Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Kentucky Wildcats Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/15/2022

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 15, 2022

Venue:  Kroger Field, Lexington, KY 

Where to Watch:  SEC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mississippi State -7, Kentucky +7; Over/Under:  46 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mississippi State -7, Kentucky +7; Over/Under:  46 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mississippi State -7, Kentucky +7; Over/Under:  47 points

 

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  5-1 (2-1) (3rd place, SEC West)

Kentucky Wildcats:  4-2 (1-2) (5th place, SEC East)

 

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Mississippi State Bulldogs:  won their last game at home against the Arkansas Razorbacks 40-17.

Kentucky Wildcats:  lost their last game at home against the South Carolina Gamecocks 24-14.

 

Mississippi State is entering this game with a 5-1 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 3rd road game of the season here as they are 1-1 in their road games this year. This will also be their 4th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 2-1. They won against the Arkansas Razorbacks in their last game at home 40-17. Will Rogers started that game at QB and he completed 31/48 passes for 395 yards and 3 touchdowns. Dillon Johnson led the team in rushing with 100 yards and 2 TDs on 17 rushing attempts. Jo'quavious Marks led the team in receiving with 80 yards on 11 receptions. Emmanuel Forbes led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles. Jack Harris and Tyrus Wheat each led the defense in sacks with 1 while Emmanuel Forbes and Jackie Matthews each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Kentucky is entering this game with a 4-2 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 5th home game of the season as they are 3-1 in their home games this year. This will also be the 4th conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 1-2. They lost against the South Carolina Gamecocks in their last game at home 24-14. Kaiya Sheron started that game at QB and he completed 15/27 passes for 178 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Chris Rodriguez led the team in rushing with 126 yards on 22 carries. Chauncey Magwood led the team in receiving with 37 yards on 2 receptions. Deandre Square led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles. Deandre Square and Tyrell Ajian each led the defense in sacks with 1 while Trevin Wallace came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Mississippi State listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Mississippi State is off to a very hot start this year and they have been rolling over some good teams in the SEC early in their conference schedule already. Their defense has been great but their offense is putting up a ton of points in every game and that is going to be hard for Kentucky to keep up with here. Kentucky lost at home to South Carolina last week but they were missing their starting QB in that game. There is a chance he is back for this game but even if he is, Kentucky is more of a defensive team that will try to keep this game lower scoring and win it with good defense. Mississippi State also has a good defense though that will make it very difficult for Kentucky to score points here while Mississippi State will be able to use their offense to pull away here. The best way to place a bet in this game is on Mississippi State to cover the spread in this game.

 

Mississippi State Kentucky Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 15, 2022 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Mississippi State 38 Kentucky 21.

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Mississippi State Bulldogs: 6-1 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 8-4 ATS in road games. 113-74 UNDER against conference opponents.

Kentucky Wildcats: 30-52 ATS off a home loss. 8-13 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 13-8 UNDER against conference opponents. 

 

 

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  K. Johnson (OL) Ques Sat - Foot.

Kentucky Wildcats:  W. Levis (QB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. S. Anaele (DE) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. R. Jefferson (RB) out for season - Knee.

 

 

"There’s no stopping point on the poll thing. Just worry about right now and what you can control. Today, it’s put together the best game plan you can, tomorrow, it’s have the best practice you can. So it goes." - Mike Leach on his team’s ranking coming into this game.

 

 

"A first-time starter, in position to be successful, I don't think our team played with the normal competitive character that our teams generally play with. That's obviously the job of the head coach to get the team prepared and put them in the position to be successful." - Mark Stoops on Sheron after his team’s loss against South Carolina in their last game.

 

 

 

WR Thomas, Rara

WR Ducking, Caleb

WR Harvey, Rufus

WR Williams, Austin 

QB Rogers, Will 

RB Marks, Jo'quavious 

 

WR Key, Dane 

WR Brown, Barion

WR Robinson, Tayvion 

TE Bates, Brenden

TE/FB Dingle, Jordan

QB Levis, Will

RB Rodriguez Jr., Chris 

 

 

Passing: W. Rogers (2110)

Rushing: D. Johnson (402)

Receiving: R. Thomas (368)

Touchdowns: C. Ducking (7)

 

Passing: W. Levis (1405)

Rushing: K. Smoke (269)

Receiving: T. Robinson (392)

Touchdowns: D. Key (3)

 

Coaches:

Mississippi State Bulldogs: Mike Leach (3rd season)

Kentucky Wildcats: Mark Stoops (10th season)