by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Oct 26, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 29, 2023
Venue: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Vikings -1, Packers +1; Over/Under: 42 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Vikings -1, Packers +1; Over/Under: 42 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Vikings +1, Packers -1; Over/Under: 41.5 points
Season Record
Minnesota Vikings: 3-4 (2nd place, NFC North)
Green Bay Packers: 2-4 (3rd place, NFC North)
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Recent Form
Minnesota Vikings: won their last game at home against the San Francisco 49ers 22-17.
Green Bay Packers: lost their last game on the road against the Denver Broncos 19-17.
Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers Preview and Analysis
The Vikings are entering this game with a 3-4 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the San Francisco 49ers 22-17. Kirk Cousins was the starting QB and he completed 35/45 passes for 378 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Alexander Mattison led the team in rushing yards with 39. Jordan Addison led the receivers with 123 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 2 TDs. Camryn Bynum led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Danielle Hunter led the defense in sacks with 1. Camryn Bynum came away with the only 2 interceptions for them in that game.
The Packers are entering this game with a 2-4 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Denver Broncos 19-17. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 21/31 passes for 180 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. AJ Dillon led the team in rushing yards with 61. AJ Dillon led the receivers with 34 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Isaiah McDuffie led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Preston Smith led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Vikings vs Packers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Vikings listed as a 1 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Vikings got off to a really rough start this season as they were terrible right out of the gate but they have been playing a lot better in their games lately and have now pulled themselves back to 3-4 overall. Meanwhile, the Packers have done the opposite as they got off to a hot start but they are now sitting at 2-4 overall after losing to the Broncos right out of their bye, the Broncos being one of the worst teams in the NFL up to this point in the season. The Vikings have some momentum now after beating the big bad 49ers on Monday night football and they will use that win to propel themselves in this divisional game where a win puts them right back at .500. The best way to place a bet here is on the Vikings to cover the spread in this game.
Vikings Packers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 29, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Vikings 27 Packers 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
Minnesota Vikings: 4-11 ATS off 4 or more consecutive unders. 6-18 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog. 8-2 OVER as a road underdog. 58-32 OVER in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 10-5 OVER off 4 or more consecutive unders.
Green Bay Packers: 11-5 ATS as an underdog. 8-2 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders. 14-5 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 9-5 OVER versus division opponents. 21-9 OVER off an extremely close road loss by 3 points or less.
Key Injuries
Minnesota Vikings: T. Hockenson (TE) Ques Sun - Foot. B. Asamoah II (LB) Ques Sun - Ankle. J. Nailor (WR) Ques Sun - Hamstring. L. Cine (S) Ques Sun - Hamstring. E. Cleveland (G) Ques Sun - Foot. M. Davenport (LB) Late Nov - Ankle. J. Jefferson (WR) Late Nov - Hamstring. N. Mullens (QB) Out indefinitely - Back. O. Udoh (G) I-R - Quadricep. J. Lynch (DL) I-R - Knee.
Green Bay Packers: Y. Nijman (OT) Ques Sun - Knee. E. Jenkins (G) Ques Sun - Knee. J. Myers (C) Ques Sun - Ankle. A. Jones (RB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. E. Stokes (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. D. Savage (S) Out indefinitely - Calf. Z. Anderson (S) Ques Sun - Hamstring. D. Campbell (LB) Ques Sun - Ankle. J. Alexander (CB) Ques Sun - Back. L. Musgrave (TE) Ques Sun - Ankle. C. Watson (WR) Ques Sun - Knee. D. Bakhtiari (OT) I-R - Knee. L. Tenuta (OT) Out indefinitely - Ankle. T. Davis (TE) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“One play here, one play there. We’ve had some tough losses. Last year we were fortunate enough to pull them out. We found a way tonight.” - Kirk Cousins after their win against the 49ers in their last game.
“We just lost to Denver. Not saying they're terrible, but come on, we're supposed to win, man." - Rasul Douglas after their loss against the Broncos in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Minnesota Vikings
WR Osborn, K.J.
WR Addison, Jordan
WR Powell, Brandon
TE Hockenson, T.J.
QB COUSINS, KIRK
RB Mattison, Alexander
FB HAM, C.J.
Green Bay Packers
WR Watson, Christian
WR Doubs, Romeo
WR Reed, Jayden
TE Musgrave, Luke
QB Love, Jordan
RB Jones, Aaron
FB Deguara, Josiah
Statistical Leaders
Minnesota Vikings
Passing: K. Cousins (2057)
Rushing: A. Mattison (359)
Receiving: J. Jefferson (571)
Touchdowns: J. Addison (6)
Green Bay Packers
Passing: J. Love (1263)
Rushing: A. Dillon (255)
Receiving: R. Doubs (258)
Touchdowns: R. Doubs (4)
Coaches:
Minnesota Vikings: Kevin O'Connell (2nd season)
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
