by Rod Pearson
Friday, Oct 09, 2026
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 11, 2026
Venue: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Vikings -2.5, Saints +2.5; Over/Under: 41.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Vikings -2.5, Saints +2.5; Over/Under: 41.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Vikings -2.5, Saints +2.5; Over/Under: 41.5 points
Season Record
Minnesota Vikings: 4-0 (1st place, NFC North)
New Orleans Saints: 1-3 (3rd place, NFC South)
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Recent Form
Minnesota Vikings: won their last game at home against the Miami Dolphins 15-10.
New Orleans Saints: lost their last game at home against the Atlanta Falcons 45-24.
Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints Preview and Analysis
The Vikings are entering this game with a 4-0 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Miami Dolphins 15-10. Kyler Murray was the starting QB and he completed 27/37 passes for 247 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing yards with 94. T.J. Hockenson led the receivers with 119 receiving yards on 13 receptions. Blake Cashman led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles while Dallas Turner led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Saints are entering this game with a 1-3 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Atlanta Falcons 45-24. Tyler Shough was the starting QB and he completed 30/48 passes for 286 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Alvin Kamara led the team in rushing yards with 23 and 2 TDs. Chris Olave led the receivers with 116 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Julian Blackmon led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles while Tyree Wilson led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Vikings vs Saints Prediction
The current betting odds have the Vikings listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Vikings have looked great in their games this season with their 4-0 record overall which has them right at the top of the NFC North. They have been a good road team too with their 2-0 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Saints haven't looked great in their games this season with their 1-3 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the NFC South. They haven't looked good on their home field either with their 0-2 home record this season. The Saints had a good start to the season and were in some tight games against good teams even though they still ended up losing, but now they are coming off a bad loss on Monday night and they looked terrible. They lost at home to the Falcons 45-24 and they were never really in that game. The Falcons ran away with it and the Saints defense got exposed in a big way. The offense hasn't looked bad this season and they have been putting up points, but their defense continues to put them in early holes and has been giving up a ton of points all year. The Vikings are coming off a 15-10 win over the Dolphins and their offense has been one of the worst in the NFL this season. They are one of the few undefeated teams left though and that is because they have one of the best defenses in the NFL, not giving up many points at all. Their defense has been winning them games while the offense is still trying to figure things out with Kyler Murray, but they do have a ton of talent on offense and have the potential to be a dangerous offense if things start to click with Murray. The best way to place a bet here is on the Vikings to cover the spread in this game.
Vikings Saints Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 11, 2026 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Vikings 20 Saints 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
Minnesota Vikings: 23-15 ATS in all games. 8-2 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 8-3 ATS off a home win. 8-3 UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 8-4 UNDER after a win by 6 or less points.
New Orleans Saints: 3-8 ATS as a home underdog of 7 points or less. 3-9 ATS off a home loss. 1-5 ATS after a 2 game home stand. 8-4 UNDER as a home underdog. 10-4 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record.
Key Injuries
Minnesota Vikings: J. Addison (WR) Injured - Hamstring. C. Darrisaw (OT) Injured - Concussion. C. Demmings (CB) Injured - Hamstring. J. Jefferson (WR) Injured - Ankle. B. O'Neill (OT) Injured - Knee. M. Jurgens (C) Injured - Elbow. B. Thorson (P) Injured - Hamstring. B. Yurosek (TE) Injured - Ankle.
New Orleans Saints: J. Wright (OG) Injured - Concussion. A. Kamara (RB) Injured - Back. D. Godchaux (DL) Injured - Groin. A. Jennings (DL) Injured - Knee. N. Fant (TE) Injured - Abdomen. K. Elliss (LB) Injured - Calf. J. Blackmon (S) Injured - Shoulder. C. Granderson (DL) Injured - Ankle. C. Olave (WR) Injured - NIR - Rest. J. Ford (LB) Injured - Ankle. M. Reid (S) Injured - Ankle. T. Shough (QB) Injured - Left Hand. L. Styles Jr. (S) Injured - Calf. B. Brown (WR) Injured - Thigh.
Notable Quotes
“If we want to score, we should do it earlier.” - Kevin O’Connell after his team’s win against the Dolphins in their last game.
“We're all frustrated, all disappointed with where we’re at.” - Kellen Moore after his team’s loss against the Falcons in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Minnesota Vikings
WR Felton, Tai
WR Addison, Jordan
WR Jennings, Jauan
TE Hockenson, T.J.
QB Murray, Kyler
RB Jones Sr., Aaron
FB Bredeson, Max
New Orleans Saints
WR Olave, Chris
WR Lance, Bryce
WR Vele, Devaughn
TE Johnson, Juwan
QB Shough, Tyler
RB Kamara, Alvin
Statistical Leaders
Minnesota Vikings
Passing: Kyler Murray (433)
Rushing: Aaron Jones Sr. (297)
Receiving: T.J. Hockenson (195)
Touchdowns: Justin Jefferson (2)
New Orleans Saints
Passing: Tyler Shough (1,203)
Rushing: Travis Etienne Jr. (128)
Receiving: Chris Olave (491)
Touchdowns: Noah Fant (3)
Coaches:
Minnesota Vikings: Kevin O'Connell (5th season)
New Orleans Saints: Kellen Moore (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
