Game Time:  7:10 pm ET, Saturday,  August 27th, 2022

Venue:  Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois

TV: MLB.TV

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:   

PointsBet:  Moneyline odds:   

 

D-Backs: 56-67, 4th place NL West

White Sox: 63-62, 3rd place AL Central

An Inter-League matchup between the 4th place National League West team and the 3rd place American League Central team.  The results of this game will have zero effect on the postseason.  The airing of this game will have zero effect on MLB’s ratings.  Few people outside of Phoenix or Chicago will be watching… and few people inside of Phoenix and Chicago will be watching.  So, what is the point?... Well it turns out to be a Great Betting Opportunity.  It’s worthwhile to find these little pitching matchups among bad teams that provide a “sort of” certainty against the numbers.  Nothing is ever certain in baseball… but it is nice to have an even money (or close) return on your wager… and teams like this provide that on the MoneyLine.  

The Arizona Diamondbacks have won 4 of their last 10 games.  The Diamondbacks are victims of a years-long identity… Never dominant in any stat and never the worst team.  It constantly feels like the Diamondbacks are pushing a rock up a hill and no matter how much progress they make… something comes along to add a little weight to that rock.  The Diamondbacks have been the victim of their division producing multiple 100+ win teams over the last few years.  They have sat in the shadow of the Dodgers, the Giants, and the Padres… when one of those teams does poorly… it is nearly guaranteed the other two start playing great.  The Diamondbacks aren’t alone in this gutter… They have the Colorado Rockies to sit at the bottom with… but it has been a long time since either team has even threatened to climb the ladder.  They went 1-1 against the Kansas City Royals, 0-3 against the St Louis Cardinals, 2-2 against the San Francisco Giants, and 0-1 against the Colorado Rockies.

The Chicago White Sox have also won only 4 of their last 10 games.  An equal number of fruitless outings as the D-Backs.  The White Sox have the better record but they easily play in a worse division… So are these teams equal?  The White Sox have a much better batting average for sure… in fact the White Sox are top-five in the league in team batting average…. Why aren’t they winners?  The pitching number sare also better than the D-Backs team numbers, but this matchup could answer if all those numbers are fugazzi since they are mostly compiled against other AL Central teams.  They went 1-2 against the Baltimore Orioles, 0-1 against the Kansas City Royals, 1-1 against the Cleveland Guardians, and 2-2 against the worthless cheating Houston Astros.  Those two Astros wins are impressive… but are they head and shoulders above the 2 D-Backs wins over the San Francisco Giants?... (yes).

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ARI: 56-67, -320 ML, 55-63-5 O/U, 24-35 in road games.

CWS: 63-62, -901 ML, 55-63-7, 30-31 in home games.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 18th in scoring with 4.26 runs per game, 26th in batting average with .229, 23rd in OBP with .306.

The Chicago White Sox are 21st in runs scored with 4.19 runs per game, 4th in batting average with .260, and 12th in OBP with .316.

The Arizona Diamondbacks pitchers are 22nd in ERA with 4.18, 20th in WHIP with 1.29, and their fielders are 21st in errors with 71 on the season so far.

The Chicago White Sox pitchers are 19th in ERA with 3.97, 22nd in WHIP with 1.31, and their fielders are 28th in errors with 79 on the season so far.

Our Prediction for Saturday, August 27th is…. D-Backs 5 - W Sox 3

This is a bet for the D-backs for sure.  They are behind in the numbers but will certainly be putting up the better pitcher.  The bet is for the D-backs on the moneyline.

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D-Backs: SS N Ahmed (Shoulder) Out… plus a 5 piece of pitchers.

W-Sox: 3B Y Moncada (hammy) Out ** 2B L Garcia (back) Out ** C Y Grandal (knee) Out ** SS T Anderson (suspended) Out ** SS D Mendick (knee) Out 

D-Backs: RHP Merrill Kelly, 10-5, 2.87 ERA, 128 strikeouts in 150 innings pitched.  After his stint as an actor in the 90’s movie “Something About Mary”  the 33 year old Ken Merrill became something of a good pitcher.

White Sox: TBD

D-Backs:  C Carson Kelly, 3B Emmanuel Rivera, DH Ketel Marte, 1B Christian Walker, LF Stone Garrett, 2B Josh Rojas, RF Jordan Luplow, CF Jake McCarthy, SS Geraldo Perdomo

W-Sox: LF Andrew Vaughn, RF Gavin Sheets, CF Luis Robert, 1B Jose Abreu, DH Eloy Jiminez, 3B Yoan Moncada, SS Elvis Andrus, C Seby Zavala

D-Backs: Torey “c’mon, c’mon, c’mon” Lovullo

W-Sox: Tony “you can’t get rid of me” La Russa

 

Mostly Sunny, 80*, Humidity 64%, Precipitation 10%, wind 9 mph.  A Chicago guy once tried to break down to me how certain streets and neighborhoods lean either toward the Cubs or the White Sox… but it didn’t make sense… So instead we ate pizza and then headed to a great little bar where Roger Ebert used to drink.  We had a few… and I still have no idea who should root for who?  Nice architecture in Chicago though.