Mississippi Rebels vs Auburn Tigers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/26/2025

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Feb 25, 2025
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Wednesday, February 26, 2025
Venue:  Neville Arena, Auburn, AL
Where to Watch:  ESPN2


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Ole Miss +12.5, Auburn -12.5; Over/Under:  154.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Ole Miss +12.5, Auburn -12.5; Over/Under:  154.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Ole Miss +12.5, Auburn -12.5; Over/Under:  154.5 points

Season Record

Mississippi Rebels:  19-8 (8-6) (7th place, SEC)
Auburn Tigers:  25-2 (13-1) (1st place, SEC)

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Recent Form
Mississippi Rebels:  3-2  last 5
Auburn Tigers:  4-1  last 5


Mississippi Rebels vs Auburn Tigers Preview and Analysis


Ole Miss is entering this game with a 19-8 record overall, an 8-6 record in conference games, and they are 5-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Vanderbilt Commodores in their last game. Malik Dia led the team in points per game in that game with 22 while Sean Pedulla was next on the team with 21. Jaylen Murray led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Malik Dia led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 41.7% from the field, 32.1% from 3-point range, and 86.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 77.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.2 PPG against them. Ole Miss has an ATS record of 14-12-1 this season and their O/U record is 12-15.


Auburn is entering this game with a 25-2 record overall, a 13-1 conference record, and they are 12-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Georgia Bulldogs in their last game. Johni Broome led the team in points in that game with 31 while Denver Jones was next on the team with 17. Tahaad Pettiford led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Johni Broome led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 42.9% from the field, 27.3% from 3-point range, and 78.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 84.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.1 PPG against them. Auburn has an ATS record of 15-11-1 this season and their O/U record is 16-11.



Mississippi vs Auburn Prediction

The current betting odds have Auburn listed as a 12.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Auburn has looked great in their games this season with their 25-2 record overall and their 13-1 conference record which has them right at the top of the SEC. They have one of the best records in the entire nation and are ranked 1st overall. They have also looked great on their home court this year with their 12-1 home record. Meanwhile, Ole Miss has looked good in their games this season with their 19-8 record overall and their 8-6 conference record which has them in the top half of the SEC. They have been a good road team this year with their 5-4 road record, but they haven't been great in those games. They are 3-2 in their last 5 games and haven't been bad lately, but they are coming off a loss to Vanderbilt in their last one. They have also struggled in their road games against some of the stronger teams in their conference, and now they have to face the best team who already beat them by double digits earlier this year. Auburn is 4-1 in their last 5 games, but they have a ton of momentum on their side with 4 wins in a row since taking their only SEC loss of the season. They are also coming off a double digit win over Georgia in their last one and they have been rolling over opponents all season. Ole Miss will be looking to bounce back here, but they don't have the talent to keep up with a team like Auburn, especially with the way Auburn has played at home this season. The best way to place a bet here is on Auburn to cover the spread in this game. 

Mississippi Auburn Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, February 26, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Auburn 82 Ole Miss 62.
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NCAAB Betting Trends


Mississippi Rebels: 14-26 ATS as an underdog. 4-12 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival. 3-7 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 7-3 OVER revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 9-5 OVER after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 14-8 OVER after 2 or more consecutive losses.

Auburn Tigers: 25-17 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points. 20-12 ATS when the total is 150 to 159.5. 26-18 1H ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins. 35-20 OVER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less. 27-18 OVER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game.

Key Injuries


Mississippi Rebels:  None.

Auburn Tigers:  None.

Notable Quotes


"I think (Byington) should be in consideration for national coach of the year. First year, eight transfers, one freshman. Kind of flipping the field of Vanderbilt basketball." - Chris Beard after his team’s loss against Vandy in their last game. 


"Beating Georgia matters to Auburn. It matters to me. I believe that's 13 out of the last 16 and that's a pretty good stretch against one of your rivals." - Bruce Pearl after his team’s win against UGA in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Mississippi Rebels
D. Davis 
M. Dia 
J. Murray 
M. Murrell 
S. Pedulla

Auburn Tigers
C. Baker-Mazara 
J. Broome 
D. Cardwell 
D. Jones 
M. Kelly

Statistical Leaders


Mississippi Rebels
PPG: S. Pedulla (14.8)
APG: S. Pedulla (3.8)
Reb/G: M. Dia (5.7)

Auburn Tigers
PPG: J. Broome (18.6)
APG: J. Broome (3.4)
Reb/G: J. Broome (11.1)

Coaches:
Mississippi Rebels: Chris Beard (2nd season)
Auburn Tigers: Bruce Pearl (11th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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