Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Commanders Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/06/2022

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 6, 2022

Venue:  FedEx Field, North Englewood, MD

Where to Watch:  Fox

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Vikings -3.5, Commanders +3.5; Over/Under:  43.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Vikings -3.5, Commanders +3.5; Over/Under:  43.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Vikings -3.5, Commanders +3.5; Over/Under:  43.5 points

 

Minnesota Vikings:  6-1 (1st place, NFC North)

Washington Commanders:  4-4 (4th place, NFC East)

 

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Minnesota Vikings:  won their last game at home against the Arizona Cardinals 34-26.

Washington Commanders:  won their last game on the road against the Indianapolis Colts 17-16.

 

The Vikings are entering this game with a 6-1 record overall and they are playing their 4th road game of the season here as they are 2-1 in their road games this year. Their offense is averaging 345.7 YPG and 24.7 PPG while their defense is allowing 383.1 YPG and 20.6 PPG against them. They won their last game at home against the Arizona Cardinals 34-26. Kirk Cousins was the starting quarterback in that game and he completed 24/36 passes for 232 yards and 2 touchdowns. Dalvin Cook led the team in rushing with 111 yards and 1 TD on 20 rushing attempts. Justin Jefferson led the team in receiving with 98 yards on 6 receptions. Cameron Dantzler led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles. Za'Darius Smith led the defense in sacks with 3 while Harrison Smith and Camryn Bynum each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

 

 

The Commanders are entering this game with a 4-4 record overall and they are playing their 5th home game of the season here as they are 2-2 in their home games this year. Their offense is averaging 331 YPG and 17.8 PPG while their defense is allowing 334.4 YPG and 21.5 PPG against them. They won their last game on the road against the Indianapolis Colts 17-16. Taylor Heinicke was the starting QB in that game and he completed 23/31 passes for 279 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Taylor Heinicke led the team in rushing with 29 yards and 1 TD on 6 carries. Terry McLaurin led the team in receiving with 113 yards on 6 catches. Jonathan Allen led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles. Jonathan Allen and Daron Payne each led the defense in sacks with 1 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

The current betting odds have the Commanders listed as a 3.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Commanders haven't been great this season as they sit at the bottom of their division right now but they are still a .500 team and seem to have gotten a boost from their starting QB Carson Wentz going out with injury, allowing Taylor Heinicke who was the starter last season to reclaim his job. They have won 3 games in a row and 2 in a row with Heinicke but their defense has been playing a lot better in those games, finally looking like a Ron Rivera defense again. Their offense is only going to get better as the chemistry is there already; the team just has to get used to Heinicke leading the offense again. The Vikings are off to a great start at 6-1 this year but they really aren't as good as their record indicates. They have won a lot of close games this season within 1 score but really haven't dominated any teams in any of their games. This Commanders defense has been playing a lot better lately and they are going to shut down the Vikings offense which has struggled on the road this year. Even if the Vikings do win this game, it will likely be another very close game that comes down to a field goal. The best way to place a bet here is on the Commanders to cover the spread in this game.

 

Vikings Commanders Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 6, 2022 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Commanders 20 Vikings 17.

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Minnesota Vikings: 15-30 ATS after a home game where both teams scored 24 or more points. 26-14 OVER in all games. 16-7 OVER as a favorite.

Washington Commanders: 11-6 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 26-15 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins. 29-20 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread.

 

 

Minnesota Vikings:  D. Tomlinson (DL) Ques Sun - Calf. T. Chandler (RB) Out indefinitely - Thumb. B. Ellefson (TE) Out indefinitely - Groin.

Washington Commanders:  C. Wentz (QB) Out indefinitely - Finger. T. Castro-Fields (CB) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Dotson (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring.

 

 

"I thought we were a really good football team last year. We just couldn't find the inches in too many games. Why we found them now, I don't know." - Kirk Cousins after their win against the Cardinals in their last game. 

 

 

“That’s probably jumping the gun. He did look good. We’ll see how he is tomorrow, how he reacts to the amount of work he had. He looked quick. He looked spry. He was excited. We’re going to follow what the trainers and doctors tell us about this.” - Ron Rivera on the injury status of Chase Young.

 

 

 

WR THIELEN, ADAM

WR Jefferson, Justin

WR Osborn, K.J. 

TE Hockenson, T.J.

QB COUSINS, KIRK 

RB Cook, Dalvin

FB Ham, C.J. 

 

WR McLaurin, Terry 

WR Dotson, Jahan 

WR Samuel, Curtis 

TE THOMAS, LOGAN

QB Heinicke, Taylor

RB Robinson, Brian 

 

 

Passing: K. Cousins (1734)

Rushing: D. Cook (561)

Receiving: J. Jefferson (752)

Touchdowns: D. Cook (5)

 

Passing: C. Wentz (1489)

Rushing: A. Gibson (292)

Receiving: T. McLaurin (553)

Touchdowns: J. Dotson (4)

 

Coaches:

Minnesota Vikings: Kevin O'Connell (1st season)

Washington Commanders: Ron Rivera (3rd season)