by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Oct 19, 2023
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 21, 2023
Venue: Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Ole Miss -6.5, Auburn +6.5; Over/Under: 56.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Ole Miss -6.5, Auburn +6.5; Over/Under: 56.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Ole Miss -6.5, Auburn +6.5; Over/Under: 55.5 points
Season Record
Mississippi Rebels: 5-1 (2-1) (3rd place, SEC West)
Auburn Tigers: 3-3 (0-3) (6th place, SEC West)
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Recent Form
Mississippi Rebels: won their last game at home against the Arkansas Razorbacks 27-20.
Auburn Tigers: lost their last game on the road against the LSU Tigers 48-18.
Mississippi Rebels vs Auburn Tigers Preview and Analysis
Ole Miss is entering this game with a 5-1 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Arkansas 27-20. Jaxson Dart was the starting QB and he completed 16/25 passes for 153 passing yards , 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Ulysses Bentley IV led the team in rushing yards with 94 and 1 TD. Jordan Watkins led the receivers with 86 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Deantre Prince led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while J.J. Pegues, Jared Ivey, and Isaac Ukwu each led the defense in sacks with 1. John Saunders Jr. and Ashanti Cistrunk each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
Auburn is entering this game with a 3-3 record overall and they have a 0-3 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against LSU 48-18. Payton Thorne was the starting QB and he completed 12/23 passes for 102 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jeremiah Cobb led the team in rushing yards with 69. Brandon Frazier led the receivers with 52 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Eugene Asante led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 8 assisted tackles while Eugene Asante led the defense in sacks with 1. DJ James came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Mississippi vs Auburn Prediction
The current betting odds have Ole Miss listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Ole Miss is 5-1 this season and they are 2-1 in their conference games with their only loss coming to Alabama. They still have a chance to run the table though since Alabama hasn't looked great in their games and Ole Miss is going to be motivated to come out strong out of their bye week. Ole Miss doesn't have a great defense but they do have a really strong offense and they are going to put up points in this game. Auburn will have an easier time moving the ball on this Ole Miss defense but their offense hasn't looked that good this season and they aren't going to be able to compete with the Ole Miss offense for points here. Auburn is only 3-3 overall this season but all 3 losses have been against SEC opponents and this game is not going to be any different. The best way to place a bet here is on Ole Miss to cover the spread in this game.
Mississippi Auburn Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 21, 2023 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Ole Miss 33 Auburn 20.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Mississippi Rebels Auburn Tigers prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
NCAAF Betting Trends
Mississippi Rebels: 4-10 ATS as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. 9-17 ATS off 2 straight wins against conference rivals. 27-12 UNDER as a road favorite. 20-12 UNDER in all games. 11-4 UNDER off a home win.
Auburn Tigers: 20-9 ATS off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival. 13-6 ATS after allowing 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. 26-18 UNDER as a home underdog. 30-20 UNDER after 3 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers.
Key Injuries
Mississippi Rebels: C. Prieskorn (TE) Prob Sat - Personal. J. Watkins (WR) Prob Sat - Hand. Z. Franklin (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. T. Harris (WR) Prob Sat - Lower Body. H. Wolfe (TE) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. Q. Davis (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.
Auburn Tigers: D. Alston (RB) Doub Sat - Shoulder. J. Johnson (WR) Ques Sat - Elbow. M. Nasili-Kite (DL) out for season - Bicep. K. Scott (CB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. A. Keys (LB) Out indefinitely - Thumb.
Notable Quotes
“We’re very pleased because traditionally Arkansas is a team we’ve struggled with. We got down again and outscored them 10-0 at the end. Our defense got stops and we won the turnover battle 2-0. You want to win these kind of games.” - Lane Kiffin after his team’s win against Arkansas in their last game.
“They beat us in every way that you could. We had no answers defensively for them and offensively just not consistent enough to stay in a scoring match with them.” - Hugh Freeze after his team’s loss against LSU in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Mississippi Rebels
WR Harris, Tre
WR Wade, Dayton
WR Watkins, Jordan
TE Prieskorn, Caden
QB Dart, Jaxson
RB Judkins, Quinshon
Auburn Tigers
WR Hooks, Shane
WR Shorter, Jyaire
WR Fair, Jay
TE Fairweather, Rivaldo
QB Thorne, Payton
RB Hunter, Jarquez
Statistical Leaders
Mississippi Rebels
Passing: J. Dart (1638)
Rushing: Q. Judkins (443)
Receiving: J. Watkins (536)
Touchdowns: Q. Judkins (7)
Auburn Tigers
Passing: P. Thorne (745)
Rushing: P. Thorne (225)
Receiving: J. Fair (232)
Touchdowns: R. Ashford (5)
Coaches:
Mississippi Rebels: Lane Kiffin (4th season)
Auburn Tigers: Hugh Freeze (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
