Mississippi State Bulldogs vs South Carolina Gamecocks Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/23/2023

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 23, 2023

Venue:  Williams-Brice Stadium, Columbia, SC

Where to Watch:  SEC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  MS State +4.5, South Carolina -4.5; Over/Under:  50.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  MS State +4.5, South Carolina -4.5; Over/Under:  50.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  MS State +4.5, South Carolina -4.5; Over/Under:  50.5 points

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  2-1 (0-1) (7th place, SEC West)

South Carolina Gamecocks:  1-2 (0-1) (7th place, SEC East)

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Mississippi State Bulldogs:  lost their last game at home against the LSU Tigers 41-14.

South Carolina Gamecocks:  lost their last game on the road against the Georgia Bulldogs 24-14.

Mississippi State is entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their conference games too.  They are 2-1 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against LSU 41-14. Will Rogers was the starting QB and he completed 11/28 passes for 103 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jo'quavious Marks led the team in rushing yards with 75. Zavion Thomas led the receivers with 52 receiving yards on 3 receptions. DeCarlos Nicholson led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Jaden Crumedy led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

South Carolina is entering this game with a 1-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their conference games too.  They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Georgia 24-14. Spencer Rattler was the starting QB and he completed 22/42 passes for 256 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Spencer Rattler led the team in rushing yards with 35. O'Mega Blake led the receivers with 86 receiving yards on 5 receptions. TJ Sanders led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while TJ Sanders and Stone Blanton each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have South Carolina listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. South Carolina just lost their last game on the road against Georgia but they only lost that game 24-14 and put up a really good fight against one of the best teams in the country. Now they are at home for this 2nd conference game and they will be looking to bounce back as they have played well against these tougher teams. Mississippi State hasn't been great in their games this season and they also opened their conference play with a loss but they also got destroyed at home by LSU. South Carolina is the home team here and they have already played much tougher teams than Mississippi State this year. MS State will be looking to bounce back too but they weren't able to do anything against LSU at home, now they have to go on the road against South Carolina who just went on the road and went toe-to-toe with the 1st ranked team in the country. South Carolina has a much better team and they will come back home to blow MS State out of the water and get their 1st conference win this season. The best way to place a bet here is on South Carolina to cover the spread in this game.

Mississippi State South Carolina Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 23, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is South Carolina 28 Mississippi State 13.

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Mississippi State Bulldogs: 13-24 ATS after 3 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers. 22-33 ATS after being outgained by 175+ total yards in their previous game. 61-37 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs. 35-18 UNDER after a 2 game home stand.

South Carolina Gamecocks: 10-5 ATS in home games. 9-4 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders. 8-3 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses. 6-1 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game. 9-6 UNDER in home games. 

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  S. Price (RB) day-to-day - Leg. J. Albert (S) out for season - Knee. G. Spivey (TE) out for season - Eligibility. S. Traore (TE) Out indefinitely - Eligibility.

South Carolina Gamecocks:  A. Wells Jr. (WR) day-to-day - Foot. T. Johnson (DE) day-to-day - Undisclosed. B. Dunn (RB) day-to-day - Lower Body. A. Brown (WR) day-to-day - Undisclosed. M. Anderson (OL) day-to-day - Undisclosed. J. Geer (LB) day-to-day - Undisclosed. R. Mikeska (TE) day-to-day - Undisclosed. M. Kaba (LB) out for season - Knee. C. Henry (OL) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.

“It was as bad a defeat as you can have. Credit to Coach Kelly, his staff, their players. They came out better prepared. They played faster from the jump. And they dominated the football game. I’ve done a poor job in the evaluation of our football team. We have to decide how we want to respond to this.” - Zach Arnett after his team’s loss against LSU in their last game. 

“We just went toe-to-toe with the No. 1 team in the country and back-to-back defending national champions. We just weren’t able to get it done.” - Shane Beamer after his team’s loss against UGA in their last game. 

WR Robinson, Justin 

WR Thomas, Zavion 

WR Griffin, Lideatrick 

TE Goede, Ryland 

QB Rogers, Will 

RB Marks, Jo'Quavious

WR Wells Jr., Antwane 

WR Legette, Xavier RS SR

WR Brown, Ahmarean 

TE Knox, Trey 

QB Rattler, Spencer 

RB Joyner, Dakereon 

Passing: W. Rogers (492)

Rushing: J. Marks (325)

Receiving: L. Griffin (132)

Touchdowns: J. Marks (3)

Passing: S. Rattler (954)

Rushing: D. Joyner (75)

Receiving: X. Legette (367)

Touchdowns: D. Joyner (3)

Coaches:

Mississippi State Bulldogs: Zach Arnett (2nd season)

South Carolina Gamecocks: Shane Beamer (3rd season)