Missouri Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/10/2021

by Big Al Staff

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 11, 2021
Venue:  Kroger Field, Lexington, KY
Where to Watch:  SEC Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Tigers +5, Wildcats -5; Over/Under:  56.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Tigers +5, Wildcats -5; Over/Under:  56 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Tigers +5, Wildcats -5; Over/Under:  56 points
 

Season Record

Missouri Tigers:  1-0 (5th place, SEC East)
Kentucky Wildcats:  1-0 (2nd place, SEC East)
 
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Ben Burns is 15-5 L20 NCAAF and 9-2 L11 (10*) NCAAF. Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

 

Missouri Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Missouri Tigers:  won 1
Kentucky Wildcats:  won 1
 
 
 

Offensive Analysis

Last season the Missouri Tigers averaged a 67.8% completion percentage, 266.8 passing yards, and 0.9 touchdowns per game through the air. They also averaged 135.2 rushing yards and 2.1 touchdowns per game on the ground. The Kentucky Wildcats were averaging a 59.7% completion percentage, 121.5 passing yards, and 0.6 touchdowns per game through the air. They also averaged 196.8 rushing yards and 1.7 touchdowns per game on the ground.
 
 

Defensive Analysis

Last season the Missouri Tigers were allowing teams a 58.5% completion percentage, 245.8 passing yards, and 2.1 touchdowns per game through the air. They also allowed 162.2 rushing yards and 1.9 touchdowns per game on the ground. The Kentucky Wildcats were allowing teams a 66% completion percentage, 224.6 passing yards, and 1.6 touchdowns per game through the air. They also allowed 156.1 rushing yards and 1.6 touchdowns per game on the ground.
 

 

Tigers vs Wildcats Prediction

The Missouri Tigers are coming into this college football game sitting in 5th place of the Southeastern Conference East with a 1-0 record. They won their season opener against Central Michigan 34-24. Connor Bazelak played a pretty good game in their last one completing 21/32 passes for 257 yards and 2 touchdowns. Tyler Badie was the star on this team in the last game as he led the team in rushing with 203 yards and 1 touchdown on 25 carries. Elijah Young also found the end zone on the ground rushing for 29 yards on 5 carries. D'ionte Smith led the team in receiving with 69 yards on 2 receptions, no other player hit 50 yards receiving in the game. Tyler Badie had a great day for rushing but also caught 1 touchdown pass along with Niko Hea who caught one as well. Blaze Alldredge really stood out on the defense in the last game as he led the team with 8 solo tackles, 2 assisted tackles, and 3.5 sacks. A sack was recorded by 6 different players on the defense along with one player recording a half sack. Jaylon Carlies and Akayleb Evans both caught 1 interception each in the game. 

The Kentucky football team is coming into this matchup sitting in 2nd place of the SEC East with a 1-0 record. They won their first game of the regular season schedule against UL Monroe 45-10. Will Levis had a very good game at quarterback completing 18/26 passes for 367 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception. Chris Rodrigues killed it in the running game leading his team with 125 rushing yards and 1 touchdown on 19 carries. Michael Drennen II also found the end zone on the ground in that game. The receivers had a stellar game as Josh Ali led the way with 136 yards and 1 touchdown on 5 receptions. Wan'Dale Robinson also had a great game with 125 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns on 5 receptions. Brenden Bates also found the end zone with a caught pass. Joshua Paschal led the defense with 6 solo tackles, 1 assisted tackle and 1 sack. J.J. Weaver led the team in sacks with 2 while Jordan Wright, Deandre Square, and Yusuf Corker all recorded 1 sack each. The Kentucky Wildcats football schedule is very tough as they will run into South Carolina next followed by Florida, LSU, Georgia, Mississippi State, Tennessee, Vanderbilt, and the Louisville Cardinals.

Missouri showed that their offense can move the ball well in their first game but mainly in the running game as their strongest point. That is great but now they are facing a very good Wildcats defense that may be able to shut their run game down a bit. The Wildcats have shown that their offense is rolling on all cylinders after that first game. They had a great game with running and passing and they will be a tough team for Missouri to stop here. Kentucky plays well in their home games and should be able to get the cover here. Both teams will likely score a lot of points too and this total is quite low so the over has some value as well.

 
Tigers Wildcats Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for September 11, 2021 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Wildcats 42 Tigers 27.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Missouri Tigers Kentucky Wildcats prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
 

NCAAF Betting Trends

 
Missouri Tigers: 1-8 ATS in road games. 3-8 ATS after playing a game at home.
Kentucky Wildcats: 11-3 ATS in home games. 12-4 ATS in games played on turf.
 

Key Injuries

 
Missouri Tigers:  M. Cooper (WR) Ques Sat - Leg injury. J. Maclin (WR) Out indefinitely - Forearm injury.
Kentucky Wildcats:  J. Williams (DB) Ques Sat - Poss. Suspension. V. Tisdale (S) Ques Sat - Poss. Suspension. E. Sanders IV (WR) Ques Sat - Poss. Suspension. A. Phillips (DB) Ques Sat - Poss. Suspension. J. McClain (RB) Ques Sat - Poss. Suspension.
 

Players to Watch

 
Missouri Tigers: Tyler Badie is one player to watch in this game. He played great in the last game rushing for over 200 yards for 2 touchdowns and even caught a pass for a touchdown. He was everywhere on the field in that game and he will need to be in this game as well if they want to gain some ground on this Kentucky team and upset them.
 
Kentucky Wildcats: Quarterback Will Levis is one player to watch in this game as he killed it in his last game. He threw for 4 touchdowns and over 350 yards passing. He has so many weapons around him in both the receiving and the running game so look for him to make the big plays down the field in this game to help his team to victory.
 

Notable Quotes

"Great to be 1-0, there's going to be all kinds of things we got to clean out and all kinds of things we'll go back to the tape and fix but man, I'm really proud of the way our team responded after being down 14-7. We came out fast, didn't respond very well to a turnover and they took the lead.” - Eli Drinkwitz on winning their first game of the season.
 
 
"He won the job." - Head coach Mark Stoops on Will Levis’ play at the quarterback position.
 
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Missouri Tigers
WR Dove, Tauskie 
WR Chism, Keke 
WR Luper, Chance 
TE Parker Jr., Daniel 
QB Bazelak, Connor 
RB Badie, Tyler 
 
 
Kentucky Wildcats
WR Ali, Josh 
WR Epps, Isaiah 
WR Robinson, Wan'Dale 
TE Rigg, Justin 
QB Levis, Will 
RB Rodriguez Jr., Chris 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Missouri Tigers
Passing: C. Bazelak (257)
Rushing: T. Badie (203)
Receiving: D. Smith (69)
Touchdowns: T. Badie (1)
Sacks: B. Alldredge (3.5)
Tackles: B. Alldredge (8)
 
 
Kentucky Wildcats
Passing: W. Levis (367)
Rushing: C. Rodriguez Jr. (125)
Receiving: J. Ali (136)
Touchdowns: W. Robinson (2)
Sacks: J. Weaver (2)
Tackles: J. Paschal (6)
 
Coaches:
Missouri Tigers: Eli Drinkwitz (2nd season)
Kentucky Wildcats: Mark Stoops (9th season)
 

Weather Forecast

74 degrees mostly sunny, 59% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 11 mph wind speeds S.


All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2021 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.