Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/23/2025

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Nov 20, 2025
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 23, 2025
Venue:  Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI 
Where to Watch:  FOX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Minnesota +6.5, Packers -6.5; Over/Under:  41.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Minnesota +6.5, Packers -6.5; Over/Under:  41 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Minnesota +6.5, Packers -6.5; Over/Under:  41 points

Season Record

Minnesota Vikings:  4-6 (4th place, NFC North)
Green Bay Packers:  6-3-1 (2nd place, NFC North)

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Recent Form
Minnesota Vikings:  lost their last game at home against the Chicago Bears 19-17.
Green Bay Packers:  won their last game on the road against the New York Giants 27-20.


Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers Preview and Analysis


The Vikings are entering this game with a 4-6 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-4 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Chicago Bears 19-17. J.J. McCarthy was the starting QB and he completed 16/32 passes for 150 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing yards with 70. Justin Jefferson led the receivers with 61 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Blake Cashman led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 9 assisted tackles while Dallas Turner and Andrew Van Ginkel each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
The Packers are entering this game with a 6-3-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-2 in their home games, 3-1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New York Giants 27-20. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 13/24 passes for 174 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Emanuel Wilson led the team in rushing yards with 40 and 1 TD. Romeo Doubs led the receivers with 53 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Keisean Nixon led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Micah Parsons led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Evan Williams came away with the only interception for them in that one.


Vikings vs Packers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Packers listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Packers have looked good in their games this season with their 6-3-1 record overall which has them right near the top of the NFC North. They are 3-2 in their home games this season and they are going to be motivated in this game with the division being so tight at the moment. Meanwhile, the Vikings haven't looked great in their games this season with their 4-6 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the NFC North in a really competitive division. They have been a good road team with their 2-1 road record this year, but they have also been really up and down with their offense. They are off a 19-17 loss at home to the Bears in their last one and McCarthy didn't look great in that loss. He has looked really good at times, but he has also looked like he is not ready at other times. The offense has plenty of talent around him, but he is still trying to figure things out in his first playing season. This is also a terrible situation for him on the road against one of the best defenses in the NFL. The Packers haven't looked great at times themselves, but they are off a 27-20 win over the Giants in their last one and need to get going with the way the division is playing out. The Vikings are going to be fighting for their season here, but McCarthy can't be trusted in this game against that Packers defense, look for the Packers to roll the Vikings at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Packers to cover the spread in this game. 

Vikings Packers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 23, 2025 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Packers 28 Vikings 14.
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NFL Betting Trends


Minnesota Vikings: 4-8 ATS after playing a division game. 3-6 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 4-8 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game. 8-3 OVER as a road underdog. 7-2 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%).

Green Bay Packers: 7-3 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 9-3 ATS off a road win. 6-3 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 9-4 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 16-9 OVER after 1 or more consecutive wins.

Key Injuries


Minnesota Vikings:  R. Kelly (C) Injured - Concussion. A. Jones Sr. (RB) Injured - Shoulder. J. Greenard (LB) Injured - Shoulder. W. Fries (OG) Injured - Knee. C. Darrisaw (OT) Injured - Knee.

Green Bay Packers:  B. McManus (K) Injured - Quadricep. J. Jacobs (RB) Injured - Knee. N. Hobbs (CB) Injured - Knee. K. Nixon (CB) Injured - Illness. J. Love (QB) Injured - Shoulder. Z. Tom (OG) Injured - Back. Q. Walker (LB) Injured - Neck. M. Parsons (DL) Injured - Pectoral. K. Brooks (DL) Injured - Ankle. R. Doubs (WR) Injured - Wrist. D. Wicks (WR) Injured - Calf. L. Van Ness (DL) Injured - Foot. K. Watson (WR) Injured - Knee. E. Cooper (LB) Injured - Foot. J. Bullard (S) Injured - Ankle. S. Williams (WR) Injured - Foot. M. Golden (WR) Injured - Shoulder.

Notable Quotes


“I just need to do a better job to make sure the rhythm stays there throughout an entire 60 minutes. There’s definitely things that we did well today, but how can we amplify those things and how can we eliminate the mistakes?” - J.J. McCarthy after their loss against the Bears in their last game. 


“We don’t win that game without Malik. He made a lot of plays in the game, and obviously we don’t win that game without him.” - Matt LaFleur after his team’s win against the Giants in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Minnesota Vikings
WR Jefferson, Justin
WR Addison, Jordan
WR Nailor, Jalen
TE Hockenson, T.J.
QB McCarthy, J.J.
RB Jones Sr, Aaron
FB Ham, C.J.

Green Bay Packers
WR Watson, Christian
WR Doubs, Romeo
WR Wicks, Dontayvion
TE FitzPatrick, John
QB Love, Jordan
RB Wilson, Emanuel

Statistical Leaders


Minnesota Vikings
Passing: Carson Wentz (1,216)
Rushing: Jordan Mason (489)
Receiving: Justin Jefferson (747)
Touchdowns: Jordan Mason (5)

Green Bay Packers
Passing: Jordan Love (2,421)
Rushing: Josh Jacobs (648)
Receiving: Romeo Doubs (499)
Touchdowns: Josh Jacobs (11)

Coaches:
Minnesota Vikings: Kevin O'Connell (4th season)
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (7th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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