP.  German Marquez is as solid a starter as the Rockies have… He pitches 1 strikeout per inning like most people like.  He debuted in 2016 and has been fire ever since… His last 7 games have been down a bit with a 5.70 ERA… but he still went 3-2.
The Phillies list the pitcher as TBD.  Which means they will wait to see who isn’t burnt… who might be throwing well in warm=ups… and they will toss the bullpen at the Rockies.  This is a mistake.  The Rockies hit for average and they will be ready to hit all day long if they face a below average approach.

Notable Quotes

"At this point, it's stacking up wins and if teams behind us lose, it gets tough on them, for sure,....We know it's in our hands right now. You work this hard to build this lead and it's in our hands. So that's how you see it. Take care of our business, and we've earned that." - Brewers Manager Craig Cousell referencing the pickle the Phillies are in.
"Five scoreless innings, held them down and got some punch outs,......In the sixth, three opposite-field hits. On balance I thought Jon threw the ball really, really well, and physically he was fine." -Rockies manager Bud Black after loss to Giants.

Starting Lineups

B. Rodgers, 2B
G. Hampson, CF
T. Story, SS
C. Cron, 1B
E. Diaz, C
C. Welker, 3B
Y. Daza, RF
S. Hilliard, LF
A. Senzatela, P
O. Herrera, CF
J. Segura, 2B
B. Harper, RF
B. Miller, 1B
A. McCutchen, LF
D. Gregorius, SS
R. Torreyes, 3B
R. Marchan, C
R. Suarez, P

Statistical Leaders

Phillies:  Joe Girardi
Rockies:  Bud Black

Weather Forecast

Sunny, 77*  10% chance of precipitation that will never come.  Young people relaxing in the sun and waiting for something to cheer for.   

James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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