Missouri Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/14/2023

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 14, 2023

Venue:  Kroger Field, Lexington, KY

Where to Watch:  SEC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mizzou +2.5, Kentucky -2.5; Over/Under:  50.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mizzou +2.5, Kentucky -2.5; Over/Under:  50.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mizzou +2.5, Kentucky -2.5; Over/Under:  50.5 points

Missouri Tigers:  5-1 (1-1) (4th place, SEC East)

Kentucky Wildcats:  5-1 (2-1) (2nd place, SEC East)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Kyle Hunter is on a HOT STREAK in CFB as he is 81-43 his last 124 CFB Plays! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Missouri Tigers:  lost their last game at home against the LSU Tigers 49-39.

Kentucky Wildcats:  lost their last game on the road against the Georgia Bulldogs 51-13.

Missouri is entering this game with a 5-1 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against LSU 49-39. Brady Cook was the starting QB and he completed 30/47 passes for 395 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Cody Schrader led the team in rushing yards with 114 and 3 TDs. Luther Burden led the receivers with 149 receiving yards on 11 receptions. Kris Abrams-Draine led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Ty'Ron Hopper led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Kentucky is entering this game with a 5-1 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Georgia 51-13. Devin Leary was the starting QB and he completed 10/26 passes for 128 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Re'Mahn Davis led the team in rushing yards with 59. Dane Key led the receivers with 65 receiving yards on 3 receptions. D'Eryk Jackson led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Maxwell Hairston came away with the only interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Kentucky listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Kentucky just lost badly to Georgia in their last game but they have still been having a good season as they are 5-1 overall and 2-1 in conference play. Missouri has also looked really good in their games with their 5-1 record overall but they are only 1-1 in their conference games. Missouri finally lost their 1st game of the season last week to LSU and their road is going to get a lot harder now as they haven't been playing a lot of tough teams lately. Most of their wins have also been at home this year as they have only played 1 road game. Now they go on the road here and Kentucky is going to be looking to bounce back after such a bad loss on the road. Kentucky lost to the 1st ranked team in the nation though so they aren't going to be down on themselves here and they will be looking for that bounce back win at home against a weaker team that they are better than. The best way to place a bet here is on Kentucky to cover the spread in this game. 

Missouri Kentucky Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 14, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Kentucky 28 Missouri 20.

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Missouri Tigers: 4-8 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less. 8-15 ATS after 2 straight games with 40 or more pass attempts. 5-10 ATS after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points. 8-4 UNDER after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points. 6-3 UNDER as a road underdog.

Kentucky Wildcats: 20-11 ATS in all games. 10-2 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 12-6 ATS as a favorite. 13-6 ATS in home games. 12-7 UNDER against conference opponents. 11-6 UNDER off 3 or more consecutive overs. 

Missouri Tigers:  C. Schrader (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. S. McNeil (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. M. Miller (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. D. Houston (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. M. Cox (RB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. I. Thompson (DB) out for season - Lower Body.

Kentucky Wildcats:  B. Christman (OL) out for season - Knee. J. Geiger (DB) Out Sat - Elbow. T. Wallace (LB) Ques Sat - Shoulder. J. Wilcox (RB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. L. Wright (RB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. K. Horsey (OL) Out indefinitely - Leg. N. Hall (OL) out for season - Undisclosed.

“Obviously the two turnovers were critical and our inability to force turnovers. We weren't able to force any turnovers to even up that matchup and that's ultimately what led to the loss.” - Eli Drinkwitz after his team’s loss against LSU in their last game. 

“They beat us in every area. It is hard to come up with an opening statement after a beatdown like that. It has been a while. It doesn’t feel good. I told the team that the good news is that it counts as one game. We have to respond and bounce back. I will put this one on me. We weren’t prepared in any area.” - Mark Stoops after his team’s loss against Georgia in their last game. 

WR Wease Jr., Theo 

WR Cooper, Mookie 

WR Burden III, Luther 

TE Stephens, Tyler 

QB Cook, Brady 

RB Schrader, Cody

WR Key, Dane 

WR Brown, Barion 

WR Robinson, Tayvion 

TE Dingle, Jordan 

TE Bates, Brenden 

QB Leary, Devin 

RB Davis, Ray

Passing: B. Cook (1879)

Rushing: C. Schrader (577)

Receiving: L. Burden III (793)

Touchdowns: C. Schrader (6)

Passing: D. Leary (1257)

Rushing: R. Davis (653)

Receiving: T. Robinson (317)

Touchdowns: R. Davis (12) 

Coaches:

Missouri Tigers: Eli Drinkwitz (4th season)

Kentucky Wildcats: Mark Stoops (11th season)