Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/22/2022

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Oct 18, 2022
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 22, 2022
Venue:  Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL
Where to Watch:  ESPN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  MS State +21, Alabama -21; Over/Under:  60.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  MS State +21, Alabama -21; Over/Under:  61 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  MS State +21.5, Alabama -21.5; Over/Under:  61.5 points
 

Season Record

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  5-2 (2-2) (4th place, SEC West)
Alabama Crimson Tide:  6-1 (3-1) (2nd place, SEC West)
 
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Mississippi State Bulldogs:  lost their last game on the road against the Kentucky Wildcats 27-17.
Alabama Crimson Tide:  lost their last game on the road against the Tennessee Volunteers 52-49.

 

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide Preview and Analysis

 
Mississippi State is entering this game with a 5-2 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 4th road game of the season here as they are 1-2 in their road games this year. This will also be their 5th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 2-2. They lost against the Kentucky Wildcats in their last game on the road 27-17. Will Rogers started that game at QB and he completed 25/37 passes for 203 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Dillon Johnson led the team in rushing with 16 yards on 2 rushing attempts. Jo'quavious Marks led the team in receiving with 60 yards on 7 receptions. Nathaniel Watson led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 9 assisted tackles. Tyrus Wheat led the defense in sacks with 1 while Emmanuel Forbes came away with the only interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
Alabama is entering this game with a 6-1 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 5th home game of the season as they are 4-0 in their home games this year. This will also be the 5th conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 3-1. They lost against the Tennessee Volunteers in their last game on the road 52-49. Bryce Young started that game at QB and he completed 35/52 passes for 455 yards and 2 touchdowns. Jahmyr Gibbs led the team in rushing with 103 yards and 3 TDs on 24 carries. Cameron Latu led the team in receiving with 90 yards and 1 TD on 6 receptions. DeMarcco Hellams led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles. DJ Dale led the defense in sacks with 1 while DeMarcco Hellams came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

Mississippi State vs Alabama Prediction

The current betting odds have Alabama listed as a 21 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Alabama just suffered their 1st loss of the season, it came on the road against a very good Tennessee team but this is a team that is expected to be the best every year and win every game so that loss hurts them badly. They are going to need to turn on the jets now to save their season with so many good undefeated teams still left in college football. Mississippi State got off to a bit of a hot start this year but they haven't looked as good lately, taking a bad loss in Kentucky last week, and they haven't been very good on the road either. Alabama is going to be very upset over their loss and they are coming back home here for a game where they need to impress. They are going to try their hardest to blow Mississippi State out of the water with their best effort here on both offense and defense, and Alabama has the talent on their team to do that against Mississippi State here. The best way to place a bet here is on Alabama to cover the spread in this game.
 
Mississippi State Alabama Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 22, 2022 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Alabama 52 Mississippi State 17.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Mississippi State Bulldogs Alabama Crimson Tide prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
 

NCAAF Betting Trends

 
Mississippi State Bulldogs: 23-36 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points. 114-74 UNDER against conference opponents. 19-7 UNDER off an upset loss as a favorite.
Alabama Crimson Tide: 12-4 ATS as a home favorite. 10-4 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 13-7 UNDER as a home favorite of 14.5 to 21 points. 
 

Key Injuries

 
Mississippi State Bulldogs:  None.
Alabama Crimson Tide:  A. Anderson (WR) Ques Sat - Knee. D. Kennedy (LB) out for season - Knee. T. Harrell (WR) Out indefinitely - Foot.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"That running back pounded us. We didn't tackle very well. The offensive line took turns getting penalties. All of this is my fault because I call the offense." - Mike Leach after his team’s loss against Kentucky in their last game.
 
 
"We didn't answer the bell today. We did too many things to help (Tennessee)." - Nick Saban after his team’s loss against Tennessee in their last game.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Mississippi State Bulldogs
WR Thomas, Rara
WR Ducking, Caleb
WR Harvey, Rufus
WR Williams, Austin 
QB Rogers, Will 
RB Marks, Jo'quavious 
 
Alabama Crimson Tide
WR Burton, Jermaine 
WR Holden, Traeshon
WR Earle, JoJo 
TE Latu, Cameron
QB Young, Bryce 
RB Gibbs, Jahmyr 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Passing: W. Rogers (2313)
Rushing: D. Johnson (418)
Receiving: R. Thomas (383)
Touchdowns: C. Ducking (7)
 
Alabama Crimson Tide
Passing: B. Young (1657)
Rushing: J. Gibbs (635)
Receiving: J. Brooks (302)
Touchdowns: J. Gibbs (8)
 
Coaches:
Mississippi State Bulldogs: Mike Leach (3rd season)
Alabama Crimson Tide: Nick Saban (16th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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