by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Oct 22, 2026
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 24, 2026
Venue: Darrell K Royal–Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Ole Miss +3.5, Texas -3.5; Over/Under: 53.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Ole Miss +3.5, Texas -3.5; Over/Under: 54.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Ole Miss +3.5, Texas -3.5; Over/Under: 54.5 points
Season Record
Mississippi Rebels: 5-1 (3-1) (4th place, SEC)
Texas Longhorns: 4-2 (1-2) (12th place, SEC)
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Mississippi Rebels: won their last game at home against the Missouri Tigers 31-3.
Texas Longhorns: lost their last game at home against the Florida Gators 27-24.
Mississippi Rebels vs Texas Longhorns Preview and Analysis
Ole Miss is entering this game with a 5-1 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Missouri 31-3. Trinidad Chambliss was the starting QB and he completed 20/36 passes for 241 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kewan Lacy led the team in rushing yards with 122. Caleb Cunningham led the receivers with 61 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Luke Ferrelli led the defense in that game with 7 tackles while Luke Ferrelli and William Echoles each led the defense in sacks with 1. Landon Barnes came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Texas is entering this game with a 4-2 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Florida 27-24. Arch Manning was the starting QB and he completed 14/20 passes for 173 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Daylan Smothers led the team in rushing yards with 52. Emmett Mosley V led the receivers with 76 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Justin Cryer led the defense in that game with 11 tackles while Colin Simmons led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Mississippi vs Texas Prediction
The current betting odds have Texas listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas has looked good in their games this season with their 4-2 record overall, but their 1-2 conference record has them in the bottom half of the SEC. They have looked good on their home field though with their 3-1 home record this season. Meanwhile, Ole Miss has looked good in their games this season with their 5-1 record overall and their 3-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. They haven't been a great road team though with their 1-1 road record this year. Ole Miss is coming off a 31-3 win over Missouri in their last one and they have been rolling lately. They have one of the best offenses in the SEC with a great QB leading the way and their defense has looked better lately too, but they have also played against some bad offenses and this isn't a great situation for them. Texas had a great start to the season and even picked up a big win over Ohio State early on, but things have been falling apart for them lately. They are coming off a 27-24 home loss to Florida in their last one and they have lost 2 games in a row now. They lost to a desperate Oklahoma team in the Red River Rivalry and they were still feeling the effects of that loss last week, but they will be looking to bounce back at home after 2 bad losses and now they are going to be the desperate team looking to get back into the SEC race. Texas still has one of the best defenses in the SEC and that should be a big factor in this one with the jury still being out on that Ole Miss defense. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas to cover the spread in this game.
Mississippi Texas Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 24, 2026 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Texas 34 Ole Miss 27.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Mississippi Rebels: 19-13 ATS against FBS division opponents. 9-5 ATS after a win by 17 or more points. 12-6 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 6-3 UNDER off a home win by 17 points or more. 9-5 UNDER after allowing 14 points or less last game.
Texas Longhorns: 6-13 ATS against conference opponents. 5-11 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 5-9 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 10-4 UNDER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 12-6 UNDER against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
Mississippi Rebels: None.
Texas Longhorns: C. Simmons (DL) Questionable - Ankle. H. Smothers (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. McCutcheon (WR) Questionable - Illness. T. Goosby (OG) Out - Knee. Z. Williams (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Lockett (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“I don’t think we played a perfect game, but to hold them to three points says a lot. He wasn’t perfect either, but I’m glad he’s on our side.” - Pete Golding after his team’s win against Mizzou in their last game.
“We didn’t play good football today. Kind of bled out. They controlled the ball in the second half and our inability to convert on short yardage.” - Steve Sarkisian after his team’s loss against Florida in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Mississippi Rebels
WR Fields, Horatio
WR Alexander, Deuce
WR Ray, Traylon
TE Hasz, Luke
QB Chambliss, Trinidad
RB Lacy, Kewan
Texas Longhorns
WR Coleman, Cam
WR Wingo, Ryan
WR Mosley V, Emmett
TE Shannon, Spencer
QB Manning, Arch
RB Smothers, Hollywood
Statistical Leaders
Mississippi Rebels
Passing: Trinidad Chambliss (1,676)
Rushing: Kewan Lacy (352)
Receiving: Deuce Alexander (523)
Touchdowns: Trinidad Chambliss (6)
Texas Longhorns
Passing: Arch Manning (1,295)
Rushing: Hollywood Smothers (289)
Receiving: Ryan Wingo (345)
Touchdowns: Cam Coleman (6)
Coaches:
Mississippi Rebels: Pete Golding (1st season)
Texas Longhorns: Steve Sarkisian (6th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
