Missouri Tigers vs Tennessee Volunteers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/05/2025

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Wednesday, February 5, 2025

Venue:  Thompson-Boling Arena at Food City Center, Knoxville, TN

Where to Watch:  SEC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mizzou +9.5, Tennessee -9.5; Over/Under:  134 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mizzou +9.5, Tennessee -9.5; Over/Under:  134 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mizzou +9.5, Tennessee -9.5; Over/Under:  134 points

Missouri Tigers:  17-4 (6-2) (3rd place, SEC)

Tennessee Volunteers:  18-4 (5-4) (6th place, SEC)

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Missouri Tigers:  4-1  last 5

Tennessee Volunteers:  2-3  last 5

Missouri is entering this game with a 17-4 record overall, a 6-2 record in conference games, and they are 2-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Mississippi State Bulldogs in their last game. Caleb Grill led the team in points per game in that game with 20 while Tamar Bates was next on the team with 14. Tony Perkins led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Josh Gray led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 55% from the field, 46.9% from 3-point range, and 70% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 83.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.6 PPG against them. Missouri has an ATS record of 12-9 this season and their O/U record is 11-10.

Tennessee is entering this game with an 18-4 record overall, a 5-4 conference record, and they are 12-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Florida Gators in their last game. Chaz Lanier led the team in points in that game with 19 while Jordan Gainey was next on the team with 16. Jahmai Mashack led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Felix Okpara and Jahmai Mashack each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 40% from the field, 27.3% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 74.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 58.6 PPG against them. Tennessee has an ATS record of 14-8 this season and their O/U record is 8-14.

The current betting odds have Tennessee listed as a 9.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Tennessee has looked really good in their games this season with their 18-4 record overall and their 5-4 conference record which has them in the top half of the SEC. They have looked great on their home court too with their 12-1 home record. Meanwhile, Missouri has looked really good in their games this season with their 17-4 record overall and their 6-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. They have been hot lately with their 4-1 record in their last 5 games, but they haven't been a good road team so far with their 2-3 road record. They are coming off a big road win over Mississippi State in their last one, crushing them by over 20 points, but they also have some losses to weaker teams like their 8 point road loss to Texas. Tennessee hasn't looked great lately as they are only 2-3 in their last 5 games, but they have some momentum as they are coming off a big win over Florida in their last one. Tennessee has been crushing teams at home all season and they have been shutting down some very good offenses in their home games too. They held Florida under 50 points in that last game and they are ranked like one of the best teams in the nation due to their elite defense that is the best in the SEC. Missouri has been hot lately, but Tennessee will make them earn every point they score in this game and they are going to use this game as a way to make a statement against another ranked team that is higher in the SEC at the moment. The best way to place a bet here is on Tennessee to cover the spread in this game.

Missouri Tennessee Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, February 5, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Tennessee 65 Missouri 52.

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Missouri Tigers: 2-6 ATS when the total is 130 to 139.5. 9-17 ATS after playing a road game. 14-21 1H ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. 11-6 UNDER off a win against a conference rival. 4-0 UNDER off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog.

Tennessee Volunteers: 30-15 ATS as a home favorite or pick. 11-5 ATS in a home game where the total is 130 to 139.5. 10-4 ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season. 11-5 UNDER in a home game where the total is 130 to 139.5. 12-4 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive home games. 34-19 UNDER versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game.

Missouri Tigers:  T. Burns (C) Questionable - Foot.

Tennessee Volunteers:  I. Milicic (F) Questionable - Illness. J. Estrella (F) Out - Foot.

“The ceiling of our team has not been reached yet. I truly believe that there’s another level or two that we can go. I’ve mentioned before in the past and sometimes you guys think I’m just making statements, but I really do mean that, because I base it off the potential that I see every day in practice, but also the group of men that we have in our locker room.” - Dennis Gates on his team this season. 

“I’m as proud of these guys as any team since I’ve been here because of the way that they prepared for it and believed that they knew they could go out and get a win." - Rick Barnes after his team’s win against Florida in their last game.

T. Bates 

M. Mitchell 

T. Perkins 

T. Pierce 

A. Robinson

C. Lanier 

J. Mashack 

I. Milicic 

F. Okpara 

Z. Zeigler

PPG: T. Bates (13.3)

APG: A. Robinson (3.6)

Reb/G: J. Gray (5.1)

PPG: C. Lanier (17.9)

APG: Z. Zeigler (7.4)

Reb/G: I. Milicic (8.1)

Coaches:

Missouri Tigers: Dennis Gates (3rd season)

Tennessee Volunteers: Rick Barnes (10th season)