MLB Baseball: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/03/2021

by James Q

MLB Baseball:  Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/03/2021

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Friday, September 3rd,, 2021
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, New York, New York
Where to Watch:  YES, MASN

Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds: Orioles +175, Yankees -210; Over/Under:  9 runs

Season Record

Orioles:  41-91, last place AL East
Yankees:  77-56, 2nd place AL East
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Orioles Vs Yankees Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
Orioles:  The Baltimore Orioles are 3-7 over their last ten games. It was their best week in a few weeks.  Logging 5 Overs and 5 Unders. They are cellar dwellers in the East. 0-1 to the Atlanta Braves, 2-1 against the Los Angeles Angels, 0-3 against the Tampa Bay Rays (not doing the Yankees any favors), and 1-2 against the Toronto Blue Jays.  They are finishing a lost season.  Mathematically exempt from the postseason, complete underdogs every time they play, Giving li9ve action tryouts to minor league call-ups and unknowns to see if they can make the squad next year.
Yankees:  The Bronx Bombers are 6-4 over their last ten games.  Notching 4 Overs, 4 Unders and 2 Push.  Going 1-0 against the Minnesota Twins, 2-0 against the Atlanta Braves, 2-4 against the Oakland Athletics, and 1-2 against the Los Angeles Angels.  


Offensive Analysis

The Orioles’ offense are 18th in team batting average (.239), 27th in OBP (.303), and 26th in runs per game (4.11).  In another version of this article I’d be writing about the Arizona Diamondbacks.  A team who is experimenting openly with the lineup since they have no chance.  They need to find something in all those experiments… and not just pitchers.  They need upgrades to nearly ⅔ of their batting lineup.
The Orioles will start John Means on the mound 5-6, 3.46 ERA, 104 strikeouts in 114 innings. This 28 year old is 3 years too old to be this inexperienced at the pro level.  He is a career 19-21 and not strong enough to get it done against the Yankees.

The Yankees are 20th in MLB batting average (.238), but 7th in OBP (.326)... they fall back down to 19th in runs scored per game (4.36).  They were on a tear over the last two weeks in August, catching and overtaking the Boston Red Sox with a dramatic 3 game head to head sweep.  It seems now they are taking deep breaths trying to prepare for the wild card and early playoff rounds of the postseason.  They just need to hold 2nd place… they know it and maybe that is a bad thing.
The Yankees will start lefty Nestor Cortes Jr  2-2, 2.77 ERA, 64 strikeouts in 61 innings pitched.  Nestor is also green in the majors.  140 innings total since 2018 debut… but Nestor will have run support.  Nothing helps a young pitcher more than run support except maybe a big dollop of spider-tac.  

Defensive Analysis

The Orioles have a 5.85 team ERA are 27th in strikeouts 1048, and LAST in WHIP 1.49… LAST.  They can’t even say they fell to last place in pitching because they sold off top guys at the trade deadline.  No!, they were hardly active at all.  This is just a bad team, doing bad things.  No kid taken in the draft or power hitter brought up from the minors will fix this.  They need a full overhaul.  Everyone out and spend some money.
The Yankees are 4th in team ERA 3.63, 6th in strikeouts 1262, and 3rd in WHIP.  The Yankees are super strong from the mound.  Consistently up there with the Los Angeles Dodgers and Milwaukee Brewers in the stats.  The pitching is why the Tampa Bay Rays can’t lean on their AL East lead and take their foot off the gas. The Yankees are coming even though the last ten games were 40% sour.  They can win any contest.


Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction

 The Prediction for Friday, September 9th is Yankees 7 - Orioles 2

This isn’t a matter of are the Orioles going to lose… They will.  They are expected to.  It’s a matter of how many runs they will give up on the way.  Betting Insights gathered from every possible stats point to the Yankees.

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Key Injuries

Orioles:  Heston Kjerstad, RF, almost back from 60day IL, Out for this one.
Yankees:  Gio Urshela, 3B, Day to Day

Players to Watch

Orioles:  John Means.  Every Orioles fan (if any are still watching) should be watching the mound.  Every game.  Is anyone ready to join the team full time and help jettison the junk currently holding those spots?  They need to find a few to possibly field a defense next season.
Yankees:  Aaron Judge.  When you watch the Yankees you watch Aaron Judge.  He leads the Yankees offense in multiple categories and looks a little like a Duke Blue Devil Power Forward that has stumbled into the wrong sport.  His name isn’t as perfectly suited to New York as Anthony Rizzo (“AnToneeee, come inside for dinnaah”), but it is perfectly suited for the pun happy New York Sports headline writers.

Notable Quotes

"Any win at this point feels good with what we went through with that losing streak,....It's good to see some young guys contribute and step up."  -Keegan Akin, Oriole pitcher that has won 2 starts in a row.
"Dominant,....He's obviously had some really good ones in his career, and certainly with us the last two seasons; that for me was up there. That was a guy in control, a step ahead of those guys all day; his fastball was as good as it's been all year." - Aaron Boone, Yankees Manager, about Gerrit Cole’s performance against the Los Angeles Angels.

Starting Lineups

Baltimore Orioles
C. Mullins, CF
R. Mountcastle, DH
A. Hays, LF
T. Mancini, 1B
R. Urias, SS
A. Santander, RF
J. Mateo, 2B
J. Jones, 2B
A. Wynns, C
M. Harvey, SP
NY Yankees

D. LeMahieu, 2B

A. Rizzo, 1B

A. Judge, RF

L. Voit, DH

J. Gallo, LF

K. Higashioka, C

R. Odor, 3B

A. Velazquez, SS

B. Gardner, CF

G. Cole, SP

Statistical Leaders

Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average:  Willy Adames (.293)
Hits:  Avisail Garcia (105)
Home Runs:  Avisail Garcia (24)
RBI:  Avisail Garcia (73)
Stolen Bases:  Kolten Wong (9)
Wins:  Brent Suter (12)
Saves:  Josh Hader (26)
ERA:  Corbin Burnes (2.13)
Batting Average:  Aaron Judge (.299)
Hits:  D LeMahieu  (135)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (30)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (75)
Stolen Bases:  Gleyber Torres  (12)
Wins:  Gerrit Cole (14)
Saves: A. Chapman (25)
ERA:  G. Cole (2.73)
Orioles:  Earl Weaver
Yankees:  Aaron Boone

Weather Forecast

Partly cloudy, high of 73*, wind 11 mph

James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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