Mississippi Rebels vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/11/2026

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Mar 10, 2026
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Wednesday, March 11, 2026
Venue:  Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN
Where to Watch:  SEC Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Ole Miss +5.5, Texas -5.5; Over/Under:  145.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Ole Miss +5.5, Texas -5.5; Over/Under:  145.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Ole Miss +5.5, Texas -5.5; Over/Under:  145.5 points

Season Record

Mississippi Rebels:  12-19 (4-14) (15th place, SEC)
Texas Longhorns:  18-13 (9-9) (10th place, SEC)

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Recent Form
Mississippi Rebels:  1-4  last 5
Texas Longhorns:  1-4  last 5


Mississippi Rebels vs Texas Longhorns Preview and Analysis


Ole Miss is entering this game with a 12-19 record overall, a 4-14 record in conference games, and they are 2-3 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the South Carolina Gamecocks in their last game. Malik Dia led the team in points in that game with 22 while AJ Storr was next on the team with 13. Ilias Kamardine led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Eduardo Klafke led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 41.8% from the field, 7.1% from 3-point range, and 82.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 75.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 75.9 PPG against them. Ole Miss has an ATS record of 11-20 this season and their O/U record is 20-11.


Texas is entering this game with an 18-13 record overall, a 9-9 conference record, and they are 2-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Oklahoma Sooners in their last game. Jordan Pope led the team in points in that game with 30 while Dailyn Swain was next on the team with 18. Dailyn Swain led the team in assists with 8 in that game while Dailyn Swain led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 41% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 86.2% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 84.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 76.8 PPG against them. Texas has an ATS record of 16-14 this season and their O/U record is 19-11.



Mississippi vs Texas Prediction

The current betting odds have Texas listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas has looked good in their games this season with their 18-13 record overall and their 9-9 conference record which has them right in the middle of the SEC. They haven't looked great in their neutral site games though with their 2-2 record in those. Meanwhile, Ole Miss has looked terrible in their games this season with their 12-19 record overall and their 4-14 conference record which has them right near the bottom of the SEC. They haven't looked good in their neutral site games either with their 2-3 record in those. Both of these teams have looked terrible lately as both are 1-4 in their last 5 games and both teams have lost 2 games in a row now too. As bad as both have looked lately, Texas has clearly been the much better team this season and they have a lot more talent to ride. They were looking like a tournament team at one point and a terrible end to the season has put them in jeopardy now, but they can still salvage a spot in the NCAA Tournament with a run in this SEC Tournament. They are off a loss to Oklahoma in their last one, but they will be looking to bounce back from that bad loss against their rival. Texas may be 1-4 in their last 5 games, but they do have some respectable losses during that time and they have picked up some really good wins in the SEC this year too. Ole Miss has been getting blown out in a majority of their games this year and Texas already crushed Ole Miss by double digits when they played earlier this year. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas to cover the spread in this game. 

Mississippi Texas Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, March 11, 2026 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Texas 75 Ole Miss 60.
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NCAAB Betting Trends


Mississippi Rebels: 11-22 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 5-11 ATS after playing 2 consecutive home games. 19-29 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% of their attempts or more. 29-18 OVER as an underdog. 11-5 OVER after playing 2 consecutive home games.

Texas Longhorns: 11-4 ATS off a home loss. 9-4 ATS off a home loss against a conference rival. 7-3 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite. 13-5 OVER in all neutral court games. 8-0 OVER off an upset loss to a conference rival as a home favorite.

Key Injuries


Mississippi Rebels:  K. Johnson (G) Questionable - Undisclosed.

Texas Longhorns:  L. Traore (F) Out - Undisclosed.

Notable Quotes


“Most of the teams around the country are playing for an at-large bid in the NCAA Tournament, and that’s the situation we find ourselves in this year.” - Chris Beard on his team entering the SEC Tournament.


“Our future’s about one thing: Wednesday against Ole Miss.” - Sean Miller on his team entering the SEC Tournament.


Starting Lineups


Mississippi Rebels
M. Dia 
I. Kamardine 
E. Klafke 
P. Pinkins 
J. Scott

Texas Longhorns
C. Heide 
T. Mark 
J. Pope 
D. Swain 
M. Vokietaitis

Statistical Leaders


Mississippi Rebels
PPG: AJ Storr (15)
APG: Ilias Kamardine (3.8)
Reb/G: Malik Dia (5.8)

Texas Longhorns
PPG: Dailyn Swain (17.7)
APG: Dailyn Swain (3.4)
Reb/G: Dailyn Swain (7.5)

Coaches:
Mississippi Rebels: Chris Beard (3rd season)
Texas Longhorns: Sean Miller (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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