by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Nov 09, 2023
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 11, 2023
Venue: Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Ole Miss +10.5, UGA -10.5; Over/Under: 58.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Ole Miss +10.5, UGA -10.5; Over/Under: 58 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Ole Miss +10.5, UGA -10.5; Over/Under: 58.5 points
Season Record
Mississippi Rebels: 8-1 (5-1) (2nd place, SEC West)
Georgia Bulldogs: 9-0 (6-0) (1st place, SEC East)
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Mississippi Rebels: won their last game at home against the Texas A&M Aggies 38-35.
Georgia Bulldogs: won their last game at home against the Missouri Tigers 30-21.
Mississippi Rebels vs Georgia Bulldogs Preview and Analysis
Ole Miss is entering this game with an 8-1 record overall and they have a 5-1 record in their conference games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Texas A&M 38-35. Jaxson Dart was the starting QB and he completed 24/33 passes for 387 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Quinshon Judkins led the team in rushing yards with 102 and 3 TDs. Tre Harris led the receivers with 213 receiving yards on 11 receptions and 1 TD. Ladarius Tennison led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Cedric Johnson led the defense in sacks with 1. John Saunders Jr. came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Georgia is entering this game with a 9-0 record overall and they have a 6-0 record in their conference games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Missouri 30-21. Carson Beck was the starting QB and he completed 21/32 passes for 254 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Daijun Edwards led the team in rushing yards with 77. Ladd McConkey led the receivers with 95 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Jamon Dumas-Johnson and Smael Mondon Jr. each led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Jalon Walker led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Javon Bullard and Nazir Stackhouse each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
Mississippi vs Georgia Prediction
The current betting odds have Georgia listed as a 10.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Georgia has looked really good this season with their 9-0 record overall and their 6-0 conference record. They weren't looking like the same Georgia team as previous years early on in the season but they have looked a lot better lately as their schedule has gotten tougher. They just beat Missouri in their last game by 9 points and they will be looking to take back the 1st place rank in the country. Ole Miss has also looked really good this season with their 8-1 record overall and their 5-1 conference record, but their 1 loss was on the road against Alabama which they lost by 14 points and now they have to play a much better Georgia team on the road that is starting to hit their stride. Georgia is going to bring their best effort in this game and they will use this game against Ole Miss, another ranked team inside the top 10, as a statement game to show Georgia is back and just as good as they were the last 2 years they won the National Championship. The best way to place a bet here is on Georgia to cover the spread in this game.
Mississippi Georgia Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 11, 2023 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Georgia 42 Ole Miss 21.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Mississippi Rebels: 26-14 ATS off a close win by 7 points or less over a conference rival. 5-1 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. 22-13 UNDER in all games. 68-42 UNDER in road games. 12-6 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 63.
Georgia Bulldogs: 2-6 ATS in all games. 6-11 ATS as a home favorite. 2-8 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 4-8 ATS after a game where they committed no turnovers. 9-4 UNDER after a game where they committed no turnovers. 5-2 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63.
Key Injuries
Mississippi Rebels: Z. Franklin (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. Q. Davis (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.
Georgia Bulldogs: X. Sorey Jr. (LB) Ques Sat - Personal. J. Dumas-Johnson (LB) Out indefinitely - Forearm. R. Robinson II (RB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. E. Lightsey (LB) Late Nov - Back. B. Bowers (TE) Late Nov - Ankle. A. Mims (OL) Out indefinitely - Ankle. B. Robinson (RB) out for season - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“What a really exciting way to finish a game. Exciting. We seemed in command, let it get away, come back to get ahead and get a play at the end. Our guys really played well.” - Lane Kiffin after his team’s win against Texas A&M in their last game.
“Huge. It was slow motion. He didn't realize how far he had to run. He was out of breath about halfway.” - Kirby Smart on the interception by Nazir Stackhouse after his team’s win against Mizzou in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Mississippi Rebels
WR Harris, Tre
WR Wade, Dayton
WR Watkins, Jordan
TE Prieskorn, Caden
QB Dart, Jaxson
RB Judkins, Quinshon
Georgia Bulldogs
WR Rosemy-Jacksaint, Marcus
WR McConkey, Ladd
WR Lovett, Dominic
TE Delp, Oscar
QB Beck, Carson
RB Edwards, Daijun
Statistical Leaders
Mississippi Rebels
Passing: J. Dart (2467)
Rushing: Q. Judkins (793)
Receiving: T. Harris (749)
Touchdowns: Q. Judkins (13)
Georgia Bulldogs
Passing: C. Beck (2716)
Rushing: D. Edwards (632)
Receiving: B. Bowers (566)
Touchdowns: D. Edwards (8)
Coaches:
Mississippi Rebels: Lane Kiffin (4th season)
Georgia Bulldogs: Kirby Smart (8th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
