Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Mississippi Rebels Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/29/2024

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Friday, November 29, 2024

Venue:  Vaught Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  MS State +26, Ole Miss -26; Over/Under:  61.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  MS State +26.5, Ole Miss -26.5; Over/Under:  62 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  MS State +26.5, Ole Miss -26.5; Over/Under:  61.5 points

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  2-9 (0-7) (16th place, SEC)

Mississippi Rebels:  8-3 (4-3) (6th place, SEC)

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Mississippi State Bulldogs:  lost their last game at home against the Missouri Tigers 39-20.

Mississippi Rebels:  lost their last game on the road against the Florida Gators 24-17.

Mississippi State is entering this game with a 2-9 record overall and they have a 0-7 record in their conference games too. They are 2-5 in their home games, 0-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Missouri 39-20. Michael Van Buren Jr. was the starting QB and he completed 16/28 passes for 191 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Davon Booth led the team in rushing yards with 124 and 1 TD. Kelly Akharaiyi led the receivers with 64 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Corey Ellington led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Zakari Tillman led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Ole Miss is entering this game with an 8-3 record overall and they have a 4-3 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Florida 24-17. Jaxson Dart was the starting QB and he completed 24/41 passes for 323 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Jaxson Dart led the team in rushing yards with 71. Cayden Lee led the receivers with 94 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Walter Nolen led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Walter Nolen and Princely Umanmielen each led the defense in sacks with 1. John Saunders Jr. came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Mississippi State listed as a 26 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Mississippi State has looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-9 record overall and their 0-7 conference record which has them right at the bottom of the SEC. They are the only team in the SEC without a conference win this season, but lately they have looked a lot better in their games and are being somewhat competitive compared to being blown out like they were at the start of the season. They may not have a win in the SEC this season, but they have been playing SEC opponents tough all year and they are going to bring their best effort in this game for their bitter rival. Meanwhile, Ole Miss has looked really good in their games this season with their 8-3 record overall, but their 4-3 conference record has them in the middle of the pack in the SEC and pretty much out of the playoff race. They have looked a lot better in their home games with their 5-1 home record, but they have also been really inconsistent this season with wins coming in blowout fashion some games and just barely scraping by in others. They are coming off a loss to Florida last week which pretty much kicked them out of the playoff race, but either way Mississippi State will be looking to definitely put that final nail in their coffin. The disappointment from the magnitude of that loss last week will still be lingering with Ole Miss in this game and Mississippi State has been playing well enough lately to keep this game within the number. The best way to place a bet here is on Mississippi State to cover the spread in this game. 

Mississippi State Mississippi Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, November 29, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Ole Miss 35 MS State 21.

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Mississippi State Bulldogs: 6-12 ATS as an underdog. 2-7 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. 1-5 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing 3.25 rushing yards/carry or less. 9-3 UNDER in road lined games. 6-0 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 63. 

Mississippi Rebels: 4-1 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.9 yards/play or more. 23-14 1H ATS in all lined games. 15-5 1H ATS in home lined games. 23-14 UNDER in all lined games. 20-9 UNDER as a favorite. 13-7 UNDER in home lined games. 8-4 UNDER after playing their last game on the road.

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  T. Wright (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Whittemore (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Lee (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Hudson (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Dinkins (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Boone (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Bingley-Jones (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Davis (RB) Out - Knee. B. Shapen (QB) Out - Shoulder.

Mississippi Rebels:  R. Amos (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. L. Diggs (RB) Questionable - Knee. I. Hartrup (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. H. Parrish (RB) Out - Leg.

“We didn’t respond the way we needed to. Especially offensively, we really struggled after that. When we’ve played well defensively, we’ve struggled offensively. When we’ve played well offensively, it’s just the opposite. That’s the most frustrating thing to me is we haven’t found ways to keep momentum when we’ve had it and when you don’t do that, it leaves it to chance when playing good football teams.” - Jeff Lebby after his team’s loss against Mizzou in their last game. 

“Obviously a lot was at stake, and we didn’t come through. A lot of missed opportunities.” - Lane Kiffin after his team’s loss against Florida in their last game. 

WR Mosley, Jordan

WR Hudson, Trent

WR Coleman, Kevin

TE Traore, Seydou

QB Shapen, Blake

RB Lee, Keyvone 

WR Wells Jr., Antwane 

WR Harris, Tre 

WR Lee, Cayden

TE Prieskorn, Caden

QB Dart, Jaxson 

RB Bentley IV, Ulysses

Passing: M. Van Buren (1606)

Rushing: D. Booth (721)

Receiving: K. Coleman (814)

Touchdowns: D. Booth (9)

Passing: J. Dart (3719)

Rushing: H. Parrish (678)

Receiving: T. Harris (1030)

Touchdowns: H. Parrish (10)

Coaches:

Mississippi State Bulldogs: Jeff Lebby (1st season)

Mississippi Rebels: Lane Kiffin (5th season)