Missouri Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/27/2026

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Tuesday, January 27, 2026

Venue:  Coleman Coliseum, Tuscaloosa, AL

Where to Watch:  SEC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Missouri +11.5, Alabama -11.5; Over/Under:  165.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Missouri +11.5, Alabama -11.5; Over/Under:  165.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Missouri +11.5, Alabama -11.5; Over/Under:  165.5 points

Missouri Tigers:  14-6 (4-3) (6th place, SEC)

Alabama Crimson Tide:  13-6 (3-3) (10th place, SEC)

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Missouri Tigers:  2-3  last 5

Alabama Crimson Tide:  2-3  last 5

Missouri is entering this game with a 14-6 record overall, a 4-3 record in conference games, and they are 2-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Oklahoma Sooners in their last game. Mark Mitchell led the team in points in that game with 25 while T.O. Barrett was next on the team with 21. Mark Mitchell led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Mark Mitchell led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 44.6% from the field, 28.6% from 3-point range, and 72.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 81 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 73 PPG against them. Missouri has an ATS record of 8-12 this season and their O/U record is 8-11-1.

Alabama is entering this game with a 13-6 record overall, a 3-3 conference record, and they are 6-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Tennessee Volunteers in their last game. Labaron Philon Jr. led the team in points in that game with 26 while Latrell Wrightsell Jr. was next on the team with 14. Labaron Philon Jr. led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Houston Mallette led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 43.1% from the field, 23.1% from 3-point range, and 70.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 92.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 82.4 PPG against them. Alabama has an ATS record of 7-11 this season and their O/U record is 9-9.

The current betting odds have Missouri listed as an 11.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Missouri has looked good in their games this season with their 14-6 record overall and their 4-3 conference record which has them in the top half of the SEC. They haven't been a good road team though with their 2-3 road record this year. Meanwhile, Alabama has looked good in their games this season with their 13-6 record overall, but their 3-3 conference record has them right in the middle of the SEC. They have looked good on their home court this year with their 6-3 home record, but even that isn't a strong home record for a team of their standard. Mizzou has definitely struggled more since starting the SEC schedule and they haven't looked great lately as they are 2-3 in their last 5 games, but they are off a win over Oklahoma in their last one and will have some momentum from that win. Alabama hasn't looked any better lately themselves, going 2-3 in their last 5 games, and they are off a loss to Tennessee in their last one. Alabama has been dealing with some injuries lately so they haven't been at their best with some starters out of the lineup. It hasn't really been a great season for Alabama in general either, and now they have a lot of drama surrounding them about Bediako coming back to college after playing years in the G League. Alabama will be looking to bounce back here, but they are still going to be shorthanded and they have also been giving up a ton of points with a bad defensive effort all year. Mizzou has played in some tight games this year against good opponents in the SEC and bad ones, look for them to keep this game close against a struggling Alabama. The best way to place a bet here is on Missouri to cover the spread in this game. 

Missouri Alabama Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, January 27, 2026 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Alabama 86 Missouri 79.

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Missouri Tigers: 13-22 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% of their attempts or more. 6-10 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 1-6 ATS on the road after scoring 85 points or more. 17-10 OVER in road games. 9-5 OVER off a win against a conference rival.

Alabama Crimson Tide: 7-3 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 23-17 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 10-5 ATS at home after playing a home game. 12-2 OVER off a loss against a conference rival. 27-14 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%).

Missouri Tigers:  J. Porter (F) Questionable - Lower Leg.

Alabama Crimson Tide:  A. Holloway (G) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Allen (F) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Bristow (F) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Hannah (G) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Onyejiaka (C) Out - Undisclosed.

"Ultimately, you want guys to flush out the last game. This is a long conference [schedule], whether you're on the side of winning or on the side of losing. You want to be able to flush that last game away, so you can just focus on the next and that's what we've done all season long. We're in the middle-six of our 18-game conference schedule. When you look at the first six, right now, we're looking at the middle-six and our guys have done a good job of preparing. I can only go with what the personalities are. The ball can bounce certain ways during the game and the intangibles may give us a different obstacle to climb, but we have to just continue to play our brand of basketball." - Dennis Gates after his team’s win against Oklahoma in their last game. 

"They both got injured in the Oklahoma game and I was really hoping they'd both play. They just didn't come around as quick as we would've liked, but they're doing everything they can." - Nate Oats on his team’s injuries after his team’s loss against Tennessee in their last game. 

S. Mack 

M. Mitchell 

S. Phillips 

J. Porter 

A. Robinson

T. Bowen 

A. Holloway 

H. Mallette 

L. Philon 

A. Sherrell

PPG: Mark Mitchell (17.7)

APG: Anthony Robinson II (3.6)

Reb/G: Mark Mitchell (5.5)

PPG: Labaron Philon Jr. (22.2)

APG: Labaron Philon Jr. (5)

Reb/G: Amari Allen (7.8)

Coaches:

Missouri Tigers: Dennis Gates (4th season)

Alabama Crimson Tide: Nate Oats (7th season)